Eredivisie · 2025Sat, 9 May 2026, 14:30 UTCFull timeKoning Willem II StadionFull-time recap
11Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricWillem II TilburgRKC Waalwijk
Shots9 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match5 shots/match
Possession36%64%
Corners2 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Siegert Baartmans · Willem II Tilburg · 1′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedDevin Haen · Willem II Tilburg · 7′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedRichard van der Venne · RKC Waalwijk · 20′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedJuan Castillo · RKC Waalwijk · 27′ · 0.00 xG · on targetMichiel Kramer · RKC Waalwijk · 35′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedRichard van der Venne · RKC Waalwijk · 37′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedDenilho Cleonise · RKC Waalwijk · 61′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedUriel van Aalst · Willem II Tilburg · 63′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedJuan Castillo · RKC Waalwijk · 66′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedRichard van der Venne · RKC Waalwijk · 70′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedSiegert Baartmans · Willem II Tilburg · 1′ · 0.01 xG · on targetSiegert Baartmans · Willem II Tilburg · 2′ · 0.01 xG · on targetDenilho Cleonise · RKC Waalwijk · 9′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDenilho Cleonise · RKC Waalwijk · 33′ · 0.01 xG · on targetHarrie Kuster · RKC Waalwijk · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRichard van der Venne · RKC Waalwijk · 49′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRyan Fage · RKC Waalwijk · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGijs Besselink · Willem II Tilburg · 74′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSiegert Baartmans · Willem II Tilburg · 40′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRichard van der Venne · RKC Waalwijk · 56′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDevin Haen · Willem II Tilburg · 49′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMounir El Allouchi · Willem II Tilburg · 46′ · 0.10 xG · goalJean-Paul Boëtius · RKC Waalwijk · 59′ · 0.10 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Willem II Tilburg: 9 shots, 3 on target, 0.21 xG. RKC Waalwijk: 14 shots, 5 on target, 0.20 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.250.50′HT90′Mounir El Allouchi · Willem II Tilburg · 46′Jean-Paul Boëtius · RKC Waalwijk · 59′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Willem II Tilburg 0.21 xG · RKC Waalwijk 0.20 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Willem II Tilburg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Willem II Tilburg, RKC Waalwijk. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Willem II Tilburg show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Willem II Tilburg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricWillem II TilburgRKC WaalwijkBaseline
Shots15.5 shots/match14.7 shots/match
Shots against8 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Willem II Tilburg, RKC Waalwijk.

3.91 daysRest daysWillem II Tilburg · RKC Waalwijk3.91 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricWillem II TilburgRKC WaalwijkBaseline
Rest days3.91 days3.91 days
Matches last 14 days1 matches3 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Willem II Tilburg
0Draws
0RKC Waalwijk
RKC WaalwijkWillem II Tilburg · Eredivisie01

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Willem II Tilburg favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · RKC Waalwijk in 0 · 14 too close

Goals scoredseason · 2/40.75 goals/match
Goals allowedseason · 2/41 goals/match
Expected goalsseason · 0/0
Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0
Shotsseason · 2/415.5 shots/match
Shots allowedseason · 2/48 shots/match
Shots on targetseason · 2/45 shots/match
Shots on target allowedseason · 2/43 shots/match
Possessionseason · 2/452.8%
Cornersseason · 2/45.75 corners/match
Corners allowedseason · 2/43.25 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
Foulsseason · 2/413.8 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 2/40%
Scoring frequencyseason · 2/475%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Willem II Tilburg
RKC Waalwijk67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Willem II Tilburg
RKC Waalwijk35.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Willem II Tilburg
RKC Waalwijk97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Willem II Tilburg
RKC Waalwijk62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Willem II Tilburg
RKC Waalwijk92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Willem II Tilburg
RKC Waalwijk72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Willem II Tilburg
RKC Waalwijk67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

2 / 4 matches
Goals scored2/40.75 goals/match
Goals allowed2/41 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
Shots2/415.5 shots/match
Shots on target2/45 shots/match
Possession2/452.8%
Corners2/45.75 corners/match
Cards0/0
Fouls2/413.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

2 / 4 matches
Goals scored2/40.75 goals/match
Goals allowed2/41 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
Shots2/415.5 shots/match
Shots on target2/45 shots/match
Possession2/452.8%
Corners2/45.75 corners/match
Cards0/0
Fouls2/413.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

2 / 4 matches
Goals scored2/40.75 goals/match
Goals allowed2/41 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
Shots2/415.5 shots/match
Shots on target2/45 shots/match
Possession2/452.8%
Corners2/45.75 corners/match
Cards0/0
Fouls2/413.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

1 / 2 matches
Goals scored1/2
Goals allowed1/2
Expected goals0/0
Shots1/2
Shots on target1/2
Possession1/2
Corners1/2
Cards0/0
Fouls1/2

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.91 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.91 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples2 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples2 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 9 May 2026, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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