Championship · 2026

Birmingham City 2–2 Bristol City · Championship

2–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Birmingham City and Bristol City drew 2–2.

Shots
814
Shots on target
26
Expected goals
1.981.43
Possession
65%35%

Full time

What the match recorded

Birmingham City and Bristol City drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Birmingham City – Bristol City): shots 8–14, shots on target 2–6, expected goals 1.98–1.43, possession 65%–35%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots14 shotsBirmingham City 8 shots, Bristol City 14 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots6 shotsBirmingham City 2 shots, Bristol City 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.98 xG1.43 xGBirmingham City 1.98 xG, Bristol City 1.43 xG
  • Possession65%35%Birmingham City 65%, Bristol City 35%
  • Corners7 corners3 cornersBirmingham City 7 corners, Bristol City 3 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls12 foulsBirmingham City 13 fouls, Bristol City 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardBirmingham City 2 cards, Bristol City 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jhon Solís · Birmingham City · 7′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedScott Twine · Bristol City · 33′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGeorge Tanner · Bristol City · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBright Osayi-Samuel · Birmingham City · 18′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJed Wallace · Bristol City · 57′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSam Greenwood · Bristol City · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLuis Vázquez · Birmingham City · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedScott Twine · Bristol City · 8′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTomoki Iwata · Birmingham City · 52′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Ducksch · Birmingham City · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetTomi Horvat · Bristol City · 76′ · 0.08 xG · on targetScott Twine · Bristol City · 33′ · 0.10 xG · goalJoe Williams · Bristol City · 52′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedDominic Ballard · Bristol City · 85′ · 0.10 xG · goalRob Dickie · Bristol City · 25′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedLisav Naif Eissat · Bristol City · 29′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedScott Twine · Bristol City · 54′ · 0.17 xG · on targetLorent Tolaj · Bristol City · 29′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedSam Tickle · Birmingham City · 42′ · 0.29 xG · goalLorent Tolaj · Bristol City · 56′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blockedAugust Priske · Birmingham City · 75′ · 0.47 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Vicente · Birmingham City · 42′ · 0.59 xG · off target or blockedDemarai Gray · Birmingham City · 90′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Birmingham City: 9 shots, 3 on target, 2.35 xG. Bristol City: 14 shots, 6 on target, 1.47 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Sam Tickle · Birmingham City · 42′Demarai Gray · Birmingham City · 90′Scott Twine · Bristol City · 33′Dominic Ballard · Bristol City · 85′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Birmingham City 2.35 xG · Bristol City 1.47 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Birmingham City
1Draws
2Bristol City
Birmingham City — Bristol City · Championship2–1
Bristol City — Birmingham City · Championship1–0
Birmingham City — Bristol City · Championship0–0
Bristol City — Birmingham City · Championship0–2
Bristol City — Birmingham City · Championship4–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

  • Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 1 match
6.79 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.9 days

Birmingham City / Bristol City

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples2 / 2home / away teams
Recent samples2 / 2last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 22 Aug 2026, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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