Eredivisie · 2025Wed, 6 May 2026, 16:45 UTCFull timeYanmar StadionFull-time recap
31Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricAlmere City FCDe Graafschap
Shots16 shots/match8 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match2 shots/match
Possession41%59%
Corners3 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls6 fouls/match11 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Emanuel Poku · Almere City FC · 7′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedHamza El Dahri · Almere City FC · 7′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedMilan de Haan · Almere City FC · 18′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedJamie Jacobs · Almere City FC · 21′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedJames Lawrence · Almere City FC · 46′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedNils Eggens · De Graafschap · 49′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedJamie Jacobs · Almere City FC · 53′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedFedde de Jong · De Graafschap · 55′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedChahid El Allachi · De Graafschap · 70′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim El Kadiri · De Graafschap · 87′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedMarley Dors · Almere City FC · 36′ · 0.01 xG · on targetJoran Hardeman · De Graafschap · 45′ · 0.01 xG · on targetChahid El Allachi · De Graafschap · 51′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEmanuel Poku · Almere City FC · 62′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEmanuel Poku · Almere City FC · 74′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJamie Jacobs · Almere City FC · 36′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFedde de Jong · De Graafschap · 42′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEmanuel Poku · Almere City FC · 57′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarley Dors · Almere City FC · 81′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJamie Jacobs · Almere City FC · 5′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEmanuel Poku · Almere City FC · 32′ · 0.10 xG · goalFedde de Jong · De Graafschap · 45′ · 0.10 xG · goalMarley Dors · Almere City FC · 58′ · 0.10 xG · goalEmanuel Poku · Almere City FC · 77′ · 0.10 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Almere City FC: 16 shots, 4 on target, 0.48 xG. De Graafschap: 8 shots, 2 on target, 0.15 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.250.50′HT90′Emanuel Poku · Almere City FC · 32′Marley Dors · Almere City FC · 58′Emanuel Poku · Almere City FC · 77′Fedde de Jong · De Graafschap · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Almere City FC 0.48 xG · De Graafschap 0.15 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Unavailable analysis

The retained evidence does not clear the minimum gates.

Sections that would imply a supported comparison are intentionally omitted.

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · Unavailableunavailable
Season samples3 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 6 May 2026, 20:45 UTC · analysis-v4