PitchMath
Süper Lig · 2025Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium

Başakşehir FK 1–2 Galatasaray · Süper Lig

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Galatasaray won 1–2.

Shots
516
Shots on target
25
Expected goals
1.462.97
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Galatasaray beat Başakşehir FK 2–1. Recorded in this match (Başakşehir FK – Galatasaray): shots 5–16, shots on target 2–5, expected goals 1.46–2.97, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Galatasaray's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Galatasaray's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.44 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match2.44 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Başakşehir FK show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Başakşehir FK's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.5 shots/match ▲ShotsBaşakşehir FK · Galatasaray16.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBaşakşehir FKGalatasarayBaseline
Shots10.5 shots/match16.6 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against12.4 shots/match9.89 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots5 shots16 shotsBaşakşehir FK 5 shots, Galatasaray 16 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots5 shotsBaşakşehir FK 2 shots, Galatasaray 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.46 xG2.97 xGBaşakşehir FK 1.46 xG, Galatasaray 2.97 xG
  • Possession46%54%Başakşehir FK 46%, Galatasaray 54%
  • Corners2 corners4 cornersBaşakşehir FK 2 corners, Galatasaray 4 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls10 foulsBaşakşehir FK 16 fouls, Galatasaray 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Victor Osimhen · Galatasaray · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedVictor Osimhen · Galatasaray · 83′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLucas Torreira · Galatasaray · 84′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRoland Sallai · Galatasaray · 86′ · 0.02 xG · on targetEldor Shomurodov · Başakşehir FK · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Sara · Galatasaray · 21′ · 0.05 xG · on targetEren Elmalı · Galatasaray · 9′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedIsmail Jakobs · Galatasaray · 82′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKaan Ayhan · Galatasaray · 10′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedBarış Alper Yılmaz · Galatasaray · 79′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedEldor Shomurodov · Başakşehir FK · 70′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedLeroy Sané · Galatasaray · 29′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedLeroy Sané · Galatasaray · 45′ · 0.17 xG · goalMauro Icardi · Galatasaray · 40′ · 0.18 xG · on targetBarış Alper Yılmaz · Galatasaray · 42′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedİlkay Gündoğan · Galatasaray · 41′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedMiguel Crespo · Başakşehir FK · 47′ · 0.48 xG · off target or blockedEldor Shomurodov · Başakşehir FK · 59′ · 0.50 xG · goalMiguel Crespo · Başakşehir FK · 47′ · 0.51 xG · on targetMauro Icardi · Galatasaray · 1′ · 0.55 xG · off target or blockedLeroy Sané · Galatasaray · 61′ · 0.92 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Başakşehir FK: 5 shots, 2 on target, 1.68 xG. Galatasaray: 16 shots, 5 on target, 2.94 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Eldor Shomurodov · Başakşehir FK · 59′Leroy Sané · Galatasaray · 45′Leroy Sané · Galatasaray · 61′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Başakşehir FK 1.68 xG · Galatasaray 2.94 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Başakşehir FK
0Draws
5Galatasaray
Galatasaray — Başakşehir FK · Süper Lig2–0
Başakşehir FK — Galatasaray · Süper Lig1–2
Galatasaray — Başakşehir FK · Süper Lig2–0
Başakşehir FK — Galatasaray · Süper Lig1–2
Galatasaray — Başakşehir FK · Süper Lig1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Başakşehir FK favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Galatasaray in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Başakşehir FK8 matchesGalatasaray9 matches
0.88 goals/matchGoals scored8/9▲ 2.44 goals/match
1.13 goals/matchGoals allowed8/9▲ 0.44 goals/match
1.04 xG/matchExpected goals8/9▲ 2.31 xG/match
10.5 shots/matchShots8/9▲ 16.6 shots/match
3.38 shots/matchShots on target8/9▲ 6 shots/match
56%Possession8/9● 60.2%
5.5 corners/match ●Corners8/94.44 corners/match
13.9 fouls/matchFouls8/912.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Oct 2025, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Süper Lig

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBaşakşehir FKGalatasaray
CompetitionSüper LigSüper Lig 2025/26
Head-to-headBaşakşehir FK — Galatasaray
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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