PitchMath
Süper Lig · 2026

Kocaelispor 1–0 Samsunspor · Süper Lig

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Kocaelispor won 1–0.

Shots
919
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
1.231.59
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

Kocaelispor beat Samsunspor 1–0. Recorded in this match (Kocaelispor – Samsunspor): shots 9–19, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 1.23–1.59, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Kocaelispor show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Kocaelispor's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.8 shots/match ▲ShotsKocaelispor · Samsunspor13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricKocaelisporSamsunsporBaseline
Shots10.8 shots/match13 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against14.5 shots/match18.3 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots19 shotsKocaelispor 9 shots, Samsunspor 19 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsKocaelispor 4 shots, Samsunspor 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.23 xG1.59 xGKocaelispor 1.23 xG, Samsunspor 1.59 xG
  • Possession44%56%Kocaelispor 44%, Samsunspor 56%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersKocaelispor 4 corners, Samsunspor 4 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls14 foulsKocaelispor 13 fouls, Samsunspor 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card0 cardsKocaelispor 1 card, Samsunspor 0 cards
  • Passes425 passes549 passesKocaelispor 425 passes, Samsunspor 549 passes
  • Pass accuracy80.5%84.9%Kocaelispor 80.5%, Samsunspor 84.9%
  • Shots inside box4 shots13 shotsKocaelispor 4 shots, Samsunspor 13 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block2 blocksKocaelispor 1 block, Samsunspor 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves3 savesKocaelispor 4 saves, Samsunspor 3 saves

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 26′Florian AyéGoal · Kocaelispor
  2. 28′Massadio HaïdaraYellow card · Kocaelispor
  3. Half-time
  4. Full time
Player changes · 8grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Kocaelispor · 2 player changesMahamadou Susoho · Makana Baku
  • 68′Kocaelispor · 1 player changeTobias Fjeld Gulliksen
  • 69′Samsunspor · 1 player changeEnes Albak
  • 77′Samsunspor · 1 player changeIgor Drapiński
  • 82′Kocaelispor · 1 player changeMetehan Altunbaş
  • 88′Samsunspor · 1 player changeStrahinja Eraković
  • 90′Kocaelispor · 1 player changeEmir Ortakaya

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Kocaelispor
1Draws
1Samsunspor
Samsunspor — Kocaelispor · Süper Lig0–0
Kocaelispor — Samsunspor · Süper Lig0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Kocaelispor favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Samsunspor in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Kocaelispor4 matchesSamsunspor4 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored4/41.25 goals/match
0.75 goals/match ▲Goals allowed4/41.5 goals/match
0.91 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲ 1.27 xG/match
10.8 shots/matchShots4/4▲ 13 shots/match
4.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/42.5 shots/match
48.3%Possession4/4● 55.8%
3.25 corners/match ●Corners4/42.5 corners/match
12 fouls/matchFouls4/411.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 6 Sept 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Süper Lig

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsKocaelisporSamsunspor
CompetitionSüper Lig
Head-to-headKocaelispor — Samsunspor
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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