Eredivisie · 2026

FC Groningen 2–1 FC Utrecht · Eredivisie

2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

FC Groningen won 2–1.

Shots
1614
Shots on target
57
Expected goals
1.552.27
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Groningen beat FC Utrecht 2–1. Recorded in this match (FC Groningen – FC Utrecht): shots 16–14, shots on target 5–7, expected goals 1.55–2.27, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots14 shotsFC Groningen 16 shots, FC Utrecht 14 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots7 shotsFC Groningen 5 shots, FC Utrecht 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.55 xG2.27 xGFC Groningen 1.55 xG, FC Utrecht 2.27 xG
  • Possession59%41%FC Groningen 59%, FC Utrecht 41%
  • Corners5 corners1 cornerFC Groningen 5 corners, FC Utrecht 1 corner
  • Fouls12 fouls17 foulsFC Groningen 12 fouls, FC Utrecht 17 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards2 cardsFC Groningen 0 cards, FC Utrecht 2 cards
  • Passes449 passes306 passesFC Groningen 449 passes, FC Utrecht 306 passes
  • Pass accuracy81.3%73.5%FC Groningen 81.3%, FC Utrecht 73.5%
  • Shots inside box10 shots12 shotsFC Groningen 10 shots, FC Utrecht 12 shots
  • Blocked shots7 blocks0 blocksFC Groningen 7 blocks, FC Utrecht 0 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves6 saves3 savesFC Groningen 6 saves, FC Utrecht 3 saves
  • Offsides1 offside4 offsidesFC Groningen 1 offside, FC Utrecht 4 offsides

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Niklas Vesterlund · FC Utrecht · 26′ · 0.02 xG · on targetBrynjólfur Darri Willumsson · FC Groningen · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDavid van der Werff · FC Groningen · 74′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMike Eerdhuijzen · FC Utrecht · 82′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKevin Paredes · FC Utrecht · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAdrian Blake · FC Utrecht · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDavid van der Werff · FC Groningen · 58′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedThom van Bergen · FC Groningen · 64′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedThom van Bergen · FC Groningen · 73′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedWouter Prins · FC Groningen · 5′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJorg Schreuders · FC Groningen · 75′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRyan Metu · FC Groningen · 81′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedWouter Prins · FC Groningen · 41′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDani De Wit · FC Utrecht · 45′ · 0.06 xG · on targetThom van Bergen · FC Groningen · 84′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBrynjólfur Darri Willumsson · FC Groningen · 13′ · 0.07 xG · on targetYoann Cathline · FC Utrecht · 6′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDani De Wit · FC Utrecht · 36′ · 0.08 xG · on targetBrynjólfur Darri Willumsson · FC Groningen · 55′ · 0.08 xG · on targetMike Eerdhuijzen · FC Utrecht · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedThom van Bergen · FC Groningen · 28′ · 0.09 xG · on targetThom van Bergen · FC Groningen · 48′ · 0.09 xG · goalÁngel Alarcón · FC Utrecht · 65′ · 0.10 xG · on targetMike Eerdhuijzen · FC Utrecht · 60′ · 0.12 xG · on targetJoris van Overeem · FC Utrecht · 76′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedTika de Jonge · FC Groningen · 34′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedÁngel Alarcón · FC Utrecht · 26′ · 0.33 xG · on targetAdrian Blake · FC Utrecht · 80′ · 0.39 xG · goalBrynjólfur Darri Willumsson · FC Groningen · 8′ · 0.51 xG · goalÁngel Alarcón · FC Utrecht · 63′ · 0.85 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Groningen: 16 shots, 5 on target, 1.56 xG. FC Utrecht: 14 shots, 7 on target, 2.33 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson · FC Groningen · 8′Thom van Bergen · FC Groningen · 48′Adrian Blake · FC Utrecht · 80′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Groningen 1.56 xG · FC Utrecht 2.33 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1FC Groningen
0Draws
4FC Utrecht
FC Groningen — FC Utrecht · Eredivisie1–2
FC Utrecht — FC Groningen · Eredivisie0–1
FC Utrecht — FC Groningen · Eredivisie3–1
FC Groningen — FC Utrecht · Eredivisie0–1
FC Groningen — FC Utrecht · Eredivisie1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Season-opening preview

Current-season evidence is still building.

This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.

1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade

Current season so far

Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.

  • FC Groningen1 matches
  • FC Utrecht1 matches

Previous-season context

Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.

Both clubs played the same competition and season, so these values are directly comparable.

FC Groningen

Competition
Eredivisie
Season
2025/26
Sample
35 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
24 May 2026
  • Goals scored1.4 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.34 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.67 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.37 xG/match
  • Shots15.5 shots/match
  • Shots allowed11.6 shots/match
  • Shots on target5.66 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed4.23 shots/match
  • Possession50.4%
  • Corners6.06 corners/match
  • Corners allowed4.91 corners/match
  • Fouls10.7 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency29%
  • Scoring frequency77%

FC Utrecht

Competition
Eredivisie
Season
2025/26
Sample
36 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
24 May 2026
  • Goals scored1.61 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.22 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.47 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.32 xG/match
  • Shots15.4 shots/match
  • Shots allowed13.1 shots/match
  • Shots on target5.53 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed4.81 shots/match
  • Possession46.5%
  • Corners5.25 corners/match
  • Corners allowed4.61 corners/match
  • Fouls10.9 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency28%
  • Scoring frequency81%

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · UnavailableUnavailable — unavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Aug 2026, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4