Southampton 3–1 Stoke City — Match Stats & Analysis

Championship · 2026Sat, 22 Aug 2026, 14:00 UTC

Southampton

3–1Full-time analysis

Stoke City

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Southampton won 3–1.

Shots: 1814
Shots on target: 52
Expected goals: 2.60.67
Possession: 58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Southampton beat Stoke City 3–1. Recorded in this match (Southampton – Stoke City): shots 18–14, shots on target 5–2, expected goals 2.6–0.67, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

Shots18 shots14 shotsSouthampton 18 shots, Stoke City 14 shots
Shots on target5 shots2 shotsSouthampton 5 shots, Stoke City 2 shots
Expected goals2.6 xG0.67 xGSouthampton 2.6 xG, Stoke City 0.67 xG
Possession58%42%Southampton 58%, Stoke City 42%
Corners4 corners2 cornersSouthampton 4 corners, Stoke City 2 corners
Fouls10 fouls21 foulsSouthampton 10 fouls, Stoke City 21 fouls
Yellow cards3 cards5 cardsSouthampton 3 cards, Stoke City 5 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Southampton: 18 shots, 5 on target, 2.60 xG. Stoke City: 14 shots, 2 on target, 0.66 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Southampton 2.60 xG · Stoke City 0.66 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Southampton

0Draws

2Stoke City

31 Jan 2026Stoke City — Southampton · Championship0–2

23 Aug 2025Southampton — Stoke City · Championship1–2

27 Apr 2024Southampton — Stoke City · Championship0–1

3 Oct 2023Stoke City — Southampton · Championship0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 1 match

6.06 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited

Season samples2 / 2home / away teams

Recent samples2 / 2last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 22 Aug 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4