PitchMath
Süper Lig · 2025Eryaman Stadyumu

Gençlerbirliği 2–1 Başakşehir FK · Süper Lig

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Gençlerbirliği won 2–1.

Shots
1519
Shots on target
73
Expected goals
1.981.14
Possession
28%72%

Full time

What the match recorded

Gençlerbirliği beat Başakşehir FK 2–1. Recorded in this match (Gençlerbirliği – Başakşehir FK): shots 15–19, shots on target 7–3, expected goals 1.98–1.14, possession 28%–72%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Gençlerbirliği's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Gençlerbirliği's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1 goal/match1.09 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Gençlerbirliği have a visible home split

moderate

Gençlerbirliği's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.5 shots/match10.5 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Başakşehir FK have recorded the higher season possession share.

40.4%PossessionGençlerbirliği · Başakşehir FK● 58.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 17.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricGençlerbirliğiBaşakşehir FKBaseline
Possession40.4%58.1%50.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots19 shotsGençlerbirliği 15 shots, Başakşehir FK 19 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots3 shotsGençlerbirliği 7 shots, Başakşehir FK 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.98 xG1.14 xGGençlerbirliği 1.98 xG, Başakşehir FK 1.14 xG
  • Possession28%72%Gençlerbirliği 28%, Başakşehir FK 72%
  • Corners4 corners9 cornersGençlerbirliği 4 corners, Başakşehir FK 9 corners
  • Fouls20 fouls8 foulsGençlerbirliği 20 fouls, Başakşehir FK 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Sekou Koita · Gençlerbirliği · 35′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDeniz Türüç · Başakşehir FK · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFranco Tongya · Gençlerbirliği · 9′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJerome Opoku · Başakşehir FK · 27′ · 0.02 xG · on targetYusuf Sarı · Başakşehir FK · 40′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYusuf Sarı · Başakşehir FK · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDimitris Goutas · Gençlerbirliği · 10′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEldor Shomurodov · Başakşehir FK · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSekou Koita · Gençlerbirliği · 48′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLéo Duarte · Başakşehir FK · 88′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAmine Harit · Başakşehir FK · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTom Dele-Bashiru · Gençlerbirliği · 35′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMiguel Crespo · Başakşehir FK · 57′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSamed Onur · Gençlerbirliği · 73′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAmine Harit · Başakşehir FK · 88′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEldor Shomurodov · Başakşehir FK · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedUmut Güneş · Başakşehir FK · 60′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJerome Opoku · Başakşehir FK · 71′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJerome Opoku · Başakşehir FK · 88′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSekou Koita · Gençlerbirliği · 35′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGöktan Gürpüz · Gençlerbirliği · 75′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDimitris Goutas · Gençlerbirliği · 12′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedEldor Shomurodov · Başakşehir FK · 50′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJerome Opoku · Başakşehir FK · 88′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFranco Tongya · Gençlerbirliği · 16′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedEldor Shomurodov · Başakşehir FK · 56′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedM'Baye Niang · Gençlerbirliği · 4′ · 0.11 xG · on targetUmut Güneş · Başakşehir FK · 90′ · 0.13 xG · on targetEldor Shomurodov · Başakşehir FK · 46′ · 0.15 xG · goalThalisson Kelven · Gençlerbirliği · 10′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedOlivier Kemen · Başakşehir FK · 90′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedSekou Koita · Gençlerbirliği · 48′ · 0.21 xG · on targetThalisson Kelven · Gençlerbirliği · 35′ · 0.25 xG · goalM'Baye Niang · Gençlerbirliği · 53′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Gençlerbirliği: 15 shots, 7 on target, 2.01 xG. Başakşehir FK: 19 shots, 3 on target, 1.13 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Thalisson Kelven · Gençlerbirliği · 35′M'Baye Niang · Gençlerbirliği · 53′Eldor Shomurodov · Başakşehir FK · 46′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Gençlerbirliği 2.01 xG · Başakşehir FK 1.13 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Gençlerbirliği favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Başakşehir FK in 9 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Gençlerbirliği12 matchesBaşakşehir FK12 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored12/12▲ 1.08 goals/match
1.42 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲ 0.92 goals/match
0.98 xG/matchExpected goals12/12▲ 1.25 xG/match
10.5 shots/matchShots12/12▲ 12.8 shots/match
3.25 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲ 3.92 shots/match
40.4%Possession12/12● 58.1%
4.25 corners/matchCorners12/12● 6 corners/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls12/1212.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 7 Nov 2025, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Süper Lig

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGençlerbirliğiBaşakşehir FK
CompetitionSüper LigSüper Lig 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required