Süper Lig · 2025Sat, 8 Nov 2025, 17:00 UTCFull timeAntalya StadiumFull-time recap
13Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricAntalyasporBeşiktaş
Shots5 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots on target1 shots/match5 shots/match
Expected goals0.6 xG/match1.49 xG/match
Possession46%54%
Corners3 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match18 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Dario Šarić · Antalyaspor · 10′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGökhan Sazdağı · Beşiktaş · 63′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Giannetti · Antalyaspor · 11′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTammy Abraham · Beşiktaş · 2′ · 0.03 xG · goalCengiz Ünder · Beşiktaş · 14′ · 0.03 xG · on targetVáclav Černý · Beşiktaş · 27′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCengiz Ünder · Beşiktaş · 30′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMilot Rashica · Beşiktaş · 87′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Paulista · Beşiktaş · 24′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedTiago Djaló · Beşiktaş · 27′ · 0.09 xG · goalKenneth Paal · Antalyaspor · 33′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedCengiz Ünder · Beşiktaş · 69′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedYohan Boli · Antalyaspor · 90′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedVáclav Černý · Beşiktaş · 14′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedJota Silva · Beşiktaş · 81′ · 0.19 xG · goalVáclav Černý · Beşiktaş · 12′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedYohan Boli · Antalyaspor · 52′ · 0.32 xG · goalEl Bilal Touré · Beşiktaş · 7′ · 0.44 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Antalyaspor: 5 shots, 1 on target, 0.60 xG. Beşiktaş: 13 shots, 5 on target, 1.46 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Yohan Boli · Antalyaspor · 52′Tammy Abraham · Beşiktaş · 2′Tiago Djaló · Beşiktaş · 27′Jota Silva · Beşiktaş · 81′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Antalyaspor 0.60 xG · Beşiktaş 1.46 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Antalyaspor's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. A second useful context is: Antalyaspor's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Antalyaspor have a visible home split

moderate

Antalyaspor's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

11.3 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season8.92 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.3 shots/match8.92 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Antalyaspor show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Antalyaspor's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

8.92 shots/matchShotsAntalyaspor · Beşiktaş13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAntalyasporBeşiktaşBaseline
Shots8.92 shots/match13.8 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against15.8 shots/match11.5 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Beşiktaş have recorded the higher season possession share.

42.8%PossessionAntalyaspor · Beşiktaş51.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAntalyasporBeşiktaşBaseline
Possession42.8%51.8%50.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Antalyaspor favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Beşiktaş in 9 · 4 too close

1.08 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 12/121.75 goals/match
1.92 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 12/121.33 goals/match
0.81 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 12/121.91 xG/match
1.63 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 12/120.99 xG/match
8.92 shots/matchShotsseason · 12/1213.8 shots/match
15.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 12/1211.5 shots/match
4.08 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 12/125.25 shots/match
5.67 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 12/123.5 shots/match
42.8%Possessionseason · 12/1251.8%
4.33 corners/matchCornersseason · 12/124.92 corners/match
4.92 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 12/125.67 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
11.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 12/1214.8 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
17%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 12/1217%
75%Scoring frequencyseason · 12/1283%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Antalyaspor13.9
Beşiktaş63.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Antalyaspor31.5
Beşiktaş80.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Antalyaspor10.2
Beşiktaş74.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Antalyaspor8.3
Beşiktaş63.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Antalyaspor13.9
Beşiktaş80.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Antalyaspor30.6
Beşiktaş52.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Antalyaspor23.6
Beşiktaş72.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.8 goals/match
3 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
0.79 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.76 xG/match
8.8 shots/matchShots5/512.4 shots/match
3.4 shots/matchShots on target5/54.4 shots/match
40.2%Possession5/548.8%
3.8 corners/matchCorners5/52.4 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.4 fouls/matchFouls5/514.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.9 goals/match
2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.3 goals/match
0.74 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.78 xG/match
8.3 shots/matchShots10/1013.3 shots/match
3.9 shots/matchShots on target10/105 shots/match
42.2%Possession10/1050.5%
4.6 corners/matchCorners10/104.3 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1014.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

12 / 12 matches
1.08 goals/matchGoals scored12/121.75 goals/match
1.92 goals/matchGoals allowed12/121.33 goals/match
0.81 xG/matchExpected goals12/121.91 xG/match
8.92 shots/matchShots12/1213.8 shots/match
4.08 shots/matchShots on target12/125.25 shots/match
42.8%Possession12/1251.8%
4.33 corners/matchCorners12/124.92 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.8 fouls/matchFouls12/1214.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 7 matches
1.17 goals/matchGoals scored6/71.57 goals/match
2.67 goals/matchGoals allowed6/71.14 goals/match
0.97 xG/matchExpected goals6/71.82 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots6/713.4 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target6/75 shots/match
44.8%Possession6/754%
5.33 corners/matchCorners6/74.29 corners/match
Cards0/0
12 fouls/matchFouls6/714.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 8 Nov 2025, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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