UEFA Champions League · 2025Wed, 1 Oct 2025, 16:45 UTCFull timeLotto ParkFull-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricRoyale Union Saint-GilloiseNewcastle United
Shots17 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match6 shots/match
Expected goals0.88 xG/match2.76 xG/match
Possession43%57%
Corners7 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls15 fouls/match8 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Ousseynou Niang · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 2′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKamiel Van de Perre · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 23′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAdem Zorgane · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 24′ · 0.03 xG · on targetFedde Leysen · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 50′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarc Giger · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 75′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSofiane Boufal · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 80′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAnthony Elanga · Newcastle United · 4′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAnouar Ait El Hadj · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 31′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAnouar Ait El Hadj · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 70′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarc Giger · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAdem Zorgane · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 25′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJoelinton · Newcastle United · 29′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAnan Khalaili · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 48′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedWilliam Osula · Newcastle United · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJoelinton · Newcastle United · 13′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Elanga · Newcastle United · 46′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAdem Zorgane · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 50′ · 0.06 xG · on targetOusseynou Niang · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 50′ · 0.06 xG · on targetSandro Tonali · Newcastle United · 17′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAnouar Ait El Hadj · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 45′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedFedde Leysen · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 6′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedKevin Rodriguez · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 6′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedKevin Mac Allister · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 26′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMalick Thiaw · Newcastle United · 78′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Gordon · Newcastle United · 21′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedNick Woltemade · Newcastle United · 17′ · 0.17 xG · goalSandro Tonali · Newcastle United · 90′ · 0.20 xG · on targetHarvey Barnes · Newcastle United · 80′ · 0.22 xG · goalAnthony Gordon · Newcastle United · 43′ · 0.82 xG · goalAnthony Gordon · Newcastle United · 64′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise: 17 shots, 6 on target, 0.88 xG. Newcastle United: 13 shots, 6 on target, 2.83 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Nick Woltemade · Newcastle United · 17′Anthony Gordon · Newcastle United · 43′Anthony Gordon · Newcastle United · 64′Harvey Barnes · Newcastle United · 80′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 0.88 xG · Newcastle United 2.83 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Newcastle United in 0 · 14 too close

Goals scoredseason · 2/2
Goals allowedseason · 2/2
Expected goalsseason · 2/2
Expected goals allowedseason · 2/2
Shotsseason · 2/2
Shots allowedseason · 2/2
Shots on targetseason · 2/2
Shots on target allowedseason · 2/2
Possessionseason · 2/2
Cornersseason · 2/2
Corners allowedseason · 2/2
Cardsseason · 0/0
Foulsseason · 2/2
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 2/2
Scoring frequencyseason · 2/2

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
Newcastle United
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
Newcastle United
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
Newcastle United
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
Newcastle United
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
Newcastle United
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
Newcastle United
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
Newcastle United
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

2 / 2 matches
Goals scored2/2
Goals allowed2/2
Expected goals2/2
Shots2/2
Shots on target2/2
Possession2/2
Corners2/2
Cards0/0
Fouls2/2

Window

Last 10

2 / 2 matches
Goals scored2/2
Goals allowed2/2
Expected goals2/2
Shots2/2
Shots on target2/2
Possession2/2
Corners2/2
Cards0/0
Fouls2/2

Window

Season

2 / 2 matches
Goals scored2/2
Goals allowed2/2
Expected goals2/2
Shots2/2
Shots on target2/2
Possession2/2
Corners2/2
Cards0/0
Fouls2/2

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

1 / 1 matches
Goals scored1/1
Goals allowed1/1
Expected goals1/1
Shots1/1
Shots on target1/1
Possession1/1
Corners1/1
Cards0/0
Fouls1/1

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

15 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/112.9 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples2 / 2home / away teams
Recent samples2 / 2last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 1 Oct 2025, 20:45 UTC · analysis-v4

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