PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2025Tofiq Bəhramov

Qarabag 2–0 FC København · UEFA Champions League

Qarabag

WWWLW
2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Qarabag won 2–0.

Shots
1012
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
1.910.98
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Qarabağ beat FC København 2–0. Recorded in this match (Qarabağ – FC København): shots 10–12, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 1.91–0.98, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC København's recent record differs from the season

weak

FC København's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.63 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.63 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots12 shotsQarabag 10 shots, FC København 12 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsQarabag 6 shots, FC København 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.91 xG0.98 xGQarabag 1.91 xG, FC København 0.98 xG
  • Possession49%51%Qarabag 49%, FC København 51%
  • Corners4 corners7 cornersQarabag 4 corners, FC København 7 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls20 foulsQarabag 10 fouls, FC København 20 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mohamed Elyounoussi · FC København · 47′ · 0.01 xG · on targetPedro Bicalho · Qarabağ · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOlexiy Kashchuk · Qarabağ · 36′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMatheus Silva · Qarabağ · 38′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMohamed Elyounoussi · FC København · 66′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLukas Lerager · FC København · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEmmanuel Addai · Qarabağ · 83′ · 0.04 xG · goalMohamed Elyounoussi · FC København · 73′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLukas Lerager · FC København · 40′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLukas Lerager · FC København · 56′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMarcos López · FC København · 76′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJordan Larsson · FC København · 63′ · 0.08 xG · on targetGabriel Pereira · FC København · 82′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAbdellah Zoubir · Qarabağ · 11′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedCamilo Durán · Qarabağ · 27′ · 0.10 xG · on targetAbdellah Zoubir · Qarabağ · 37′ · 0.12 xG · on targetLukas Lerager · FC København · 67′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedViktor Claesson · FC København · 83′ · 0.16 xG · on targetMohamed Elyounoussi · FC København · 29′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Andrade · Qarabağ · 45′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedMusa Qurbanlı · Qarabağ · 90′ · 0.53 xG · off target or blockedAbdellah Zoubir · Qarabağ · 28′ · 0.70 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Qarabağ: 10 shots, 6 on target, 1.87 xG. FC København: 12 shots, 4 on target, 0.95 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Abdellah Zoubir · Qarabağ · 28′Emmanuel Addai · Qarabağ · 83′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Qarabağ 1.87 xG · FC København 0.95 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Qarabag favored in 2 of 9 directional metrics · FC København in 2 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Qarabag8 matchesFC København8 matches
2.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/81.63 goals/match
0.88 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 0.63 goals/match
10.3 shots/matchShots4/8▲ 11.6 shots/match
4.25 shots/matchShots on target4/8▲ 5 shots/match
48.3%Possession4/8● 51.9%
2.75 corners/matchCorners4/8● 4.63 corners/match
9.5 fouls/matchFouls4/816.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 1 Oct 2025, 20:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsQarabagFC København
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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