PitchMath
La Liga · 2026

Celta Vigo 1–1 Málaga · La Liga

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Celta Vigo and Málaga drew 1–1.

Shots
1712
Shots on target
52
Expected goals
1.780.48
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Celta Vigo and Málaga drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Celta Vigo – Málaga): shots 17–12, shots on target 5–2, expected goals 1.78–0.48, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Celta Vigo's recent record differs from the season

weak

Celta Vigo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.5 goals/match1.45 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Celta Vigo.

5.79 days ▲Rest daysCelta Vigo · Málaga6.81 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCelta VigoMálagaBaseline
Rest days5.79 days6.81 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots12 shotsCelta Vigo 17 shots, Málaga 12 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots2 shotsCelta Vigo 5 shots, Málaga 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.78 xG0.48 xGCelta Vigo 1.78 xG, Málaga 0.48 xG
  • Possession46%54%Celta Vigo 46%, Málaga 54%
  • Corners1 corner5 cornersCelta Vigo 1 corner, Málaga 5 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls10 foulsCelta Vigo 10 fouls, Málaga 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardCelta Vigo 1 card, Málaga 1 card
  • Passes476 passes559 passesCelta Vigo 476 passes, Málaga 559 passes
  • Pass accuracy88.2%88.6%Celta Vigo 88.2%, Málaga 88.6%
  • Shots inside box7 shots6 shotsCelta Vigo 7 shots, Málaga 6 shots
  • Blocked shots5 blocks3 blocksCelta Vigo 5 blocks, Málaga 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save4 savesCelta Vigo 1 save, Málaga 4 saves
  • Offsides6 offsides0 offsidesCelta Vigo 6 offsides, Málaga 0 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 24′Einar GalileaYellow card · Málaga
  2. 26′Yoel LagoYellow card · Celta Vigo
  3. 41′Ferrán JutglàGoal · Celta Vigo
  4. Half-time
  5. 83′Adrián NiñoGoal · Málaga
  6. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Málaga · 1 player changeRamón Enríquez
  • 61′Málaga · 1 player changeJuan Cruz
  • 62′Celta Vigo · 1 player changeWilliot Swedberg
  • 67′Málaga · 2 player changesAdrián Niño · Carlos Puga
  • 74′Celta Vigo · 1 player changeHugo Burcio
  • 75′Celta Vigo · 1 player changeCouhaib Driouech
  • 84′Celta Vigo · 1 player changeJavi Galán
  • 85′Celta Vigo · 1 player changeIago Aspas
  • 87′Málaga · 1 player changeJuan Berrocal

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Celta Vigo3-4-3
  1. Ionuț RaduG
  2. Carl StarfeltD
  3. Marcos AlonsoD
  4. Sergio CarreiraD
  5. Javier RuedaD
  6. Javi RodríguezD
  7. Ilaix MoribaM
  8. Miguel RománM
  9. Ferrán JutglàF
  10. Hugo GonzálezF
  11. Williot SwedbergF
Málaga4-3-3
  1. Alfonso HerreroG
  2. Einar GalileaD
  3. Jose SalinasD
  4. Ángel RecioD
  5. Rafa GarridoD
  6. Carlos DotorM
  7. Pablo MartínezM
  8. Dani LorenzoM
  9. ChupeteF
  10. David LarrubiaF
  11. Joaquín MuñozF

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Celta Vigo favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Málaga in 3 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Celta Vigo6 matchesMálaga5 matches
0.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/50.4 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed6/51.6 goals/match
0.74 xG/matchExpected goals6/5▲ 0.96 xG/match
9.83 shots/matchShots6/5▲ 10.8 shots/match
2.83 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/51.8 shots/match
54.3% ●Possession6/552.4%
3.33 corners/matchCorners6/5● 5 corners/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls6/511.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 13 Sept 2026, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCelta VigoMálaga
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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