Championship · 2026Full timeFull-time analysis
21Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBolton WanderersPreston North End
Shots15 shots 10 shots
Shots on target6 shots 3 shots
Expected goals1.1 xG1.43 xG
Possession55% 45%
Corners5 corners 2 corners
Fouls12 fouls11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Josh Sheehan · Bolton Wanderers · 18′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJosh Sheehan · Bolton Wanderers · 20′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAndrew Hughes · Preston North End · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJohn McAtee · Bolton Wanderers · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJohn McAtee · Bolton Wanderers · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGaizka Larrazabal · Bolton Wanderers · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJosh Sheehan · Bolton Wanderers · 68′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJohn McAtee · Bolton Wanderers · 14′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJosh Sheehan · Bolton Wanderers · 20′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedThierry Gale · Bolton Wanderers · 54′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlfie Devine · Preston North End · 50′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAlfie Devine · Preston North End · 51′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedThierry Gale · Bolton Wanderers · 25′ · 0.06 xG · goalChris Forino · Bolton Wanderers · 20′ · 0.07 xG · on targetDelano Burgzorg · Preston North End · 37′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedCallum Lang · Preston North End · 59′ · 0.08 xG · on targetThierry Gale · Bolton Wanderers · 60′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedLuca Stephenson · Bolton Wanderers · 68′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJusef Erabi · Preston North End · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedLiam Lindsay · Preston North End · 89′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedJusef Erabi · Preston North End · 86′ · 0.16 xG · goalSam Dalby · Bolton Wanderers · 14′ · 0.25 xG · goalMilutin Osmajić · Preston North End · 66′ · 0.28 xG · on targetSam Dalby · Bolton Wanderers · 74′ · 0.32 xG · on targetLiam Lindsay · Preston North End · 90′ · 0.47 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bolton Wanderers: 15 shots, 6 on target, 1.12 xG. Preston North End: 10 shots, 3 on target, 1.41 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Sam Dalby · Bolton Wanderers · 14′Thierry Gale · Bolton Wanderers · 25′Jusef Erabi · Preston North End · 86′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bolton Wanderers 1.12 xG · Preston North End 1.41 xG.

Full time

What the match recorded

Bolton Wanderers beat Preston North End 2–1. Recorded in this match (Bolton Wanderers – Preston North End): shots 15–10, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 1.1–1.43, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Limited historical context

PitchMath holds only part of the history for this match.

Current-season evidence is below the threshold and the previous-season record is incomplete, so only what is actually stored is shown.

1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade

Current season so far

Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.

  • Bolton Wanderers1 matches
  • Preston North End1 matches

Previous-season context

Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.

Bolton Wanderers

No trustworthy previous-season profile is stored for this club.

Preston North End

Competition
Championship
Season
2025/26
Sample
46 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
23 May 2026
  • Goals scored1.2 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.35 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.19 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.51 xG/match
  • Shots10.8 shots/match
  • Shots allowed14.7 shots/match
  • Shots on target3.53 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed4.31 shots/match
  • Possession45.3%
  • Corners4.36 corners/match
  • Corners allowed6.38 corners/match
  • Fouls10.4 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency20%
  • Scoring frequency74%

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · UnavailableUnavailableunavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 15 Aug 2026, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4