Eredivisie · 2025Sun, 28 Sept 2025, 14:45 UTCFull timeBUKO StadionFull-time recap
42Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSC TelstarGo Ahead Eagles
Shots20 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots on target9 shots/match4 shots/match
Expected goals2.2 xG/match1.82 xG/match
Possession39%61%
Corners8 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match9 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Oscar Pettersson · Go Ahead Eagles · 22′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKenzo Goudmijn · Go Ahead Eagles · 54′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTyrese Noslin · SC Telstar · 7′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAdil Lechkar · SC Telstar · 87′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMathis Suray · Go Ahead Eagles · 9′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJeff Hardeveld · SC Telstar · 41′ · 0.03 xG · on targetKay Tejan · SC Telstar · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMelle Meulensteen · Go Ahead Eagles · 70′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKay Tejan · SC Telstar · 6′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMelle Meulensteen · Go Ahead Eagles · 69′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Brouwer · SC Telstar · 12′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSoufiane Hetli · SC Telstar · 12′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDylan Mertens · SC Telstar · 29′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Brouwer · SC Telstar · 41′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSoufiane Hetli · SC Telstar · 49′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGerrit Nauber · Go Ahead Eagles · 90′ · 0.09 xG · on targetRojendro Oudsten · SC Telstar · 71′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedFinn Stokkers · Go Ahead Eagles · 83′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedSoufiane Hetli · SC Telstar · 8′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedKay Tejan · SC Telstar · 9′ · 0.12 xG · on targetPatrick Brouwer · SC Telstar · 37′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMelle Meulensteen · Go Ahead Eagles · 83′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedDylan Mertens · SC Telstar · 48′ · 0.16 xG · on targetSoufiane Hetli · SC Telstar · 90′ · 0.19 xG · goalJochem Ritmeester van de Kamp · SC Telstar · 71′ · 0.21 xG · goalMelle Meulensteen · Go Ahead Eagles · 45′ · 0.22 xG · goalMelle Meulensteen · Go Ahead Eagles · 82′ · 0.22 xG · on targetMathis Suray · Go Ahead Eagles · 25′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedMathis Suray · Go Ahead Eagles · 54′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedKay Tejan · SC Telstar · 7′ · 0.31 xG · goalNeville Nwankwo · SC Telstar · 58′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blockedNils Rossen · SC Telstar · 42′ · 0.32 xG · goalMilan Smit · Go Ahead Eagles · 73′ · 0.53 xG · goalMelle Meulensteen · Go Ahead Eagles · 83′ · 0.53 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

SC Telstar: 20 shots, 9 on target, 2.36 xG. Go Ahead Eagles: 14 shots, 5 on target, 2.47 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Kay Tejan · SC Telstar · 7′Nils Rossen · SC Telstar · 42′Jochem Ritmeester van de Kamp · SC Telstar · 71′Soufiane Hetli · SC Telstar · 90′Melle Meulensteen · Go Ahead Eagles · 45′Milan Smit · Go Ahead Eagles · 73′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: SC Telstar 2.36 xG · Go Ahead Eagles 2.47 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: SC Telstar's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

SC Telstar's recent record differs from the season

moderate

SC Telstar's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.29 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.29 goals/match1.71 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.29 corners/matchCornersSC Telstar · Go Ahead Eagles6.71 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricSC TelstarGo Ahead EaglesBaseline
Corners6.29 corners/match6.71 corners/match5.14 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

SC Telstar show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

SC Telstar's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.4 shots/matchShotsSC Telstar · Go Ahead Eagles13.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSC TelstarGo Ahead EaglesBaseline
Shots14.4 shots/match13.9 shots/match14.1 shots/match
Shots against13.7 shots/match19.7 shots/match14.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

SC Telstar favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · Go Ahead Eagles in 4 · 6 too close

1.29 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 7/71.86 goals/match
1.86 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 7/71.86 goals/match
1.4 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 7/71.48 xG/match
1.52 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 7/71.72 xG/match
14.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 7/713.9 shots/match
13.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 7/719.7 shots/match
6 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 7/76.14 shots/match
5.29 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 7/75.71 shots/match
44%Possessionseason · 7/753.3%
6.29 corners/matchCornersseason · 7/76.71 corners/match
5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 7/75.57 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
11.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 7/79.29 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
14%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 7/729%
57%Scoring frequencyseason · 7/786%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

SC Telstar30.6
Go Ahead Eagles63.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

SC Telstar50.9
Go Ahead Eagles63
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

SC Telstar43.5
Go Ahead Eagles25.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

SC Telstar97.2
Go Ahead Eagles13.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

SC Telstar52.8
Go Ahead Eagles13.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

SC Telstar75
Go Ahead Eagles86.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

SC Telstar61.8
Go Ahead Eagles55.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.8 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.8 goals/match
1.58 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.75 xG/match
14.4 shots/matchShots5/516.4 shots/match
6.4 shots/matchShots on target5/57.4 shots/match
43.6%Possession5/558.2%
5.4 corners/matchCorners5/57.2 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.6 fouls/matchFouls5/59.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

7 / 7 matches
1.29 goals/matchGoals scored7/71.86 goals/match
1.86 goals/matchGoals allowed7/71.86 goals/match
1.4 xG/matchExpected goals7/71.48 xG/match
14.4 shots/matchShots7/713.9 shots/match
6 shots/matchShots on target7/76.14 shots/match
44%Possession7/753.3%
6.29 corners/matchCorners7/76.71 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.9 fouls/matchFouls7/79.29 fouls/match

Window

Season

7 / 7 matches
1.29 goals/matchGoals scored7/71.86 goals/match
1.86 goals/matchGoals allowed7/71.86 goals/match
1.4 xG/matchExpected goals7/71.48 xG/match
14.4 shots/matchShots7/713.9 shots/match
6 shots/matchShots on target7/76.14 shots/match
44%Possession7/753.3%
6.29 corners/matchCorners7/76.71 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.9 fouls/matchFouls7/79.29 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 4 matches
1.75 goals/matchGoals scored4/42 goals/match
2.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/42 goals/match
1.63 xG/matchExpected goals4/41.38 xG/match
16.8 shots/matchShots4/412.8 shots/match
7.5 shots/matchShots on target4/45.25 shots/match
49%Possession4/452.5%
7.25 corners/matchCorners4/45.5 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.5 fouls/matchFouls4/49.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.92 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.19 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 28 Sept 2025, 18:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match