Eredivisie · 2025Tue, 5 May 2026, 16:45 UTCFull timeMandemakers StadionFull-time recap
01Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricRKC WaalwijkWillem II Tilburg
Shots6 shots/match8 shots/match
Shots on target0 shots/match4 shots/match
Possession45%55%
Corners3 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls15 fouls/match12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Harrie Kuster · RKC Waalwijk · 3′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedArmin Culum · Willem II Tilburg · 14′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedRyan Fage · RKC Waalwijk · 31′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedArmin Culum · Willem II Tilburg · 57′ · 0.00 xG · on targetRichard van der Venne · RKC Waalwijk · 77′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedJustin Hoogma · Willem II Tilburg · 88′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedNick Doodeman · Willem II Tilburg · 79′ · 0.01 xG · on targetSiegert Baartmans · Willem II Tilburg · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJesper Uneken · RKC Waalwijk · 26′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJesper Uneken · RKC Waalwijk · 59′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSiegert Baartmans · Willem II Tilburg · 81′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNazjir Held · RKC Waalwijk · 43′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSiegert Baartmans · Willem II Tilburg · 29′ · 0.06 xG · on targetDevin Haen · Willem II Tilburg · 47′ · 0.13 xG · on targetGodfried Roemeratoe · Willem II Tilburg · 63′ · 0.21 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

RKC Waalwijk: 6 shots, 0 on target, 0.10 xG. Willem II Tilburg: 9 shots, 5 on target, 0.46 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.250.50′HT90′Godfried Roemeratoe · Willem II Tilburg · 63′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: RKC Waalwijk 0.10 xG · Willem II Tilburg 0.46 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Unavailable analysis

The retained evidence does not clear the minimum gates.

Sections that would imply a supported comparison are intentionally omitted.

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · Unavailableunavailable
Season samples3 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 5 May 2026, 20:45 UTC · analysis-v4