UEFA Champions League · 2025Tue, 17 Mar 2026, 17:45 UTCFull timeJosé AlvaladeFull-time recap
30Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSportingBodø/Glimt
Shots38 shots/match9 shots/match
Shots on target14 shots/match3 shots/match
Expected goals3.35 xG/match0.54 xG/match
Possession66%34%
Corners16 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls17 fouls/match11 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Geny Catamo · Sporting · 32′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPedro Gonçalves · Sporting · 41′ · 0.01 xG · on targetGeny Catamo · Sporting · 81′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Trincão · Sporting · 8′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPedro Gonçalves · Sporting · 8′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFrancisco Trincão · Sporting · 17′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFredrik André Bjørkan · Bodø/Glimt · 43′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPedro Gonçalves · Sporting · 54′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGeny Catamo · Sporting · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuis Javier Suárez · Sporting · 80′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFrancisco Trincão · Sporting · 80′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNuno Santos · Sporting · 83′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMorten Hjulmand · Sporting · 88′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSondre Auklend · Bodø/Glimt · 111′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedZeno Debast · Sporting · 120′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMorten Hjulmand · Sporting · 56′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Trincão · Sporting · 66′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedZeno Debast · Sporting · 71′ · 0.03 xG · on targetUlrik Saltnes · Bodø/Glimt · 95′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPedro Gonçalves · Sporting · 9′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLuis Javier Suárez · Sporting · 31′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPedro Gonçalves · Sporting · 31′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOdin Luras Bjørtuft · Bodø/Glimt · 42′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Berg · Bodø/Glimt · 47′ · 0.04 xG · on targetIván Fresneda · Sporting · 57′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPedro Gonçalves · Sporting · 18′ · 0.05 xG · on targetGeny Catamo · Sporting · 55′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGeny Catamo · Sporting · 83′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Bragança · Sporting · 97′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJens Petter Hauge · Bodø/Glimt · 43′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIván Fresneda · Sporting · 10′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Trincão · Sporting · 21′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedZeno Debast · Sporting · 81′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAndreas Helmersen · Bodø/Glimt · 114′ · 0.08 xG · on targetMaximiliano Araújo · Sporting · 92′ · 0.09 xG · goalRafael Nel · Sporting · 120′ · 0.10 xG · goalLuis Javier Suárez · Sporting · 10′ · 0.11 xG · on targetKasper Høgh · Bodø/Glimt · 16′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedLuis Javier Suárez · Sporting · 48′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Trincão · Sporting · 3′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedGeny Catamo · Sporting · 48′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Inácio · Sporting · 34′ · 0.14 xG · goalMorten Hjulmand · Sporting · 55′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedSondre Fet · Bodø/Glimt · 50′ · 0.15 xG · on targetFrancisco Trincão · Sporting · 4′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedPedro Gonçalves · Sporting · 61′ · 0.43 xG · goalLuis Javier Suárez · Sporting · 78′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Sporting: 38 shots, 14 on target, 3.36 xG. Bodø/Glimt: 9 shots, 3 on target, 0.55 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′120′Gonçalo Inácio · Sporting · 34′Pedro Gonçalves · Sporting · 61′Luis Javier Suárez · Sporting · 78′Maximiliano Araújo · Sporting · 92′Rafael Nel · Sporting · 120′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sporting 3.36 xG · Bodø/Glimt 0.55 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sporting's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. A second useful context is: Sporting's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Sporting have a visible home split

moderate

Sporting's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

20.4 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots20.4 shots/match13.6 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Sporting show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Sporting's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.6 shots/matchShotsSporting · Bodø/Glimt11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSportingBodø/GlimtBaseline
Shots13.6 shots/match11.4 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against13.6 shots/match19.4 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Bodø/Glimt's recent record differs from the season

weak

Bodø/Glimt's last-five shots average is below their season average.

9 shots/matchShotsLast 5 · Season11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots9 shots/match11.4 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Sporting
0Draws
1Bodø/Glimt
Bodø/GlimtSporting · UEFA Champions League30

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Sporting favored in 8 of 14 directional metrics · Bodø/Glimt in 1 · 5 too close

2 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 10/142 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 10/141.57 goals/match
1.51 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 10/121.7 xG/match
1.15 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 10/122.28 xG/match
13.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 10/1411.4 shots/match
13.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 10/1419.4 shots/match
5.5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 10/145.07 shots/match
4.5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 10/147.21 shots/match
50.6%Possessionseason · 10/1446.9%
4.9 corners/matchCornersseason · 10/143.86 corners/match
5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 10/147.64 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
10.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 10/149.79 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
20%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 10/1414%
90%Scoring frequencyseason · 10/1486%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sporting53.6
Bodø/Glimt29.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sporting62.4
Bodø/Glimt53.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sporting54.8
Bodø/Glimt18.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sporting48.8
Bodø/Glimt25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sporting42.9
Bodø/Glimt15.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sporting60.7
Bodø/Glimt20.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sporting54.2
Bodø/Glimt30.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/52 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
1.29 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.56 xG/match
14 shots/matchShots5/59 shots/match
5.2 shots/matchShots on target5/55.2 shots/match
49%Possession5/537.8%
6.6 corners/matchCorners5/52.6 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.2 fouls/matchFouls5/510.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.8 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.6 goals/match
1.51 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.54 xG/match
13.6 shots/matchShots10/1010.3 shots/match
5.5 shots/matchShots on target10/104.6 shots/match
50.6%Possession10/1044.4%
4.9 corners/matchCorners10/103.3 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.7 fouls/matchFouls10/109 fouls/match

Window

Season

10 / 14 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored10/142 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed10/141.57 goals/match
1.51 xG/matchExpected goals10/121.7 xG/match
13.6 shots/matchShots10/1411.4 shots/match
5.5 shots/matchShots on target10/145.07 shots/match
50.6%Possession10/1446.9%
4.9 corners/matchCorners10/143.86 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.7 fouls/matchFouls10/149.79 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 7 matches
2.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/71.43 goals/match
0.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/72 goals/match
2.26 xG/matchExpected goals5/61.58 xG/match
20.4 shots/matchShots5/79 shots/match
8.4 shots/matchShots on target5/75 shots/match
50.6%Possession5/742.9%
6.4 corners/matchCorners5/73.71 corners/match
Cards0/0
12 fouls/matchFouls5/78.71 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.91 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.91 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples10 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 17 Mar 2026, 21:45 UTC · analysis-v4

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