PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2025Abe Lenstra Stadion

SC Heerenveen 4–1 Heracles · Eredivisie

4–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

SC Heerenveen won 4–1.

Shots
247
Shots on target
144
Expected goals
3.421.33
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

SC Heerenveen beat Heracles Almelo 4–1. Recorded in this match (SC Heerenveen – Heracles Almelo): shots 24–7, shots on target 14–4, expected goals 3.42–1.33, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Heracles Almelo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Heracles Almelo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.17 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.17 goals/match1.52 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Heracles Almelo have a visible away split

moderate

Heracles Almelo's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.27 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.27 shots/match10.8 shots/match14.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

SC Heerenveen show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

SC Heerenveen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.4 shots/match ▲ShotsSC Heerenveen · Heracles Almelo10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSC HeerenveenHeracles AlmeloBaseline
Shots15.4 shots/match10.8 shots/match14.2 shots/match
Shots against12.8 shots/match17.1 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots24 shots7 shotsSC Heerenveen 24 shots, Heracles 7 shots
  • Shots on target14 shots4 shotsSC Heerenveen 14 shots, Heracles 4 shots
  • Expected goals3.42 xG1.33 xGSC Heerenveen 3.42 xG, Heracles 1.33 xG
  • Possession66%34%SC Heerenveen 66%, Heracles 34%
  • Corners8 corners1 cornerSC Heerenveen 8 corners, Heracles 1 corner
  • Fouls12 fouls10 foulsSC Heerenveen 12 fouls, Heracles 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Maas Willemsen · SC Heerenveen · 23′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMaxence Rivera · SC Heerenveen · 8′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMaxence Rivera · SC Heerenveen · 32′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLasse Selvåg Nordås · SC Heerenveen · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMaxence Rivera · SC Heerenveen · 49′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTristan van Gilst · Heracles Almelo · 63′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRingo Meerveld · SC Heerenveen · 39′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSam Kersten · SC Heerenveen · 69′ · 0.03 xG · on targetEser Gürbüz · SC Heerenveen · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMaxence Rivera · SC Heerenveen · 34′ · 0.04 xG · on targetDjevencio van der Kust · Heracles Almelo · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMario Engels · Heracles Almelo · 45′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMarcus Linday · SC Heerenveen · 20′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLasse Selvåg Nordås · SC Heerenveen · 41′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedTristan van Gilst · Heracles Almelo · 86′ · 0.07 xG · on targetLasse Selvåg Nordås · SC Heerenveen · 27′ · 0.09 xG · on targetEser Gürbüz · SC Heerenveen · 90′ · 0.09 xG · on targetOliver Braude · SC Heerenveen · 40′ · 0.10 xG · on targetJacob Trenskow · SC Heerenveen · 35′ · 0.12 xG · goalJacob Trenskow · SC Heerenveen · 65′ · 0.12 xG · on targetRingo Meerveld · SC Heerenveen · 20′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedLasse Selvåg Nordås · SC Heerenveen · 80′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedSem Scheperman · Heracles Almelo · 73′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedMaxence Rivera · SC Heerenveen · 61′ · 0.17 xG · on targetRemko Pasveer · SC Heerenveen · 47′ · 0.19 xG · goalMaxence Rivera · SC Heerenveen · 12′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedMaxence Rivera · SC Heerenveen · 51′ · 0.31 xG · on targetJacob Trenskow · SC Heerenveen · 61′ · 0.31 xG · on targetTristan van Gilst · Heracles Almelo · 67′ · 0.32 xG · off target or blockedMario Engels · Heracles Almelo · 21′ · 0.69 xG · goalMaxence Rivera · SC Heerenveen · 51′ · 0.81 xG · goalLasse Selvåg Nordås · SC Heerenveen · 45′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

SC Heerenveen: 25 shots, 15 on target, 3.97 xG. Heracles Almelo: 7 shots, 4 on target, 1.36 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0240′HT90′Jacob Trenskow · SC Heerenveen · 35′Lasse Selvåg Nordås · SC Heerenveen · 45′Remko Pasveer · SC Heerenveen · 47′Maxence Rivera · SC Heerenveen · 51′Mario Engels · Heracles Almelo · 21′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: SC Heerenveen 3.97 xG · Heracles Almelo 1.36 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3SC Heerenveen
1Draws
1Heracles
Heracles — SC Heerenveen · Eredivisie0–3
SC Heerenveen — Heracles · Eredivisie1–1
Heracles — SC Heerenveen · Eredivisie2–1
Heracles — SC Heerenveen · Eredivisie0–2
SC Heerenveen — Heracles · Eredivisie3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SC Heerenveen favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Heracles in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SC Heerenveen29 matchesHeracles29 matches
1.83 goals/match ▲Goals scored29/291.17 goals/match
1.62 goals/match ▲Goals allowed29/292.55 goals/match
1.72 xG/match ▲Expected goals29/291.19 xG/match
15.4 shots/match ▲Shots29/2910.8 shots/match
5.66 shots/match ▲Shots on target29/293.83 shots/match
50.9% ●Possession29/2943.6%
5.45 corners/match ●Corners29/294.21 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls29/2813.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 5 Apr 2026, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSC HeerenveenHeracles
CompetitionEredivisieEredivisie 2025/26
Head-to-headSC Heerenveen — Heracles
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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