PitchMath
Süper Lig · 2026

Başakşehir FK 1–1 Kasımpaşa · Süper Lig

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Başakşehir FK and Kasımpaşa drew 1–1.

Shots
1212
Shots on target
23
Expected goals
0.761.59
Possession
65%35%

Full time

What the match recorded

Başakşehir FK and Kasımpaşa drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Başakşehir FK – Kasımpaşa): shots 12–12, shots on target 2–3, expected goals 0.76–1.59, possession 65%–35%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Başakşehir FK have recorded the higher season possession share.

54.3% ●PossessionBaşakşehir FK · Kasımpaşa33.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 20.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBaşakşehir FKKasımpaşaBaseline
Possession54.3%33.7%51%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots12 shotsBaşakşehir FK 12 shots, Kasımpaşa 12 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots3 shotsBaşakşehir FK 2 shots, Kasımpaşa 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.76 xG1.59 xGBaşakşehir FK 0.76 xG, Kasımpaşa 1.59 xG
  • Possession65%35%Başakşehir FK 65%, Kasımpaşa 35%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersBaşakşehir FK 5 corners, Kasımpaşa 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls13 foulsBaşakşehir FK 11 fouls, Kasımpaşa 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards1 cardBaşakşehir FK 3 cards, Kasımpaşa 1 card
  • Passes641 passes357 passesBaşakşehir FK 641 passes, Kasımpaşa 357 passes
  • Pass accuracy87.7%76.5%Başakşehir FK 87.7%, Kasımpaşa 76.5%
  • Shots inside box4 shots5 shotsBaşakşehir FK 4 shots, Kasımpaşa 5 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks3 blocksBaşakşehir FK 3 blocks, Kasımpaşa 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves1 saveBaşakşehir FK 2 saves, Kasımpaşa 1 save
  • Offsides2 offsides3 offsidesBaşakşehir FK 2 offsides, Kasımpaşa 3 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 3′Jerome OpokuYellow card · Başakşehir FK
  2. 13′Olivier KemenYellow card · Başakşehir FK
  3. 18′Eldor ShomurodovGoal · Başakşehir FK
  4. Half-time
  5. 55′Cláudio WinckYellow card · Kasımpaşa
  6. 81′Fousseni DiabatéGoal · Kasımpaşa
  7. 90′Hamza GürelerYellow card · Başakşehir FK
  8. Full time
Player changes · 8grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Kasımpaşa · 1 player changeAli Yavuz Kol
  • 46′Başakşehir FK · 1 player changeYusuf Sarı
  • 46′Kasımpaşa · 1 player changeFousseni Diabaté
  • 64′Başakşehir FK · 1 player changeOnur Ergün
  • 71′Kasımpaşa · 1 player changeMarcus Rafferty
  • 73′Başakşehir FK · 1 player changeDavie Selke
  • 74′Başakşehir FK · 1 player changeHamza Güreler
  • 87′Kasımpaşa · 1 player changeEmirhan Boz

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Başakşehir FK
1Draws
0Kasımpaşa
Başakşehir FK — Kasımpaşa · Süper Lig4–0
Kasımpaşa — Başakşehir FK · Süper Lig1–3
Kasımpaşa — Başakşehir FK · Süper Lig2–3
Başakşehir FK — Kasımpaşa · Süper Lig2–2
Başakşehir FK — Kasımpaşa · Süper Lig4–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Başakşehir FK favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Kasımpaşa in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Başakşehir FK3 matchesKasımpaşa3 matches
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals scored3/31 goal/match
1 goal/matchGoals allowed3/3▲ 0.67 goals/match
1.56 xG/match ▲Expected goals3/31.2 xG/match
13.7 shots/match ▲Shots3/39 shots/match
3.67 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/32.67 shots/match
54.3% ●Possession3/333.7%
4.67 corners/match ●Corners3/32 corners/match
14.3 fouls/matchFouls3/314.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 30 Aug 2026, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Süper Lig

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBaşakşehir FKKasımpaşa
CompetitionSüper Lig
Head-to-headBaşakşehir FK — Kasımpaşa
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required