Süper Lig · 2025Sat, 8 Nov 2025, 11:30 UTCFull timeGaziantep StadiumFull-time recap
22Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricGaziantep FKÇaykur Rizespor
Shots15 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots on target9 shots/match3 shots/match
Expected goals3.05 xG/match1.38 xG/match
Possession60%40%
Corners3 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match15 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Emrecan Bulut · Çaykur Rizespor · 12′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMuhamed Buljubašić · Çaykur Rizespor · 34′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Lungoyi · Gaziantep FK · 59′ · 0.01 xG · on targetDrissa Camara · Gaziantep FK · 90′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMuhamed Buljubašić · Çaykur Rizespor · 7′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Lungoyi · Gaziantep FK · 33′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKacper Kozłowski · Gaziantep FK · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAli Sowe · Çaykur Rizespor · 48′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKévin Rodrigues · Gaziantep FK · 74′ · 0.02 xG · goalDeian Sorescu · Gaziantep FK · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEmrecan Bulut · Çaykur Rizespor · 13′ · 0.03 xG · on targetValentin Mihăilă · Çaykur Rizespor · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEmrecan Bulut · Çaykur Rizespor · 16′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEmmanuel Boateng · Gaziantep FK · 83′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDrissa Camara · Gaziantep FK · 28′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJesurun Rak-Sakyi · Çaykur Rizespor · 14′ · 0.06 xG · on targetEmmanuel Boateng · Gaziantep FK · 89′ · 0.07 xG · on targetQazim Laci · Çaykur Rizespor · 17′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedEmrecan Bulut · Çaykur Rizespor · 59′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKévin Rodrigues · Çaykur Rizespor · 59′ · 0.10 xG · goalMohamed Bayo · Gaziantep FK · 37′ · 0.19 xG · on targetKacper Kozłowski · Gaziantep FK · 73′ · 0.20 xG · on targetMohamed Bayo · Gaziantep FK · 2′ · 0.38 xG · goalDrissa Camara · Gaziantep FK · 13′ · 0.51 xG · on targetMohamed Bayo · Gaziantep FK · 28′ · 0.66 xG · on targetDeian Sorescu · Gaziantep FK · 71′ · 0.82 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Gaziantep FK: 15 shots, 9 on target, 3.02 xG. Çaykur Rizespor: 11 shots, 3 on target, 0.48 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Mohamed Bayo · Gaziantep FK · 2′Kévin Rodrigues · Gaziantep FK · 74′Kévin Rodrigues · Çaykur Rizespor · 59′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Gaziantep FK 3.02 xG · Çaykur Rizespor 0.48 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Çaykur Rizespor's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: Gaziantep FK's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Çaykur Rizespor have a visible away split

moderate

Çaykur Rizespor's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.5 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.5 shots/match12.3 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Gaziantep FK show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Gaziantep FK's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.9 shots/matchShotsGaziantep FK · Çaykur Rizespor12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGaziantep FKÇaykur RizesporBaseline
Shots14.9 shots/match12.3 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against12.9 shots/match14.5 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Gaziantep FK favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Çaykur Rizespor in 5 · 3 too close

1.42 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 12/121.17 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 12/121.33 goals/match
1.49 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 12/121.29 xG/match
1.4 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 12/121.26 xG/match
14.9 shots/matchShotsseason · 12/1212.3 shots/match
12.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 12/1214.5 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 12/123.17 shots/match
4.92 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 12/124.67 shots/match
54.9%Possessionseason · 12/1249.8%
5.25 corners/matchCornersseason · 12/123.17 corners/match
4.17 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 12/124.75 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
13.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 12/1214.5 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 12/1233%
67%Scoring frequencyseason · 12/1275%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Gaziantep FK80.6
Çaykur Rizespor41.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Gaziantep FK76.9
Çaykur Rizespor36.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Gaziantep FK26.8
Çaykur Rizespor34.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Gaziantep FK69.4
Çaykur Rizespor30.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Gaziantep FK47.2
Çaykur Rizespor80.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Gaziantep FK63.9
Çaykur Rizespor2.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Gaziantep FK69.5
Çaykur Rizespor34.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/51 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51 goals/match
1.83 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.4 xG/match
15 shots/matchShots5/513.6 shots/match
6.6 shots/matchShots on target5/53 shots/match
58%Possession5/549.8%
4.2 corners/matchCorners5/54.4 corners/match
Cards0/0
13 fouls/matchFouls5/515.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.7 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.4 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.3 goals/match
1.68 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.28 xG/match
15.7 shots/matchShots10/1012.7 shots/match
5.7 shots/matchShots on target10/103.4 shots/match
56.9%Possession10/1048.5%
5.6 corners/matchCorners10/103.4 corners/match
Cards0/0
13.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1015.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

12 / 12 matches
1.42 goals/matchGoals scored12/121.17 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed12/121.33 goals/match
1.49 xG/matchExpected goals12/121.29 xG/match
14.9 shots/matchShots12/1212.3 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target12/123.17 shots/match
54.9%Possession12/1249.8%
5.25 corners/matchCorners12/123.17 corners/match
Cards0/0
13.4 fouls/matchFouls12/1214.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 6 matches
1.57 goals/matchGoals scored7/61.67 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed7/61.5 goals/match
1.69 xG/matchExpected goals7/61.17 xG/match
17 shots/matchShots7/69.5 shots/match
5.71 shots/matchShots on target7/63.17 shots/match
59.7%Possession7/644.5%
6 corners/matchCorners7/62.33 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.4 fouls/matchFouls7/614.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.77 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.77 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 8 Nov 2025, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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