Eredivisie · 2026

FC Utrecht 1–4 AZ Alkmaar · Eredivisie

1–4Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

AZ Alkmaar won 1–4.

Shots
824
Shots on target
29
Expected goals
0.831.93
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

AZ Alkmaar beat FC Utrecht 4–1. Recorded in this match (FC Utrecht – AZ Alkmaar): shots 8–24, shots on target 2–9, expected goals 0.83–1.93, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots24 shotsFC Utrecht 8 shots, AZ Alkmaar 24 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots9 shotsFC Utrecht 2 shots, AZ Alkmaar 9 shots
  • Expected goals0.83 xG1.93 xGFC Utrecht 0.83 xG, AZ Alkmaar 1.93 xG
  • Possession48%52%FC Utrecht 48%, AZ Alkmaar 52%
  • Corners3 corners9 cornersFC Utrecht 3 corners, AZ Alkmaar 9 corners
  • Fouls23 fouls14 foulsFC Utrecht 23 fouls, AZ Alkmaar 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards2 cardsFC Utrecht 4 cards, AZ Alkmaar 2 cards
  • Passes371 passes412 passesFC Utrecht 371 passes, AZ Alkmaar 412 passes
  • Pass accuracy80.9%85.4%FC Utrecht 80.9%, AZ Alkmaar 85.4%
  • Shots inside box6 shots11 shotsFC Utrecht 6 shots, AZ Alkmaar 11 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks6 blocksFC Utrecht 2 blocks, AZ Alkmaar 6 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves5 saves1 saveFC Utrecht 5 saves, AZ Alkmaar 1 save
  • Offsides1 offside0 offsidesFC Utrecht 1 offside, AZ Alkmaar 0 offsides

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Dave Kwakman · AZ Alkmaar · 19′ · 0.01 xG · on targetWeslley Patati · AZ Alkmaar · 38′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPeer Koopmeiners · AZ Alkmaar · 45′ · 0.01 xG · goalDave Kwakman · AZ Alkmaar · 46′ · 0.01 xG · on targetDave Kwakman · AZ Alkmaar · 49′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPeer Koopmeiners · AZ Alkmaar · 14′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedÁngel Alarcón · FC Utrecht · 29′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedWeslley Patati · AZ Alkmaar · 31′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMateo Chávez · AZ Alkmaar · 43′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedWeslley Patati · AZ Alkmaar · 44′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedWouter Goes · AZ Alkmaar · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMexx Meerdink · AZ Alkmaar · 24′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAyoub Oufkir · AZ Alkmaar · 84′ · 0.03 xG · goalMatisse Didden · FC Utrecht · 57′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKees Smit · AZ Alkmaar · 37′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKees Smit · AZ Alkmaar · 64′ · 0.05 xG · on targetLewis Schouten · AZ Alkmaar · 68′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRo-Zangelo Daal · AZ Alkmaar · 75′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCalvin Stengs · AZ Alkmaar · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDave Kwakman · AZ Alkmaar · 18′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMateo Chávez · AZ Alkmaar · 60′ · 0.08 xG · on targetGuus Offerhaus · FC Utrecht · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedWeslley Patati · AZ Alkmaar · 29′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedArtem Stepanov · FC Utrecht · 61′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedKees Smit · AZ Alkmaar · 78′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedWeslley Patati · AZ Alkmaar · 47′ · 0.10 xG · goalÁngel Alarcón · FC Utrecht · 3′ · 0.12 xG · on targetKees Smit · AZ Alkmaar · 25′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedGuus Offerhaus · FC Utrecht · 86′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedYoann Cathline · FC Utrecht · 5′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedArtem Stepanov · FC Utrecht · 62′ · 0.21 xG · goalMexx Meerdink · AZ Alkmaar · 49′ · 0.85 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Utrecht: 8 shots, 2 on target, 0.83 xG. AZ Alkmaar: 24 shots, 9 on target, 1.86 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Artem Stepanov · FC Utrecht · 62′Peer Koopmeiners · AZ Alkmaar · 45′Weslley Patati · AZ Alkmaar · 47′Mexx Meerdink · AZ Alkmaar · 49′Ayoub Oufkir · AZ Alkmaar · 84′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Utrecht 0.83 xG · AZ Alkmaar 1.86 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2FC Utrecht
2Draws
1AZ Alkmaar
FC Utrecht — AZ Alkmaar · Eredivisie2–0
AZ Alkmaar — FC Utrecht · Eredivisie4–1
FC Utrecht — AZ Alkmaar · Eredivisie0–0
AZ Alkmaar — FC Utrecht · Eredivisie1–2
AZ Alkmaar — FC Utrecht · Eredivisie3–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Season-opening preview

Current-season evidence is still building.

This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.

1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade

Current season so far

Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.

  • FC Utrecht1 matches
  • AZ Alkmaar1 matches

Previous-season context

Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.

Both clubs played the same competition and season, so these values are directly comparable.

FC Utrecht

Competition
Eredivisie
Season
2025/26
Sample
36 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
24 May 2026
  • Goals scored1.61 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.22 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.47 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.32 xG/match
  • Shots15.4 shots/match
  • Shots allowed13.1 shots/match
  • Shots on target5.53 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed4.81 shots/match
  • Possession46.5%
  • Corners5.25 corners/match
  • Corners allowed4.61 corners/match
  • Fouls10.9 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency28%
  • Scoring frequency81%

AZ Alkmaar

Competition
Eredivisie
Season
2025/26
Sample
34 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
24 May 2026
  • Goals scored1.71 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.5 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.84 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.28 xG/match
  • Shots15.7 shots/match
  • Shots allowed12.2 shots/match
  • Shots on target5.91 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed4.5 shots/match
  • Possession53.1%
  • Corners5.76 corners/match
  • Corners allowed4.53 corners/match
  • Fouls10.2 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency26%
  • Scoring frequency88%

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · UnavailableUnavailable — unavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 15 Aug 2026, 20:45 UTC · analysis-v4