Championship · 2026

Lincoln City 1–3 Portsmouth · Championship

1–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Portsmouth won 1–3.

Shots
1513
Shots on target
57
Expected goals
2.291.15
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

Portsmouth beat Lincoln City 3–1. Recorded in this match (Lincoln City – Portsmouth): shots 15–13, shots on target 5–7, expected goals 2.29–1.15, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots13 shotsLincoln City 15 shots, Portsmouth 13 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots7 shotsLincoln City 5 shots, Portsmouth 7 shots
  • Expected goals2.29 xG1.15 xGLincoln City 2.29 xG, Portsmouth 1.15 xG
  • Possession39%61%Lincoln City 39%, Portsmouth 61%
  • Corners8 corners3 cornersLincoln City 8 corners, Portsmouth 3 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls15 foulsLincoln City 17 fouls, Portsmouth 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards1 cardLincoln City 3 cards, Portsmouth 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Freddie Draper · Lincoln City · 7′ · 0.00 xG · on targetTerry Devlin · Portsmouth · 68′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEbou Adams · Portsmouth · 69′ · 0.02 xG · goalTendayi Darikwa · Lincoln City · 3′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedReeco Hackett-Fairchild · Lincoln City · 6′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAdrian Segečić · Portsmouth · 12′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedReeco Hackett-Fairchild · Lincoln City · 20′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIvan Varfolomeev · Lincoln City · 40′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAbu Kamara · Portsmouth · 60′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedReeco Hackett-Fairchild · Lincoln City · 38′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRyan Kavuma-McQueen · Portsmouth · 7′ · 0.05 xG · goalAdam Reach · Lincoln City · 31′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBen House · Lincoln City · 64′ · 0.05 xG · on targetColby Bishop · Portsmouth · 44′ · 0.06 xG · on targetColby Bishop · Portsmouth · 62′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAbu Kamara · Portsmouth · 11′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAdam Reach · Lincoln City · 2′ · 0.08 xG · on targetColby Bishop · Portsmouth · 13′ · 0.08 xG · on targetRobert Street · Lincoln City · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAbu Kamara · Portsmouth · 49′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedRobert Street · Lincoln City · 90′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAdrian Segečić · Portsmouth · 16′ · 0.17 xG · goalBen House · Lincoln City · 64′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedAdrian Segečić · Portsmouth · 85′ · 0.20 xG · on targetAdrian Segečić · Portsmouth · 74′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedDeji Elerewe · Lincoln City · 23′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedBen House · Lincoln City · 5′ · 0.50 xG · on targetReeco Hackett-Fairchild · Lincoln City · 32′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lincoln City: 15 shots, 5 on target, 2.28 xG. Portsmouth: 13 shots, 7 on target, 1.13 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Reeco Hackett-Fairchild · Lincoln City · 32′Ryan Kavuma-McQueen · Portsmouth · 7′Adrian Segečić · Portsmouth · 16′Ebou Adams · Portsmouth · 69′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lincoln City 2.28 xG · Portsmouth 1.13 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Lincoln City
2Draws
3Portsmouth
Lincoln City — Portsmouth · League One0–2
Portsmouth — Lincoln City · League One2–1
Lincoln City — Portsmouth · League One0–0
Portsmouth — Lincoln City · League One0–0
Portsmouth — Lincoln City · League One3–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

  • Rest before fixture · Both teams: 6.9 days
  • Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 1 match

Lincoln City / Portsmouth

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples2 / 2home / away teams
Recent samples2 / 2last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 22 Aug 2026, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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