Eredivisie · 2025Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadium

FC Groningen 1–2 PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

PSV Eindhoven won 1–2.

Shots
815
Shots on target
45
Expected goals
0.892.74
Possession
37%63%

Full time

What the match recorded

PSV Eindhoven beat FC Groningen 2–1. Recorded in this match (FC Groningen – PSV Eindhoven): shots 8–15, shots on target 4–5, expected goals 0.89–2.74, possession 37%–63%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Groningen's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Groningen's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.32 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.32 goals/match1.46 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

strong

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.55 corners/matchCornersFC Groningen · PSV Eindhoven● 7.32 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricFC GroningenPSV EindhovenBaseline
Corners6.55 corners/match7.32 corners/match5.23 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

PSV Eindhoven have recorded the higher season possession share.

51.3%PossessionFC Groningen · PSV Eindhoven● 60.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFC GroningenPSV EindhovenBaseline
Possession51.3%60.6%50%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots15 shotsFC Groningen 8 shots, PSV Eindhoven 15 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots5 shotsFC Groningen 4 shots, PSV Eindhoven 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.89 xG2.74 xGFC Groningen 0.89 xG, PSV Eindhoven 2.74 xG
  • Possession37%63%FC Groningen 37%, PSV Eindhoven 63%
  • Corners6 corners11 cornersFC Groningen 6 corners, PSV Eindhoven 11 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls9 foulsFC Groningen 8 fouls, PSV Eindhoven 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Stije Resink · FC Groningen · 6′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIsmael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 28′ · 0.02 xG · on targetThom van Bergen · FC Groningen · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIvan Perišić · PSV Eindhoven · 89′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGuus Til · PSV Eindhoven · 86′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedStije Resink · FC Groningen · 22′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIsmael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 10′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIsmael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 52′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIvan Perišić · PSV Eindhoven · 69′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGuus Til · PSV Eindhoven · 54′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedYounes Taha · FC Groningen · 17′ · 0.11 xG · goalIsmael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 76′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedTygo Land · FC Groningen · 81′ · 0.11 xG · on targetYounes Taha · FC Groningen · 35′ · 0.12 xG · on targetGuus Til · PSV Eindhoven · 59′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedIsmael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 17′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedYounes Taha · FC Groningen · 55′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedIsmael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 35′ · 0.18 xG · on targetYounes Taha · FC Groningen · 62′ · 0.35 xG · on targetDennis Man · PSV Eindhoven · 76′ · 0.35 xG · on targetPaul Wanner · PSV Eindhoven · 25′ · 0.42 xG · off target or blockedIsmael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 65′ · 0.54 xG · goalDennis Man · PSV Eindhoven · 76′ · 0.79 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Groningen: 8 shots, 4 on target, 0.92 xG. PSV Eindhoven: 15 shots, 5 on target, 3.02 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Younes Taha · FC Groningen · 17′Ismael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 65′Dennis Man · PSV Eindhoven · 76′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Groningen 0.92 xG · PSV Eindhoven 3.02 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1FC Groningen
0Draws
4PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven — FC Groningen · Eredivisie4–2
FC Groningen — PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie1–3
PSV Eindhoven — FC Groningen · Eredivisie5–0
PSV Eindhoven — FC Groningen · Eredivisie6–0
FC Groningen — PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie4–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Groningen favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · PSV Eindhoven in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Groningen22 matchesPSV Eindhoven22 matches
1.32 goals/matchGoals scored22/22▲ 3 goals/match
1.27 goals/matchGoals allowed22/22▲ 1.18 goals/match
1.66 xG/matchExpected goals22/22▲ 2.02 xG/match
15.8 shots/matchShots22/22▲ 17.2 shots/match
5.95 shots/matchShots on target22/22▲ 7.09 shots/match
51.3%Possession22/22● 60.6%
6.55 corners/matchCorners22/22● 7.32 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls22/2210.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Feb 2026, 19:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

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