PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2025Sun, 30 Nov 2025, 11:15 UTCFull timePhilips StadionFull-time recap
3–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricPSV EindhovenFC Volendam
Shots19 shots/match▲10 shots/match
Shots on target8 shots/match▲2 shots/match
Expected goals1.37 xG/match▲0.47 xG/match
Possession62%38%
Corners5 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match4 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Jerdy Schouten · PSV Eindhoven · 22′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHenk Veerman · FC Volendam · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBrandley Kuwas · FC Volendam · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAurelio Oehlers · FC Volendam · 76′ · 0.02 xG · on targetEsmir Bajraktarević · PSV Eindhoven · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSergiño Dest · PSV Eindhoven · 28′ · 0.03 xG · on targetYannick Leliendal · FC Volendam · 37′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEsmir Bajraktarević · PSV Eindhoven · 59′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRyan Flamingo · PSV Eindhoven · 86′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRobert Mühren · FC Volendam · 89′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIsmael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 3′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGuus Til · PSV Eindhoven · 54′ · 0.04 xG · goalRicardo Pepi · PSV Eindhoven · 19′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRicardo Pepi · PSV Eindhoven · 26′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBrandley Kuwas · FC Volendam · 31′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHenk Veerman · FC Volendam · 43′ · 0.05 xG · on targetEsmir Bajraktarević · PSV Eindhoven · 3′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPaul Wanner · PSV Eindhoven · 49′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAurelio Oehlers · FC Volendam · 85′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIsmael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 21′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedIsmael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 52′ · 0.08 xG · on targetOzan Kökçü · FC Volendam · 87′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRicardo Pepi · PSV Eindhoven · 24′ · 0.11 xG · goalYannick Leliendal · FC Volendam · 75′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedRicardo Pepi · PSV Eindhoven · 90′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedRicardo Pepi · PSV Eindhoven · 3′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedIsmael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 33′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedEsmir Bajraktarević · PSV Eindhoven · 88′ · 0.14 xG · on targetJoey Veerman · PSV Eindhoven · 6′ · 0.15 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

PSV Eindhoven: 19 shots, 8 on target, 1.38 xG. FC Volendam: 10 shots, 2 on target, 0.49 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Joey Veerman · PSV Eindhoven · 6′Ricardo Pepi · PSV Eindhoven · 24′Guus Til · PSV Eindhoven · 54′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: PSV Eindhoven 1.38 xG · FC Volendam 0.49 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: PSV Eindhoven's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: PSV Eindhoven's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

PSV Eindhoven show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

PSV Eindhoven's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

18.1 shots/match▲ShotsPSV Eindhoven · FC Volendam10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricPSV EindhovenFC VolendamBaseline
Shots18.1 shots/match10.6 shots/match14.3 shots/match
Shots against12.1 shots/match17.9 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

PSV Eindhoven have a visible home split

moderate

PSV Eindhoven's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

21.1 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season18.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots21.1 shots/match18.1 shots/match14.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

PSV Eindhoven's recent record differs from the season

weak

PSV Eindhoven's last-five shots average is below their season average.

15 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season18.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots15 shots/match18.1 shots/match14.3 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

PSV Eindhoven favored in 11 of 14 directional metrics · FC Volendam in 0 · 3 too close

3.14 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 14/141.21 goals/match
1.21 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 14/141.71 goals/match
1.95 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 14/141.01 xG/match
1.1 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 14/141.67 xG/match
18.1 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 14/1410.6 shots/match
12.1 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 14/1417.9 shots/match
7.29 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 14/143.64 shots/match
4 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 14/145.64 shots/match
59.4%Possessionseason · 14/1445.1%
6.21 corners/matchCornersseason · 14/143.71 corners/match
4.29 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 14/146.14 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
11 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 14/149.64 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
29%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 14/147%
93%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 14/1479%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

PSV Eindhoven97.2
FC Volendam30.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

PSV Eindhoven95.4
FC Volendam13.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

PSV Eindhoven79.6
FC Volendam26.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

PSV Eindhoven58.3
FC Volendam13.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

PSV Eindhoven50
FC Volendam19.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

PSV Eindhoven88.9
FC Volendam8.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

PSV Eindhoven82
FC Volendam11.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
3.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.4 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
1.49 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.2 xG/match
15 shots/match▲Shots5/511 shots/match
6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.8 shots/match
56.6%Possession5/548.8%
5.6 corners/matchCorners5/54 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11.6 fouls/matchFouls5/57.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
3.2 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.1 goals/match
1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.8 goals/match
2.06 xG/match▲Expected goals10/101.19 xG/match
17 shots/match▲Shots10/1011.4 shots/match
7.4 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.4 shots/match
58%Possession10/1047.3%
5.7 corners/matchCorners10/103.9 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11.3 fouls/matchFouls10/109.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

14 / 14 matches
3.14 goals/match▲Goals scored14/141.21 goals/match
1.21 goals/match▲Goals allowed14/141.71 goals/match
1.95 xG/match▲Expected goals14/141.01 xG/match
18.1 shots/match▲Shots14/1410.6 shots/match
7.29 shots/match▲Shots on target14/143.64 shots/match
59.4%Possession14/1445.1%
6.21 corners/matchCorners14/143.71 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11 fouls/matchFouls14/149.64 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 7 matches
3.14 goals/match▲Goals scored7/70.71 goals/match
1.43 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/72.29 goals/match
2.17 xG/match▲Expected goals7/70.67 xG/match
21.1 shots/match▲Shots7/79.14 shots/match
7.71 shots/match▲Shots on target7/72.43 shots/match
63.7%Possession7/745.7%
7.29 corners/matchCorners7/73.14 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
10.4 fouls/matchFouls7/79.57 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.82 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.73 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 30 Nov 2025, 15:15 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsPSV EindhovenFC Volendam
CompetitionEredivisie
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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