Championship · 2026Full timeFull-time analysis
21Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricMiddlesbroughLincoln City
Shots22 shots 10 shots
Shots on target7 shots 2 shots
Expected goals2.22 xG 0.62 xG
Possession77% 23%
Corners5 corners5 corners
Fouls12 fouls12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Adam Reach · Lincoln City · 5′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedLuke Ayling · Middlesbrough · 2′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMorgan Whittaker · Middlesbrough · 68′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAbdoulaye Kanté · Middlesbrough · 17′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDom Jefferies · Lincoln City · 23′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBen House · Lincoln City · 37′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDom Jefferies · Lincoln City · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFreddie Draper · Lincoln City · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedWill Lankshear · Middlesbrough · 48′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNeto Borges · Middlesbrough · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJeremy Sarmiento · Middlesbrough · 73′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSebastian Berhalter · Middlesbrough · 85′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAdilson Malanda · Middlesbrough · 21′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMorgan Whittaker · Middlesbrough · 51′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSebastian Berhalter · Middlesbrough · 75′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLeo Castledine · Middlesbrough · 16′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSebastian Berhalter · Middlesbrough · 85′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLeo Castledine · Middlesbrough · 62′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFreddie Draper · Lincoln City · 5′ · 0.07 xG · on targetThomas Hamer · Lincoln City · 52′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMyles Peart-Harris · Middlesbrough · 70′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAdam Reach · Lincoln City · 12′ · 0.10 xG · goalWill Lankshear · Middlesbrough · 49′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedLuke Ayling · Middlesbrough · 34′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMyles Peart-Harris · Middlesbrough · 87′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMorgan Whittaker · Middlesbrough · 75′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedWill Lankshear · Middlesbrough · 87′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedRyley Towler · Lincoln City · 4′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedDom Jefferies · Lincoln City · 30′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedKyle Joseph · Middlesbrough · 45′ · 0.18 xG · on targetWill Lankshear · Middlesbrough · 90′ · 0.32 xG · goalWill Lankshear · Middlesbrough · 62′ · 0.67 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Middlesbrough: 22 shots, 7 on target, 2.23 xG. Lincoln City: 10 shots, 2 on target, 0.62 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Will Lankshear · Middlesbrough · 62′Will Lankshear · Middlesbrough · 90′Adam Reach · Lincoln City · 12′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Middlesbrough 2.23 xG · Lincoln City 0.62 xG.

Full time

What the match recorded

Middlesbrough beat Lincoln City 2–1. Recorded in this match (Middlesbrough – Lincoln City): shots 22–10, shots on target 7–2, expected goals 2.22–0.62, possession 77%–23%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Limited historical context

PitchMath holds only part of the history for this match.

Current-season evidence is below the threshold and the previous-season record is incomplete, so only what is actually stored is shown.

1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade

Current season so far

Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.

  • Middlesbrough1 matches
  • Lincoln City1 matches

Previous-season context

Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.

Middlesbrough

Competition
Championship
Season
2025/26
Sample
49 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
23 May 2026
  • Goals scored1.49 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1 goal/match
  • Expected goals1.49 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed0.92 xG/match
  • Shots16.2 shots/match
  • Shots allowed10.3 shots/match
  • Shots on target4.79 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed3.25 shots/match
  • Possession59.7%
  • Corners6.83 corners/match
  • Corners allowed4.17 corners/match
  • Fouls9.44 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency29%
  • Scoring frequency73%

Lincoln City

No trustworthy previous-season profile is stored for this club.

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · UnavailableUnavailableunavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 15 Aug 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4