PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2025BUKO Stadion

SC Telstar 4–2 Go Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie

4–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

SC Telstar won 4–2.

Shots
2013
Shots on target
94
Expected goals
2.21.82
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

SC Telstar beat Go Ahead Eagles 4–2. Recorded in this match (SC Telstar – Go Ahead Eagles): shots 20–13, shots on target 9–4, expected goals 2.2–1.82, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

SC Telstar's recent record differs from the season

moderate

SC Telstar's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.29 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.29 goals/match1.71 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.29 corners/matchCornersSC Telstar · Go Ahead Eagles● 6.71 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricSC TelstarGo Ahead EaglesBaseline
Corners6.29 corners/match6.71 corners/match5.14 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

SC Telstar show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

SC Telstar's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.4 shots/match ▲ShotsSC Telstar · Go Ahead Eagles13.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSC TelstarGo Ahead EaglesBaseline
Shots14.4 shots/match13.9 shots/match14.1 shots/match
Shots against13.7 shots/match19.7 shots/match14.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots13 shotsSC Telstar 20 shots, Go Ahead Eagles 13 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots4 shotsSC Telstar 9 shots, Go Ahead Eagles 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.2 xG1.82 xGSC Telstar 2.2 xG, Go Ahead Eagles 1.82 xG
  • Possession39%61%SC Telstar 39%, Go Ahead Eagles 61%
  • Corners8 corners3 cornersSC Telstar 8 corners, Go Ahead Eagles 3 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls9 foulsSC Telstar 13 fouls, Go Ahead Eagles 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Oscar Pettersson · Go Ahead Eagles · 22′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKenzo Goudmijn · Go Ahead Eagles · 54′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTyrese Noslin · SC Telstar · 7′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAdil Lechkar · SC Telstar · 87′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMathis Suray · Go Ahead Eagles · 9′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJeff Hardeveld · SC Telstar · 41′ · 0.03 xG · on targetKay Tejan · SC Telstar · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMelle Meulensteen · Go Ahead Eagles · 70′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKay Tejan · SC Telstar · 6′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMelle Meulensteen · Go Ahead Eagles · 69′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Brouwer · SC Telstar · 12′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSoufiane Hetli · SC Telstar · 12′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDylan Mertens · SC Telstar · 29′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Brouwer · SC Telstar · 41′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSoufiane Hetli · SC Telstar · 49′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGerrit Nauber · Go Ahead Eagles · 90′ · 0.09 xG · on targetRojendro Oudsten · SC Telstar · 71′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedFinn Stokkers · Go Ahead Eagles · 83′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedSoufiane Hetli · SC Telstar · 8′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedKay Tejan · SC Telstar · 9′ · 0.12 xG · on targetPatrick Brouwer · SC Telstar · 37′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMelle Meulensteen · Go Ahead Eagles · 83′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedDylan Mertens · SC Telstar · 48′ · 0.16 xG · on targetSoufiane Hetli · SC Telstar · 90′ · 0.19 xG · goalJochem Ritmeester van de Kamp · SC Telstar · 71′ · 0.21 xG · goalMelle Meulensteen · Go Ahead Eagles · 45′ · 0.22 xG · goalMelle Meulensteen · Go Ahead Eagles · 82′ · 0.22 xG · on targetMathis Suray · Go Ahead Eagles · 25′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedMathis Suray · Go Ahead Eagles · 54′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedKay Tejan · SC Telstar · 7′ · 0.31 xG · goalNeville Nwankwo · SC Telstar · 58′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blockedNils Rossen · SC Telstar · 42′ · 0.32 xG · goalMilan Smit · Go Ahead Eagles · 73′ · 0.53 xG · goalMelle Meulensteen · Go Ahead Eagles · 83′ · 0.53 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

SC Telstar: 20 shots, 9 on target, 2.36 xG. Go Ahead Eagles: 14 shots, 5 on target, 2.47 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Kay Tejan · SC Telstar · 7′Nils Rossen · SC Telstar · 42′Jochem Ritmeester van de Kamp · SC Telstar · 71′Soufiane Hetli · SC Telstar · 90′Melle Meulensteen · Go Ahead Eagles · 45′Milan Smit · Go Ahead Eagles · 73′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: SC Telstar 2.36 xG · Go Ahead Eagles 2.47 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SC Telstar favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Go Ahead Eagles in 4 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SC Telstar7 matchesGo Ahead Eagles7 matches
1.29 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 1.86 goals/match
1.86 goals/matchGoals allowed7/71.86 goals/match
1.4 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 1.48 xG/match
14.4 shots/matchShots7/713.9 shots/match
6 shots/matchShots on target7/76.14 shots/match
44%Possession7/7● 53.3%
6.29 corners/matchCorners7/7● 6.71 corners/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls7/79.29 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 28 Sept 2025, 18:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSC TelstarGo Ahead Eagles
CompetitionEredivisieEredivisie 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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