Championship · 2026Full timeFull-time analysis
22Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricWolverhamptonBlackburn Rovers
Shots18 shots 10 shots
Shots on target3 shots5 shots
Expected goals2.04 xG 0.82 xG
Possession55% 45%
Corners5 corners5 corners
Fouls10 fouls16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Marshall Munetsi · Wolves · 22′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedOladapo Afolayan · Blackburn · 50′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMateus Mané · Wolves · 56′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMarshall Munetsi · Wolves · 66′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAdam Forshaw · Blackburn · 23′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMateus Mané · Wolves · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Gomes · Wolves · 15′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRyoya Morishita · Blackburn · 17′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAdam Armstrong · Wolves · 22′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFer López · Wolves · 31′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOladapo Afolayan · Blackburn · 47′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMarshall Munetsi · Wolves · 59′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJayden Fevrier · Blackburn · 86′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJake Garrett · Blackburn · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRaúl Jiménez · Wolves · 72′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSean McLoughlin · Blackburn · 27′ · 0.06 xG · goalAdam Armstrong · Wolves · 41′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMarshall Munetsi · Wolves · 57′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTommy Doyle · Wolves · 72′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedOladapo Afolayan · Blackburn · 11′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFer López · Wolves · 37′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRaúl Jiménez · Wolves · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedSean McLoughlin · Blackburn · 86′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAndré · Wolves · 41′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAdam Armstrong · Wolves · 42′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMarshall Munetsi · Wolves · 18′ · 0.44 xG · goalAndri Guðjohnsen · Blackburn · 48′ · 0.44 xG · goalRaúl Jiménez · Wolves · 90′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Wolves: 18 shots, 3 on target, 2.08 xG. Blackburn: 10 shots, 5 on target, 0.84 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Marshall Munetsi · Wolves · 18′Raúl Jiménez · Wolves · 90′Sean McLoughlin · Blackburn · 27′Andri Guðjohnsen · Blackburn · 48′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Wolves 2.08 xG · Blackburn 0.84 xG.

Full time

What the match recorded

Wolves and Blackburn drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Wolves – Blackburn): shots 18–10, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 2.04–0.82, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Season-opening preview

Current-season evidence is still building.

This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.

1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade

Current season so far

Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.

  • Wolverhampton1 matches
  • Blackburn Rovers1 matches

Previous-season context

Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.

These two clubs played in different competitions last season, so the values are shown side by side without ranking them against each other.

Wolverhampton

Competition
Premier League
Season
2025/26
Sample
38 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
24 May 2026
  • Goals scored0.71 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.79 goals/match
  • Expected goals0.94 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.53 xG/match
  • Shots9.71 shots/match
  • Shots allowed13.9 shots/match
  • Shots on target3.24 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed4.71 shots/match
  • Possession42.8%
  • Corners3.39 corners/match
  • Corners allowed5.92 corners/match
  • Cards2.19 cards/match
  • Fouls13 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency11%
  • Scoring frequency50%

Blackburn Rovers

Competition
Championship
Season
2025/26
Sample
46 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
23 May 2026
  • Goals scored0.91 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.22 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.2 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.19 xG/match
  • Shots11.5 shots/match
  • Shots allowed11.7 shots/match
  • Shots on target3.18 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed3.69 shots/match
  • Possession47.9%
  • Corners5.36 corners/match
  • Corners allowed5.02 corners/match
  • Fouls10.6 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency26%
  • Scoring frequency65%

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · UnavailableUnavailableunavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 14 Aug 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4