Eredivisie · 2025Sun, 23 Nov 2025, 13:30 UTCFull timeBUKO StadionFull-time recap
11Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSC TelstarFC Utrecht
Shots10 shots/match17 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match3 shots/match
Expected goals1.29 xG/match0.94 xG/match
Possession42%58%
Corners1 corners/match8 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match10 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Jeff Hardeveld · SC Telstar · 53′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTyrone Owusu · SC Telstar · 79′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGuus Offerhaus · SC Telstar · 7′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGjivai Zechiël · FC Utrecht · 47′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSouffian El Karouani · FC Utrecht · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMiguel Rodríguez · FC Utrecht · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEmirhan Demircan · FC Utrecht · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCan Bozdoğan · FC Utrecht · 90′ · 0.02 xG · goalYoann Cathline · FC Utrecht · 48′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTyrone Owusu · SC Telstar · 52′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSouffian El Karouani · FC Utrecht · 85′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAdrian Blake · FC Utrecht · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYoann Cathline · FC Utrecht · 12′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNils Rossen · SC Telstar · 16′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedYoann Cathline · FC Utrecht · 35′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedYoann Cathline · FC Utrecht · 49′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSébastien Haller · FC Utrecht · 48′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTyrone Owusu · SC Telstar · 67′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDani De Wit · FC Utrecht · 49′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Brouwer · SC Telstar · 65′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAdrian Blake · FC Utrecht · 75′ · 0.08 xG · on targetSoufiane Hetli · SC Telstar · 27′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedSoufiane Hetli · SC Telstar · 56′ · 0.09 xG · goalDani De Wit · FC Utrecht · 44′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAdrian Blake · FC Utrecht · 90′ · 0.14 xG · on targetMiguel Rodríguez · FC Utrecht · 9′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedKay Tejan · SC Telstar · 90′ · 0.87 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

SC Telstar: 10 shots, 3 on target, 1.30 xG. FC Utrecht: 17 shots, 3 on target, 0.96 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Soufiane Hetli · SC Telstar · 56′Can Bozdoğan · FC Utrecht · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: SC Telstar 1.30 xG · FC Utrecht 0.96 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: SC Telstar's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. A second useful context is: FC Utrecht's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

SC Telstar have a visible home split

moderate

SC Telstar's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16 shots/match13.8 shots/match14.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

FC Utrecht show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

FC Utrecht's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.8 shots/matchShotsSC Telstar · FC Utrecht15 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSC TelstarFC UtrechtBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match15 shots/match14.3 shots/match
Shots against16.7 shots/match11.8 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

SC Telstar favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · FC Utrecht in 9 · 4 too close

1.15 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 13/131.77 goals/match
1.69 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 13/131.31 goals/match
1.45 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 13/131.33 xG/match
1.88 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 13/131.49 xG/match
13.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 13/1315 shots/match
16.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 13/1311.8 shots/match
5.15 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 13/135.15 shots/match
6 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 13/134.54 shots/match
43.8%Possessionseason · 13/1349.8%
5.15 corners/matchCornersseason · 13/135.31 corners/match
6.23 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 13/134 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
10.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 13/1310.7 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
15%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 13/1323%
62%Scoring frequencyseason · 13/1385%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

SC Telstar13.9
FC Utrecht47.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

SC Telstar37
FC Utrecht60.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

SC Telstar30.6
FC Utrecht75.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

SC Telstar86.1
FC Utrecht58.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

SC Telstar47.2
FC Utrecht36.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

SC Telstar47.2
FC Utrecht58.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

SC Telstar47.9
FC Utrecht50.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.6 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
1.67 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.31 xG/match
13 shots/matchShots5/514.8 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target5/54.2 shots/match
44.2%Possession5/547.2%
3.8 corners/matchCorners5/55.6 corners/match
Cards0/0
9 fouls/matchFouls5/512.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.3 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.4 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.4 goals/match
1.55 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.23 xG/match
13.3 shots/matchShots10/1014 shots/match
4.8 shots/matchShots on target10/104.5 shots/match
43.1%Possession10/1049.4%
4.6 corners/matchCorners10/105.2 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

13 / 13 matches
1.15 goals/matchGoals scored13/131.77 goals/match
1.69 goals/matchGoals allowed13/131.31 goals/match
1.45 xG/matchExpected goals13/131.33 xG/match
13.8 shots/matchShots13/1315 shots/match
5.15 shots/matchShots on target13/135.15 shots/match
43.8%Possession13/1349.8%
5.15 corners/matchCorners13/135.31 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.8 fouls/matchFouls13/1310.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 6 matches
1.71 goals/matchGoals scored7/61.17 goals/match
2.14 goals/matchGoals allowed7/61.83 goals/match
1.95 xG/matchExpected goals7/60.94 xG/match
16 shots/matchShots7/613.8 shots/match
6.71 shots/matchShots on target7/64.33 shots/match
47.1%Possession7/654%
5.57 corners/matchCorners7/65.33 corners/match
Cards0/0
11 fouls/matchFouls7/610.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

15.8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114.1 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 23 Nov 2025, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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