PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2025Parken

FC København 3–2 Kairat Almaty · UEFA Champions League

3–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC København won 3–2.

Shots
1813
Shots on target
94
Expected goals
3.271.88
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC København beat Kairat Almaty 3–2. Recorded in this match (FC København – Kairat Almaty): shots 18–13, shots on target 9–4, expected goals 3.27–1.88, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Kairat Almaty have a visible away split

moderate

Kairat Almaty's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.2 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.2 shots/match12 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots13 shotsFC København 18 shots, Kairat Almaty 13 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots4 shotsFC København 9 shots, Kairat Almaty 4 shots
  • Expected goals3.27 xG1.88 xGFC København 3.27 xG, Kairat Almaty 1.88 xG
  • Possession54%46%FC København 54%, Kairat Almaty 46%
  • Corners5 corners0 cornersFC København 5 corners, Kairat Almaty 0 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls10 foulsFC København 19 fouls, Kairat Almaty 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Dastan Satpaev · Kairat Almaty · 36′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJunnosuke Suzuki · FC København · 77′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJordan Larsson · FC København · 20′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedViktor Claesson · FC København · 33′ · 0.03 xG · on targetErkin Tapalov · Kairat Almaty · 52′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDan Glazer · Kairat Almaty · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRobert · FC København · 73′ · 0.03 xG · goalRobert · FC København · 73′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDastan Satpaev · Kairat Almaty · 30′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJunnosuke Suzuki · FC København · 53′ · 0.04 xG · on targetEdmilson · Kairat Almaty · 67′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGiorgi Zaria · Kairat Almaty · 83′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEdmilson · Kairat Almaty · 24′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedWilliam Clem · FC København · 54′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedViktor Bjarki Dadason · FC København · 62′ · 0.05 xG · on targetEgor Sorokin · Kairat Almaty · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJorginho · Kairat Almaty · 12′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJordan Larsson · FC København · 20′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRobert · FC København · 67′ · 0.06 xG · on targetRobert · FC København · 39′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Pereira · FC København · 11′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJug Stanojev · Kairat Almaty · 87′ · 0.11 xG · on targetLukas Lerager · FC København · 24′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedValeriy Gromyko · Kairat Almaty · 22′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedRobert · FC København · 45′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedRobert · FC København · 26′ · 0.21 xG · on targetOlzhas Baibek · Kairat Almaty · 90′ · 0.47 xG · goalViktor Bjarki Dadason · FC København · 33′ · 0.59 xG · on targetDastan Satpaev · Kairat Almaty · 81′ · 0.78 xG · goalJordan Larsson · FC København · 59′ · 0.82 xG · goalViktor Bjarki Dadason · FC København · 26′ · 0.94 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC København: 18 shots, 9 on target, 3.40 xG. Kairat Almaty: 13 shots, 4 on target, 1.87 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Viktor Bjarki Dadason · FC København · 26′Jordan Larsson · FC København · 59′Robert · FC København · 73′Dastan Satpaev · Kairat Almaty · 81′Olzhas Baibek · Kairat Almaty · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC København 3.40 xG · Kairat Almaty 1.87 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC København favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Kairat Almaty in 0 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC København11 matchesKairat Almaty13 matches
1.64 goals/match ▲Goals scored11/130.85 goals/match
1.36 goals/matchGoals allowed11/131.38 goals/match
1.44 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/50.94 xG/match
12.2 shots/matchShots11/812 shots/match
5.18 shots/match ▲Shots on target11/83.38 shots/match
49.5% ●Possession11/840.1%
4.73 corners/match ●Corners11/83.5 corners/match
15.5 fouls/matchFouls11/812.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 26 Nov 2025, 21:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC KøbenhavnKairat Almaty
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required