Championship · 2026

Blackburn Rovers 2–1 Middlesbrough · Championship

2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Blackburn Rovers won 2–1.

Shots
622
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
0.951.34
Possession
30%70%

Full time

What the match recorded

Blackburn Rovers beat Middlesbrough 2–1. Recorded in this match (Blackburn Rovers – Middlesbrough): shots 6–22, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 0.95–1.34, possession 30%–70%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots22 shotsBlackburn Rovers 6 shots, Middlesbrough 22 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsBlackburn Rovers 5 shots, Middlesbrough 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.95 xG1.34 xGBlackburn Rovers 0.95 xG, Middlesbrough 1.34 xG
  • Possession30%70%Blackburn Rovers 30%, Middlesbrough 70%
  • Corners2 corners10 cornersBlackburn Rovers 2 corners, Middlesbrough 10 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls10 foulsBlackburn Rovers 9 fouls, Middlesbrough 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards1 cardBlackburn Rovers 4 cards, Middlesbrough 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Maximilian Arfsten · Middlesbrough · 19′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAdilson Malanda · Middlesbrough · 82′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMyles Peart-Harris · Middlesbrough · 14′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAidan Morris · Middlesbrough · 80′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAidan Morris · Middlesbrough · 82′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMorgan Whittaker · Middlesbrough · 82′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAidan Morris · Middlesbrough · 86′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLeo Castledine · Middlesbrough · 87′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRiley McGree · Middlesbrough · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMorgan Whittaker · Middlesbrough · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCallum Brittain · Middlesbrough · 75′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Arfsten · Middlesbrough · 27′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAidan Morris · Middlesbrough · 79′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedWill Lankshear · Middlesbrough · 1′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJeremy Sarmiento · Middlesbrough · 2′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMyles Peart-Harris · Middlesbrough · 52′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMyles Peart-Harris · Middlesbrough · 53′ · 0.07 xG · on targetRyoya Morishita · Blackburn Rovers · 23′ · 0.09 xG · on targetRyoya Morishita · Blackburn Rovers · 17′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedKristi Montgomery · Blackburn Rovers · 43′ · 0.10 xG · on targetSebastian Berhalter · Middlesbrough · 57′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedWill Lankshear · Middlesbrough · 70′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedTodd Cantwell · Blackburn Rovers · 55′ · 0.12 xG · goalCallum Brittain · Middlesbrough · 59′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedWill Lankshear · Middlesbrough · 51′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedAndri Guðjohnsen · Blackburn Rovers · 49′ · 0.20 xG · goalJeremy Sarmiento · Middlesbrough · 12′ · 0.29 xG · goalRyan Alebiosu · Blackburn Rovers · 5′ · 0.37 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Blackburn Rovers: 6 shots, 5 on target, 0.98 xG. Middlesbrough: 22 shots, 3 on target, 1.31 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Andri Guðjohnsen · Blackburn Rovers · 49′Todd Cantwell · Blackburn Rovers · 55′Jeremy Sarmiento · Middlesbrough · 12′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Blackburn Rovers 0.98 xG · Middlesbrough 1.31 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Blackburn Rovers
3Draws
1Middlesbrough
Blackburn Rovers — Middlesbrough · Championship0–0
Middlesbrough — Blackburn Rovers · Championship0–0
Blackburn Rovers — Middlesbrough · Championship0–2
Middlesbrough — Blackburn Rovers · Championship0–1
Middlesbrough — Blackburn Rovers · Championship0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

  • Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 1 match
7.79 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

Blackburn Rovers / Middlesbrough

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples2 / 2home / away teams
Recent samples2 / 2last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 22 Aug 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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