PitchMath
Süper Lig · 2026

Başakşehir FK 2–3 Galatasaray · Süper Lig

2–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Galatasaray won 2–3.

Shots
1213
Shots on target
36
Expected goals
1.722.03
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Galatasaray beat Başakşehir FK 3–2. Recorded in this match (Başakşehir FK – Galatasaray): shots 12–13, shots on target 3–6, expected goals 1.72–2.03, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Galatasaray show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Galatasaray's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.3 shots/match ▲ShotsBaşakşehir FK · Galatasaray23.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBaşakşehir FKGalatasarayBaseline
Shots13.3 shots/match23.8 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against13 shots/match10.3 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5 corners/matchCornersBaşakşehir FK · Galatasaray● 5.25 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricBaşakşehir FKGalatasarayBaseline
Corners5 corners/match5.25 corners/match4.33 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots13 shotsBaşakşehir FK 12 shots, Galatasaray 13 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots6 shotsBaşakşehir FK 3 shots, Galatasaray 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.72 xG2.03 xGBaşakşehir FK 1.72 xG, Galatasaray 2.03 xG
  • Possession48%52%Başakşehir FK 48%, Galatasaray 52%
  • Corners6 corners5 cornersBaşakşehir FK 6 corners, Galatasaray 5 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls15 foulsBaşakşehir FK 14 fouls, Galatasaray 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsBaşakşehir FK 2 cards, Galatasaray 3 cards
  • Passes399 passes435 passesBaşakşehir FK 399 passes, Galatasaray 435 passes
  • Pass accuracy82%85.8%Başakşehir FK 82%, Galatasaray 85.8%
  • Shots inside box9 shots7 shotsBaşakşehir FK 9 shots, Galatasaray 7 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks2 blocksBaşakşehir FK 4 blocks, Galatasaray 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves2 savesBaşakşehir FK 3 saves, Galatasaray 2 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides4 offsidesBaşakşehir FK 2 offsides, Galatasaray 4 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 16′Victor OsimhenGoal · Galatasaray
  2. 37′Christopher OperiYellow card · Başakşehir FK
  3. Half-time
  4. 63′Roland SallaiYellow card · Galatasaray
  5. 66′Eldor ShomurodovPenalty goal · Başakşehir FK
  6. 67′Davinson SánchezYellow card · Galatasaray
  7. 71′Lucas TorreiraGoal · Galatasaray
  8. 76′Davinson SánchezGoal · Galatasaray
  9. 78′Rafael LeãoYellow card · Galatasaray
  10. 79′Umut BozokRed card · Başakşehir FK
  11. 89′Saba KharebashviliYellow card · Başakşehir FK
  12. 90′Gabriel SaraGoal · Galatasaray
  13. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 33′Galatasaray · 1 player changeBarış Alper Yılmaz
  • 46′Galatasaray · 1 player changeAbdülkerim Bardakcı
  • 63′Başakşehir FK · 1 player changeSaba Kharebashvili
  • 68′Galatasaray · 1 player changeRafael Leão
  • 74′Başakşehir FK · 2 player changesIvan Brnić · Umut Bozok
  • 83′Galatasaray · 1 player changeDeniz Gül
  • 83′Başakşehir FK · 1 player changeMichał Karbownik
  • 83′Galatasaray · 1 player changeEren Elmalı
  • 83′Başakşehir FK · 1 player changeOusseynou Ba

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Başakşehir FK
0Draws
5Galatasaray
Galatasaray — Başakşehir FK · Süper Lig3–0
Galatasaray — Başakşehir FK · Turkish Cup1–0
Başakşehir FK — Galatasaray · Süper Lig1–2
Galatasaray — Başakşehir FK · Süper Lig2–0
Başakşehir FK — Galatasaray · Süper Lig1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Başakşehir FK favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Galatasaray in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Başakşehir FK4 matchesGalatasaray4 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲ 3 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed4/41.5 goals/match
1.6 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲ 2.61 xG/match
13.3 shots/matchShots4/4▲ 23.8 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲ 8.5 shots/match
52.8%Possession4/4● 58.8%
5 corners/matchCorners4/4● 5.25 corners/match
14.3 fouls/matchFouls4/410.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 4 Sept 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Süper Lig

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBaşakşehir FKGalatasaray
CompetitionSüper Lig
Head-to-headBaşakşehir FK — Galatasaray
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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