PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2025Kras Stadion

AFC Ajax 2–0 FC Groningen · Eredivisie

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

AFC Ajax won 2–0.

Shots
125
Shots on target
51
Expected goals
1.830.16
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

AFC Ajax beat FC Groningen 2–0. Recorded in this match (AFC Ajax – FC Groningen): shots 12–5, shots on target 5–1, expected goals 1.83–0.16, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Groningen's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Groningen's last-five shots average is below their season average.

10.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season15.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots10.8 shots/match15.5 shots/match14.6 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots5 shotsAFC Ajax 12 shots, FC Groningen 5 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots1 shotAFC Ajax 5 shots, FC Groningen 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.83 xG0.16 xGAFC Ajax 1.83 xG, FC Groningen 0.16 xG
  • Possession62%38%AFC Ajax 62%, FC Groningen 38%
  • Corners4 corners0 cornersAFC Ajax 4 corners, FC Groningen 0 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls17 foulsAFC Ajax 13 fouls, FC Groningen 17 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Tika de Jonge · FC Groningen · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDavid van der Werff · FC Groningen · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSteven Berghuis · AFC Ajax · 8′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDavy Klaassen · AFC Ajax · 24′ · 0.03 xG · goalMika Godts · AFC Ajax · 55′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMats Seuntjens · FC Groningen · 80′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSean Steur · AFC Ajax · 34′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBrynjólfur Darri Willumsson · FC Groningen · 86′ · 0.04 xG · on targetWout Weghorst · AFC Ajax · 10′ · 0.05 xG · on targetTika de Jonge · FC Groningen · 89′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJorthy Mokio · AFC Ajax · 57′ · 0.06 xG · goalAaron Bouwman · AFC Ajax · 76′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedWout Weghorst · AFC Ajax · 27′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMika Godts · AFC Ajax · 75′ · 0.17 xG · on targetJorthy Mokio · AFC Ajax · 50′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedWout Weghorst · AFC Ajax · 45′ · 0.39 xG · on targetMaher Carrizo · AFC Ajax · 72′ · 0.61 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

AFC Ajax: 12 shots, 5 on target, 1.79 xG. FC Groningen: 5 shots, 1 on target, 0.16 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Davy Klaassen · AFC Ajax · 24′Jorthy Mokio · AFC Ajax · 57′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: AFC Ajax 1.79 xG · FC Groningen 0.16 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3AFC Ajax
1Draws
1FC Groningen
FC Groningen — AFC Ajax · Eredivisie3–1
AFC Ajax — FC Groningen · Eredivisie2–0
FC Groningen — AFC Ajax · Eredivisie2–2
AFC Ajax — FC Groningen · Eredivisie3–1
FC Groningen — AFC Ajax · Eredivisie2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: AFC Ajax favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · FC Groningen in 4 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

AFC Ajax35 matchesFC Groningen35 matches
1.83 goals/match ▲Goals scored35/351.4 goals/match
1.17 goals/match ▲Goals allowed35/351.34 goals/match
1.58 xG/matchExpected goals34/35▲ 1.67 xG/match
14.6 shots/matchShots35/35▲ 15.5 shots/match
5.86 shots/matchShots on target35/355.66 shots/match
56.2% ●Possession35/3550.4%
4.8 corners/matchCorners35/35● 6.06 corners/match
10.1 fouls/matchFouls35/3510.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples35 / 35home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 21 May 2026, 20:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAFC AjaxFC Groningen
CompetitionEredivisieEredivisie 2025/26
Head-to-headAFC Ajax — FC Groningen
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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