PitchMath
Serie A · 2026

Cagliari 1–0 Lecce · Serie A

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Cagliari won 1–0.

Shots
2010
Shots on target
93
Expected goals
1.360.41
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cagliari beat Lecce 1–0. Recorded in this match (Cagliari – Lecce): shots 20–10, shots on target 9–3, expected goals 1.36–0.41, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cagliari show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Cagliari's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.7 shots/match ▲ShotsCagliari · Lecce9.67 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCagliariLecceBaseline
Shots14.7 shots/match9.67 shots/match14.2 shots/match
Shots against17.7 shots/match18 shots/match14.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots10 shotsCagliari 20 shots, Lecce 10 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots3 shotsCagliari 9 shots, Lecce 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.36 xG0.41 xGCagliari 1.36 xG, Lecce 0.41 xG
  • Possession42%58%Cagliari 42%, Lecce 58%
  • Corners7 corners5 cornersCagliari 7 corners, Lecce 5 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls13 foulsCagliari 9 fouls, Lecce 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card3 cardsCagliari 1 card, Lecce 3 cards
  • Passes372 passes517 passesCagliari 372 passes, Lecce 517 passes
  • Pass accuracy81.7%82.2%Cagliari 81.7%, Lecce 82.2%
  • Shots inside box11 shots4 shotsCagliari 11 shots, Lecce 4 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks3 blocksCagliari 4 blocks, Lecce 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves8 savesCagliari 3 saves, Lecce 8 saves
  • Offsides5 offsides1 offsideCagliari 5 offsides, Lecce 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 29′Daniel MaldiniGoal · Cagliari
  2. 37′Kialonda GasparYellow card · Lecce
  3. Half-time
  4. 90′Jamil SiebertYellow card · Lecce
  5. 90′Alessandro DeiolaYellow card · Cagliari
  6. 90′Wladimiro FalconeYellow card · Lecce
  7. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Lecce · 1 player changeAmar Fatah
  • 61′Cagliari · 1 player changeMattia Felici
  • 66′Cagliari · 1 player changeRaphael Kofler
  • 66′Lecce · 3 player changesN'Dri Konan · Youssef Maleh · Jamil Siebert
  • 66′Cagliari · 1 player changeAlieu Fadera
  • 74′Cagliari · 2 player changesAlessandro Sugamele · Roberto Gagliardini
  • 82′Lecce · 1 player changeMedon Berisha

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Cagliari4-2-3-1
  1. Elia CaprileG
  2. Zé PedroD
  3. Alessandro DeiolaD
  4. Juan RodríguezD
  5. Adam ObertD
  6. Alessandro RomanoM
  7. Harry WinksM
  8. Daniel MaldiniM
  9. Michel AdopoF
  10. Jacopo FazziniF
  11. Paul MendyF
Lecce4-3-3
  1. Wladimiro FalconeG
  2. Kialonda GasparD
  3. Danilo VeigaD
  4. Antonino GalloD
  5. Tiago GabrielD
  6. Ivan IlićM
  7. Olaf GorterM
  8. Lassana CoulibalyM
  9. Nikola ŠtulićF
  10. Santiago PierottiF
  11. Joël MonteiroF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Cagliari
1Draws
2Lecce
Cagliari — Lecce · Serie A0–2
Lecce — Cagliari · Serie A1–2
Cagliari — Lecce · Serie A4–1
Lecce — Cagliari · Serie A1–0
Cagliari — Lecce · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cagliari favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Lecce in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cagliari3 matchesLecce3 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/30.67 goals/match
0.33 goals/match ▲Goals allowed3/31.67 goals/match
0.94 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲ 1.28 xG/match
14.7 shots/match ▲Shots3/39.67 shots/match
4.67 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/33.67 shots/match
43.3% ●Possession3/341%
5.67 corners/match ●Corners3/33.33 corners/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls3/311.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 7 Sept 2026, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCagliariLecce
CompetitionSerie A
Head-to-headCagliari — Lecce
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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