PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2025De Grolsch Veste

FC Twente 1–0 AZ Alkmaar · Eredivisie

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Twente won 1–0.

Shots
77
Shots on target
21
Expected goals
0.891.29
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Twente beat AZ Alkmaar 1–0. Recorded in this match (FC Twente – AZ Alkmaar): shots 7–7, shots on target 2–1, expected goals 0.89–1.29, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Twente's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Twente's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.57 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.57 goals/match1.57 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots7 shotsFC Twente 7 shots, AZ Alkmaar 7 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots1 shotFC Twente 2 shots, AZ Alkmaar 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.89 xG1.29 xGFC Twente 0.89 xG, AZ Alkmaar 1.29 xG
  • Possession51%49%FC Twente 51%, AZ Alkmaar 49%
  • Corners2 corners3 cornersFC Twente 2 corners, AZ Alkmaar 3 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls9 foulsFC Twente 13 fouls, AZ Alkmaar 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Peer Koopmeiners · AZ Alkmaar · 86′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSven Mijnans · AZ Alkmaar · 8′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIsak Steiner Jensen · AZ Alkmaar · 20′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRobin Pröpper · FC Twente · 84′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSondre Ørjasæter · FC Twente · 15′ · 0.05 xG · on targetTroy Parrott · AZ Alkmaar · 40′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKristian Hlynsson · FC Twente · 60′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRamiz Zerrouki · FC Twente · 58′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedWeslley Patati · AZ Alkmaar · 6′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedSondre Ørjasæter · FC Twente · 30′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedThomas Van den Belt · FC Twente · 34′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedDaan Rots · FC Twente · 75′ · 0.26 xG · goalSven Mijnans · AZ Alkmaar · 77′ · 0.27 xG · on targetTroy Parrott · AZ Alkmaar · 90′ · 0.82 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Twente: 7 shots, 2 on target, 0.89 xG. AZ Alkmaar: 7 shots, 1 on target, 1.31 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Daan Rots · FC Twente · 75′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Twente 0.89 xG · AZ Alkmaar 1.31 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1FC Twente
0Draws
4AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar — FC Twente · Eredivisie3–2
FC Twente — AZ Alkmaar · Eredivisie2–3
AZ Alkmaar — FC Twente · Eredivisie1–0
AZ Alkmaar — FC Twente · Eredivisie2–1
FC Twente — AZ Alkmaar · Eredivisie2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Twente favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · AZ Alkmaar in 4 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Twente14 matchesAZ Alkmaar14 matches
1.57 goals/matchGoals scored14/14▲ 1.86 goals/match
1.36 goals/match ▲Goals allowed14/141.57 goals/match
1.86 xG/matchExpected goals14/141.91 xG/match
17.1 shots/match ▲Shots14/1416.1 shots/match
5.62 shots/matchShots on target13/14▲ 5.93 shots/match
54.7% ●Possession14/1453.9%
4.71 corners/matchCorners14/14● 5.86 corners/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls12/1410.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 30 Nov 2025, 19:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC TwenteAZ Alkmaar
CompetitionEredivisieEredivisie 2025/26
Head-to-headFC Twente — AZ Alkmaar
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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