Eredivisie · 2026

Go Ahead Eagles 4–1 Willem II Tilburg · Eredivisie

4–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Go Ahead Eagles won 4–1.

Shots
2013
Shots on target
101
Expected goals
2.431.51
Possession
69%31%

Full time

What the match recorded

Go Ahead Eagles beat Willem II Tilburg 4–1. Recorded in this match (Go Ahead Eagles – Willem II Tilburg): shots 20–13, shots on target 10–1, expected goals 2.43–1.51, possession 69%–31%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots13 shotsGo Ahead Eagles 20 shots, Willem II Tilburg 13 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots1 shotGo Ahead Eagles 10 shots, Willem II Tilburg 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.43 xG1.51 xGGo Ahead Eagles 2.43 xG, Willem II Tilburg 1.51 xG
  • Possession69%31%Go Ahead Eagles 69%, Willem II Tilburg 31%
  • Corners6 corners2 cornersGo Ahead Eagles 6 corners, Willem II Tilburg 2 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls14 foulsGo Ahead Eagles 6 fouls, Willem II Tilburg 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardGo Ahead Eagles 2 cards, Willem II Tilburg 1 card
  • Passes577 passes258 passesGo Ahead Eagles 577 passes, Willem II Tilburg 258 passes
  • Pass accuracy87.7%76%Go Ahead Eagles 87.7%, Willem II Tilburg 76%
  • Shots inside box14 shots8 shotsGo Ahead Eagles 14 shots, Willem II Tilburg 8 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks4 blocksGo Ahead Eagles 3 blocks, Willem II Tilburg 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves0 saves6 savesGo Ahead Eagles 0 saves, Willem II Tilburg 6 saves
  • Offsides1 offside0 offsidesGo Ahead Eagles 1 offside, Willem II Tilburg 0 offsides

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Eser Gürbüz · Willem II Tilburg · 18′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJoris Kramer · Go Ahead Eagles · 3′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedStefán Ingi Sigurðarson · Go Ahead Eagles · 5′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSøren Tengstedt · Go Ahead Eagles · 37′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSøren Tengstedt · Go Ahead Eagles · 39′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMelle Meulensteen · Go Ahead Eagles · 61′ · 0.03 xG · goalJaden Slory · Willem II Tilburg · 11′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMathis Suray · Go Ahead Eagles · 25′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNathan Tjoe-A-On · Willem II Tilburg · 32′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSøren Tengstedt · Go Ahead Eagles · 37′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDevin Haen · Willem II Tilburg · 49′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKasper Boogaard · Willem II Tilburg · 51′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedStefán Ingi Sigurðarson · Go Ahead Eagles · 34′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRichonell Margaret · Go Ahead Eagles · 84′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJulius Dirksen · Go Ahead Eagles · 59′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDevin Haen · Willem II Tilburg · 44′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedThibo Baeten · Go Ahead Eagles · 90′ · 0.07 xG · on targetMelle Meulensteen · Go Ahead Eagles · 36′ · 0.08 xG · on targetUriel van Aalst · Willem II Tilburg · 82′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedNathan Tjoe-A-On · Willem II Tilburg · 86′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedErik Flataker · Go Ahead Eagles · 89′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDean James · Go Ahead Eagles · 23′ · 0.09 xG · on targetVictor Edvardsen · Go Ahead Eagles · 38′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedErik Flataker · Go Ahead Eagles · 73′ · 0.09 xG · on targetNathan Tjoe-A-On · Willem II Tilburg · 86′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedVictor Edvardsen · Go Ahead Eagles · 89′ · 0.09 xG · on targetJaden Slory · Willem II Tilburg · 49′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJulius Dirksen · Go Ahead Eagles · 69′ · 0.16 xG · goalNathan Tjoe-A-On · Willem II Tilburg · 20′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedKasper Boogaard · Willem II Tilburg · 86′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedDevin Haen · Willem II Tilburg · 13′ · 0.45 xG · goalSøren Tengstedt · Go Ahead Eagles · 30′ · 0.57 xG · goalErik Flataker · Go Ahead Eagles · 63′ · 0.61 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Go Ahead Eagles: 20 shots, 10 on target, 2.31 xG. Willem II Tilburg: 13 shots, 1 on target, 1.41 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Søren Tengstedt · Go Ahead Eagles · 30′Melle Meulensteen · Go Ahead Eagles · 61′Erik Flataker · Go Ahead Eagles · 63′Julius Dirksen · Go Ahead Eagles · 69′Devin Haen · Willem II Tilburg · 13′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Go Ahead Eagles 2.31 xG · Willem II Tilburg 1.41 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Go Ahead Eagles
0Draws
1Willem II Tilburg
Go Ahead Eagles — Willem II Tilburg · Eredivisie1–0
Willem II Tilburg — Go Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie2–0
Go Ahead Eagles — Willem II Tilburg · Eredivisie4–0
Willem II Tilburg — Go Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Season-opening preview

Current-season evidence is still building.

This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.

1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade

Current season so far

Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.

  • Go Ahead Eagles1 matches
  • Willem II Tilburg1 matches

Previous-season context

Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.

Both clubs played the same competition and season, so these values are directly comparable.

Go Ahead Eagles

Competition
Eredivisie
Season
2025/26
Sample
34 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
24 May 2026
  • Goals scored1.59 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.56 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.26 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.89 xG/match
  • Shots11.5 shots/match
  • Shots allowed19.4 shots/match
  • Shots on target5.03 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed5.85 shots/match
  • Possession49.5%
  • Corners5.44 corners/match
  • Corners allowed6.12 corners/match
  • Fouls9.15 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency26%
  • Scoring frequency79%

Willem II Tilburg

Competition
Eredivisie
Season
2025/26
Sample
6 matches
Profile grade
B
Data cutoff
24 May 2026
  • Goals scored1.33 goals/match
  • Goals allowed0.67 goals/match
  • Shots9.67 shots/match
  • Shots allowed15 shots/match
  • Shots on target3.5 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed3.17 shots/match
  • Possession43%
  • Corners3.33 corners/match
  • Corners allowed4.5 corners/match
  • Fouls11 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency50%
  • Scoring frequency100%

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · UnavailableUnavailable — unavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 8 Aug 2026, 20:45 UTC · analysis-v4