PitchMath
Süper Lig · 2025Bahcesehir Okullari Stadium

Alanyaspor 1–2 Kasımpaşa · Süper Lig

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Kasımpaşa won 1–2.

Shots
178
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
0.730.92
Possession
68%32%

Full time

What the match recorded

Kasımpaşa beat Alanyaspor 2–1. Recorded in this match (Alanyaspor – Kasımpaşa): shots 17–8, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 0.73–0.92, possession 68%–32%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Alanyaspor's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Alanyaspor's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1 goal/match1.12 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots8 shotsAlanyaspor 17 shots, Kasımpaşa 8 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsAlanyaspor 6 shots, Kasımpaşa 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.73 xG0.92 xGAlanyaspor 0.73 xG, Kasımpaşa 0.92 xG
  • Possession68%32%Alanyaspor 68%, Kasımpaşa 32%
  • Corners13 corners1 cornerAlanyaspor 13 corners, Kasımpaşa 1 corner
  • Fouls9 fouls16 foulsAlanyaspor 9 fouls, Kasımpaşa 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Maestro · Alanyaspor · 62′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Kaya · Alanyaspor · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPape Habib Gueye · Kasımpaşa · 5′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMeschak Elia · Alanyaspor · 65′ · 0.02 xG · on targetHwang Ui-Jo · Alanyaspor · 67′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRuan Pereira Duarte · Alanyaspor · 72′ · 0.02 xG · on targetUchenna Ogundu · Alanyaspor · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMeschak Elia · Alanyaspor · 27′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPape Habib Gueye · Kasımpaşa · 27′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMamadou Fall · Kasımpaşa · 61′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGaius Makouta · Alanyaspor · 15′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRuan Pereira Duarte · Alanyaspor · 30′ · 0.04 xG · on targetPape Habib Gueye · Kasımpaşa · 32′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRuan Pereira Duarte · Alanyaspor · 42′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPape Habib Gueye · Kasımpaşa · 52′ · 0.04 xG · goalMeschak Elia · Alanyaspor · 57′ · 0.04 xG · on targetIanis Hagi · Alanyaspor · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRuan Pereira Duarte · Alanyaspor · 4′ · 0.06 xG · on targetNuno Lima · Alanyaspor · 6′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedHwang Ui-Jo · Alanyaspor · 45′ · 0.06 xG · goalCafú · Kasımpaşa · 27′ · 0.07 xG · on targetNuno Lima · Alanyaspor · 62′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedHwang Ui-Jo · Alanyaspor · 21′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMamadou Fall · Kasımpaşa · 90′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedPape Habib Gueye · Kasımpaşa · 48′ · 0.57 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Alanyaspor: 17 shots, 6 on target, 0.74 xG. Kasımpaşa: 8 shots, 4 on target, 0.95 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Hwang Ui-Jo · Alanyaspor · 45′Pape Habib Gueye · Kasımpaşa · 48′Pape Habib Gueye · Kasımpaşa · 52′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Alanyaspor 0.74 xG · Kasımpaşa 0.95 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Alanyaspor
1Draws
4Kasımpaşa
Kasımpaşa — Alanyaspor · Süper Lig2–1
Alanyaspor — Kasımpaşa · Süper Lig1–2
Kasımpaşa — Alanyaspor · Süper Lig2–1
Alanyaspor — Kasımpaşa · Süper Lig3–3
Alanyaspor — Kasımpaşa · Süper Lig1–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Alanyaspor favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Kasımpaşa in 0 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Alanyaspor13 matchesKasımpaşa13 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored13/131 goal/match
1.08 goals/match ▲Goals allowed13/131.38 goals/match
1.1 xG/match ▲Expected goals13/130.9 xG/match
12.5 shots/match ▲Shots13/1311.5 shots/match
3.85 shots/match ▲Shots on target13/132.85 shots/match
47.5% ●Possession13/1345.6%
4.62 corners/matchCorners13/13● 4.92 corners/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls12/1315 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 23 Nov 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Süper Lig

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAlanyasporKasımpaşa
CompetitionSüper LigSüper Lig 2025/26
Head-to-headAlanyaspor — Kasımpaşa
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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