Stoke City
Championship · 2026Stoke City 1–2 Swansea City · Championship
This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
Swansea City won 1–2.
- Shots
- 6–7
- Shots on target
- 2–3
- Expected goals
- 0.69–0.61
- Possession
- 41%–59%
Full time
What the match recorded
Swansea City beat Stoke City 2–1. Recorded in this match (Stoke City – Swansea City): shots 6–7, shots on target 2–3, expected goals 0.69–0.61, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
This match
Match statistics
Every shot
Shot map
Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.
- off target
- on target
- goal
- penalty
- size = xG
Stoke City: 6 shots, 2 on target, 0.70 xG. Swansea City: 7 shots, 3 on target, 0.61 xG.
How the match built
Expected-goals timeline
Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.
The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Stoke City 0.70 xG · Swansea City 0.61 xG.
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Season-opening preview
Current-season evidence is still building.
This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.
1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade
Current season so far
Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.
- Stoke City1 matches
- Swansea City1 matches
Previous-season context
Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.
Both clubs played the same competition and season, so these values are directly comparable.
Stoke City
- Competition
- Championship
- Season
- 2025/26
- Sample
- 46 matches
- Profile grade
- A
- Data cutoff
- 23 May 2026
- Goals scored1.11 goals/match
- Goals allowed1.22 goals/match
- Expected goals1.09 xG/match
- Expected goals allowed1.38 xG/match
- Shots11.3 shots/match
- Shots allowed12.9 shots/match
- Shots on target3.8 shots/match
- Shots on target allowed3.84 shots/match
- Possession51.8%
- Corners6.07 corners/match
- Corners allowed4.82 corners/match
- Fouls10.5 fouls/match
- Clean-sheet frequency28%
- Scoring frequency63%
Swansea City
- Competition
- Championship
- Season
- 2025/26
- Sample
- 46 matches
- Profile grade
- A
- Data cutoff
- 23 May 2026
- Goals scored1.24 goals/match
- Goals allowed1.28 goals/match
- Expected goals1.1 xG/match
- Expected goals allowed1.21 xG/match
- Shots12.4 shots/match
- Shots allowed12.5 shots/match
- Shots on target3.93 shots/match
- Shots on target allowed4.51 shots/match
- Possession54.6%
- Corners4.51 corners/match
- Corners allowed5.36 corners/match
- Fouls9.82 fouls/match
- Clean-sheet frequency26%
- Scoring frequency78%
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
- At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
- Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
- The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
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