Le Havre 1–2 Stade Brestois · Ligue 1
This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
Stade Brestois won 1–2.
- Shots
- 18–19
- Shots on target
- 4–9
- Expected goals
- 2.02–2.37
- Possession
- 56%–44%
Full time
What the match recorded
Stade Brestois beat Le Havre 2–1. Recorded in this match (Le Havre – Stade Brestois): shots 18–19, shots on target 4–9, expected goals 2.02–2.37, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
Stade Brestois show a distinct attacking-volume record
weakStade Brestois's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.
Window: season
| Metric | Le Havre | Stade Brestois | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 14.7 shots/match | 23.3 shots/match | 13.5 shots/match |
| Shots against | 16.3 shots/match | 10.7 shots/match | 14.8 shots/match |
Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.
Both teams have elevated fouls records
weakEach team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.
Window: season
| Metric | Le Havre | Stade Brestois | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fouls | 14.7 fouls/match | 16.3 fouls/match | 11.3 fouls/match |
Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.
This match
Match statistics
As it happened
Key moments
- 10′Lionel Mpasi NzauYellow card · Le Havre
- 12′Kamory DoumbiaPenalty goal · Stade Brestois
- 39′Kamory DoumbiaYellow card · Stade Brestois
- 45′Junior MwangaRed card · Le Havre
- Half-time
- 51′Kamory DoumbiaGoal · Stade Brestois
- 79′Rayan FofanaPenalty goal · Le Havre
- Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
- 22′Stade Brestois · 1 player changeLuc Zogbé
- 46′Le Havre · 1 player changeSota Nakamura
- 62′Le Havre · 2 player changesEnzo Koffi · Rayan Fofana
- 67′Stade Brestois · 1 player changeNoah Edjouma
- 75′Stade Brestois · 2 player changesJoseph Nonge · Lucas Tousart
- 76′Stade Brestois · 1 player changeGiovani Versini
- 80′Le Havre · 1 player changeDjibril Ouziad
- 90′Le Havre · 1 player changeGauthier Gallon
Who started
Lineups
Show both lineups
Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.
- Lionel Mpasi NzauG
- Ahmed ToubaD
- Junior MwangaD
- Ayumu SekoD
- Timothee PembeleD
- Djibril OuziadD
- Amir RichardsonM
- Simon EbonogM
- Rassoul NdiayeF
- Kaito MizutaF
- Ally SamattaF
- Egil SelvikG
- Bradley LockoD
- Gautier LlorisD
- Raphaël Le GuenD
- Kenny LalaD
- Hugo MagnettiM
- Joris ChotardM
- Kamory DoumbiaM
- Pathé MboupF
- Giovani VersiniF
- Ludovic AjorqueF
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Le Havre favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Stade Brestois in 0 · 13 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
- Rest before fixture · Both teams: 7 days
- Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 2 matches
Le Havre / Stade Brestois
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
- At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
- The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Team rankings in Ligue 1
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