PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2025BUKO Stadion

SC Telstar 1–3 Fortuna Sittard · Eredivisie

1–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fortuna Sittard won 1–3.

Shots
189
Shots on target
76
Expected goals
1.971.14
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fortuna Sittard beat SC Telstar 3–1. Recorded in this match (SC Telstar – Fortuna Sittard): shots 18–9, shots on target 7–6, expected goals 1.97–1.14, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots9 shotsSC Telstar 18 shots, Fortuna Sittard 9 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots6 shotsSC Telstar 7 shots, Fortuna Sittard 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.97 xG1.14 xGSC Telstar 1.97 xG, Fortuna Sittard 1.14 xG
  • Possession56%44%SC Telstar 56%, Fortuna Sittard 44%
  • Corners10 corners1 cornerSC Telstar 10 corners, Fortuna Sittard 1 corner
  • Fouls14 fouls17 foulsSC Telstar 14 fouls, Fortuna Sittard 17 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Tyrese Noslin · SC Telstar · 7′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKristoffer Peterson · Fortuna Sittard · 8′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJochem Ritmeester van de Kamp · SC Telstar · 12′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRyan Fosso · Fortuna Sittard · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGuus Offerhaus · SC Telstar · 27′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKay Tejan · SC Telstar · 86′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSebastiaan Hagedoorn · SC Telstar · 87′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSoufiane Hetli · SC Telstar · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKristoffer Peterson · Fortuna Sittard · 15′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKristoffer Peterson · Fortuna Sittard · 34′ · 0.04 xG · on targetNeville Nwankwo · SC Telstar · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKay Tejan · SC Telstar · 81′ · 0.05 xG · on targetKay Tejan · SC Telstar · 85′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDanny Bakker · SC Telstar · 87′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSebastiaan Hagedoorn · SC Telstar · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetDylan Mertens · SC Telstar · 87′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSoufiane Hetli · SC Telstar · 22′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDanny Bakker · SC Telstar · 52′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Ihattaren · Fortuna Sittard · 28′ · 0.11 xG · on targetPaul Gladon · Fortuna Sittard · 2′ · 0.15 xG · goalDanny Bakker · SC Telstar · 90′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedJochem Ritmeester van de Kamp · SC Telstar · 43′ · 0.20 xG · goalMakan Aïko · Fortuna Sittard · 83′ · 0.20 xG · goalPaul Gladon · Fortuna Sittard · 19′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedMakan Aïko · Fortuna Sittard · 90′ · 0.28 xG · goalKay Tejan · SC Telstar · 71′ · 0.33 xG · on targetKay Tejan · SC Telstar · 71′ · 0.53 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

SC Telstar: 18 shots, 7 on target, 1.88 xG. Fortuna Sittard: 9 shots, 6 on target, 1.10 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Jochem Ritmeester van de Kamp · SC Telstar · 43′Paul Gladon · Fortuna Sittard · 2′Makan Aïko · Fortuna Sittard · 83′Makan Aïko · Fortuna Sittard · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: SC Telstar 1.88 xG · Fortuna Sittard 1.10 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SC Telstar favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Fortuna Sittard in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SC Telstar5 matchesFortuna Sittard4 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored5/4▲ 2.25 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/41.75 goals/match
1.36 xG/matchExpected goals5/41.35 xG/match
14.8 shots/matchShots5/4▲ 16.3 shots/match
6 shots/matchShots on target5/45.75 shots/match
44.8%Possession5/4● 52.8%
6.8 corners/match ●Corners5/44.25 corners/match
12 fouls/matchFouls5/414.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 14 Sept 2025, 18:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSC TelstarFortuna Sittard
CompetitionEredivisieEredivisie 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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