Serie A · 2026

Lecce 3–2 Monza · Serie A

3–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Lecce won 3–2.

Shots
719
Shots on target
311
Expected goals
1.082.79
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lecce beat Monza 3–2. Recorded in this match (Lecce – Monza): shots 7–19, shots on target 3–11, expected goals 1.08–2.79, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lecce show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Lecce's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9 shots/match ▲ShotsLecce · Monza14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLecceMonzaBaseline
Shots9 shots/match14 shots/match13.8 shots/match
Shots against18.3 shots/match9.75 shots/match15 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

12 fouls/matchFoulsLecce · Monza13.3 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricLecceMonzaBaseline
Fouls12 fouls/match13.3 fouls/match10.9 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Monza have recorded the higher season possession share.

40.5%PossessionLecce · Monza● 49%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLecceMonzaBaseline
Possession40.5%49%46.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots19 shotsLecce 7 shots, Monza 19 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots11 shotsLecce 3 shots, Monza 11 shots
  • Expected goals1.08 xG2.79 xGLecce 1.08 xG, Monza 2.79 xG
  • Possession39%61%Lecce 39%, Monza 61%
  • Corners4 corners6 cornersLecce 4 corners, Monza 6 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls13 foulsLecce 14 fouls, Monza 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards0 cardsLecce 2 cards, Monza 0 cards
  • Passes322 passes493 passesLecce 322 passes, Monza 493 passes
  • Pass accuracy73%82.4%Lecce 73%, Monza 82.4%
  • Shots inside box6 shots14 shotsLecce 6 shots, Monza 14 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block3 blocksLecce 1 block, Monza 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves8 saves0 savesLecce 8 saves, Monza 0 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides4 offsidesLecce 0 offsides, Monza 4 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 3′Lassana CoulibalyGoal · Lecce
  2. 11′Tiago GabrielGoal · Lecce
  3. 20′Ricardo MangasGoal · Monza
  4. 21′Lassana CoulibalyGoal · Lecce
  5. 38′N'Dri KonanYellow card · Lecce
  6. Half-time
  7. 89′Exequiel ZeballosGoal · Monza
  8. 90′Danilo VeigaYellow card · Lecce
  9. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Monza · 1 player changeAdam Bakoune
  • 46′Lecce · 1 player changeSantiago Pierotti
  • 64′Monza · 2 player changesPatrick Cutrone · Exequiel Zeballos
  • 66′Lecce · 1 player changeOumar Ngom
  • 74′Lecce · 2 player changesPaco Esteban · Amar Fatah
  • 75′Monza · 1 player changeOmari Forson
  • 84′Monza · 1 player changeMathis Mout
  • 85′Lecce · 1 player changeMohamed Kaba

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Lecce4-3-3
  1. Wladimiro FalconeG
  2. Kialonda GasparD
  3. Danilo VeigaD
  4. Antonino GalloD
  5. Tiago GabrielD
  6. Ivan IlićM
  7. Lassana CoulibalyM
  8. Oumar NgomM
  9. Nikola ŠtulićF
  10. Santiago PierottiF
  11. Joël MonteiroF
Monza3-4-3
  1. Demba ThiamG
  2. Lorenzo LucchesiD
  3. Ricardo MangasD
  4. Samuele BirindelliD
  5. Andrea CarboniD
  6. Eddy KouadioD
  7. Ebenezer AkinsanmiroM
  8. Michael FolorunshoM
  9. Gustavo VarelaF
  10. Andrea ColpaniF
  11. Jay RobinsonF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Lecce
3Draws
0Monza
Monza — Lecce · Serie A0–0
Lecce — Monza · Serie A2–1
Lecce — Monza · Serie A1–1
Monza — Lecce · Serie A1–1
Monza — Lecce · Serie A0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lecce favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Monza in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lecce4 matchesMonza4 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲ 1.5 goals/match
1.75 goals/match ▲Goals allowed4/42.75 goals/match
1.23 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲ 1.84 xG/match
9 shots/matchShots4/4▲ 14 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲ 6 shots/match
40.5%Possession4/4● 49%
3.5 corners/matchCorners4/4● 3.75 corners/match
12 fouls/matchFouls4/413.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 13 Sept 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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