Eredivisie · 2025Sat, 9 May 2026, 18:00 UTCFull timeDe VijverbergFull-time recap
22Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricDe GraafschapAlmere City FC
Shots19 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match7 shots/match
Possession65%35%
Corners7 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Ferdy Druijf · Almere City FC · 7′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedMilan de Haan · Almere City FC · 18′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedHamza El Dahri · Almere City FC · 23′ · 0.00 xG · on targetFerdy Druijf · Almere City FC · 35′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedChahid El Allachi · De Graafschap · 41′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedNils Eggens · De Graafschap · 66′ · 0.00 xG · on targetIbrahim El Kadiri · De Graafschap · 73′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim El Kadiri · De Graafschap · 79′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedNolan Martens · De Graafschap · 82′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedJoran Hardeman · De Graafschap · 83′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedMilan de Haan · Almere City FC · 90′ · 0.00 xG · on targetEnzo Cornelisse · Almere City FC · 90′ · 0.00 xG · on targetFerdy Druijf · Almere City FC · 18′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMarley Dors · Almere City FC · 31′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEmanuel Poku · Almere City FC · 36′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim El Kadiri · De Graafschap · 50′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim El Kadiri · De Graafschap · 70′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKyano Kwint · De Graafschap · 87′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEmanuel Poku · Almere City FC · 17′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKyano Kwint · De Graafschap · 22′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedChahid El Allachi · De Graafschap · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNils Eggens · De Graafschap · 86′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNils Eggens · De Graafschap · 89′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNils Eggens · De Graafschap · 54′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRowan Besselink · De Graafschap · 48′ · 0.09 xG · on targetMarley Dors · Almere City FC · 6′ · 0.10 xG · on targetFerdy Druijf · Almere City FC · 36′ · 0.10 xG · goalMilan de Haan · Almere City FC · 62′ · 0.10 xG · goalKyano Kwint · De Graafschap · 90′ · 0.10 xG · goalNils Eggens · De Graafschap · 81′ · 0.13 xG · on targetRowan Besselink · De Graafschap · 48′ · 0.22 xG · goalJoran Hardeman · De Graafschap · 82′ · 0.25 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

De Graafschap: 19 shots, 6 on target, 1.06 xG. Almere City FC: 13 shots, 7 on target, 0.35 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Rowan Besselink · De Graafschap · 48′Kyano Kwint · De Graafschap · 90′Ferdy Druijf · Almere City FC · 36′Milan de Haan · Almere City FC · 62′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: De Graafschap 1.06 xG · Almere City FC 0.35 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for De Graafschap, Almere City FC. A second useful context is: Almere City FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for De Graafschap, Almere City FC.

3.05 daysRest daysDe Graafschap · Almere City FC3.05 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricDe GraafschapAlmere City FCBaseline
Rest days3.05 days3.05 days
Matches last 14 days1 matches3 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Almere City FC show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Almere City FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricDe GraafschapAlmere City FCBaseline
Shots18.3 shots/match14.7 shots/match
Shots against13.5 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0De Graafschap
0Draws
1Almere City FC
Almere City FCDe Graafschap · Eredivisie31

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

De Graafschap favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Almere City FC in 0 · 14 too close

Goals scoredseason · 2/42.75 goals/match
Goals allowedseason · 2/41.25 goals/match
Expected goalsseason · 0/0
Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0
Shotsseason · 2/418.3 shots/match
Shots allowedseason · 2/413.5 shots/match
Shots on targetseason · 2/47.75 shots/match
Shots on target allowedseason · 2/44.25 shots/match
Possessionseason · 2/445%
Cornersseason · 2/45.5 corners/match
Corners allowedseason · 2/45 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
Foulsseason · 2/48.75 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 2/425%
Scoring frequencyseason · 2/4100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

De Graafschap
Almere City FC22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

De Graafschap
Almere City FC95.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

De Graafschap
Almere City FC67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

De Graafschap
Almere City FC97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

De Graafschap
Almere City FC2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

De Graafschap
Almere City FC60
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

De Graafschap
Almere City FC64.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

2 / 4 matches
Goals scored2/42.75 goals/match
Goals allowed2/41.25 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
Shots2/418.3 shots/match
Shots on target2/47.75 shots/match
Possession2/445%
Corners2/45.5 corners/match
Cards0/0
Fouls2/48.75 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

2 / 4 matches
Goals scored2/42.75 goals/match
Goals allowed2/41.25 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
Shots2/418.3 shots/match
Shots on target2/47.75 shots/match
Possession2/445%
Corners2/45.5 corners/match
Cards0/0
Fouls2/48.75 fouls/match

Window

Season

2 / 4 matches
Goals scored2/42.75 goals/match
Goals allowed2/41.25 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
Shots2/418.3 shots/match
Shots on target2/47.75 shots/match
Possession2/445%
Corners2/45.5 corners/match
Cards0/0
Fouls2/48.75 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

1 / 2 matches
Goals scored1/2
Goals allowed1/2
Expected goals0/0
Shots1/2
Shots on target1/2
Possession1/2
Corners1/2
Cards0/0
Fouls1/2

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.05 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.05 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples2 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples2 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 9 May 2026, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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