Birmingham City and Bristol City drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Birmingham City – Bristol City): shots 8–14, shots on target 2–6, expected goals 1.98–1.43, possession 65%–35%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
This match
Match statistics
Birmingham CityBristol City
Shots8 shots14 shotsBirmingham City 8 shots, Bristol City 14 shots
Shots on target2 shots6 shotsBirmingham City 2 shots, Bristol City 6 shots
Expected goals1.98 xG1.43 xGBirmingham City 1.98 xG, Bristol City 1.43 xG
Possession65%35%Birmingham City 65%, Bristol City 35%
Corners7 corners3 cornersBirmingham City 7 corners, Bristol City 3 corners
Fouls13 fouls12 foulsBirmingham City 13 fouls, Bristol City 12 fouls
Yellow cards2 cards1 cardBirmingham City 2 cards, Bristol City 1 card
Every shot
Shot map
Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.
Bristol City← attackingattacking →Birmingham City
off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG
Birmingham City: 9 shots, 3 on target, 2.35 xG. Bristol City: 14 shots, 6 on target, 1.47 xG.
How the match built
Expected-goals timeline
Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.
Birmingham City2.35 xGBristol City1.47 xG
The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Birmingham City 2.35 xG · Bristol City 1.47 xG.
▲ led this metric● higher value (descriptive) too close
Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 1 match
6.79 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.9 days
Birmingham City / Bristol City
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples2 / 2home / away teams
Recent samples2 / 2last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.
Known unknowns
Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 22 Aug 2026, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4