PitchMath
Süper Lig · 2025Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu

Samsunspor 1–1 Alanyaspor · Süper Lig

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Samsunspor and Alanyaspor drew 1–1.

Shots
710
Shots on target
14
Expected goals
0.410.71
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Samsunspor and Alanyaspor drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Samsunspor – Alanyaspor): shots 7–10, shots on target 1–4, expected goals 0.41–0.71, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Alanyaspor's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Alanyaspor's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1 goal/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots10 shotsSamsunspor 7 shots, Alanyaspor 10 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot4 shotsSamsunspor 1 shot, Alanyaspor 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.41 xG0.71 xGSamsunspor 0.41 xG, Alanyaspor 0.71 xG
  • Possession52%48%Samsunspor 52%, Alanyaspor 48%
  • Corners3 corners1 cornerSamsunspor 3 corners, Alanyaspor 1 corner
  • Fouls28 fouls12 foulsSamsunspor 28 fouls, Alanyaspor 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ruan Pereira Duarte · Alanyaspor · 9′ · 0.01 xG · on targetEmre Kılınç · Samsunspor · 31′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGaius Makouta · Alanyaspor · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEmre Kılınç · Samsunspor · 12′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedÜmit Akdağ · Alanyaspor · 37′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCarlo Holse · Samsunspor · 42′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedÜmit Akdağ · Alanyaspor · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNuno Lima · Alanyaspor · 56′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAnthony Musaba · Samsunspor · 79′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIanis Hagi · Alanyaspor · 36′ · 0.04 xG · on targetIanis Hagi · Alanyaspor · 54′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Musaba · Samsunspor · 15′ · 0.07 xG · goalAnthony Musaba · Samsunspor · 84′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedHwang Ui-Jo · Alanyaspor · 18′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Kaya · Alanyaspor · 78′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Musaba · Samsunspor · 5′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedGüven Yalçın · Alanyaspor · 90′ · 0.36 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Samsunspor: 7 shots, 1 on target, 0.41 xG. Alanyaspor: 10 shots, 4 on target, 0.72 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Anthony Musaba · Samsunspor · 15′Güven Yalçın · Alanyaspor · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Samsunspor 0.41 xG · Alanyaspor 0.72 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Samsunspor
2Draws
2Alanyaspor
Alanyaspor — Samsunspor · Süper Lig1–0
Samsunspor — Alanyaspor · Süper Lig1–1
Samsunspor — Alanyaspor · Süper Lig1–1
Alanyaspor — Samsunspor · Süper Lig3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Samsunspor favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Alanyaspor in 2 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Samsunspor14 matchesAlanyaspor14 matches
1.43 goals/match ▲Goals scored14/141 goal/match
0.93 goals/match ▲Goals allowed14/141.07 goals/match
1.46 xG/match ▲Expected goals14/141.08 xG/match
13.2 shots/match ▲Shots14/1412.3 shots/match
4.21 shots/match ▲Shots on target14/143.86 shots/match
50.6% ●Possession14/1447.6%
6.14 corners/match ●Corners14/144.36 corners/match
15.4 fouls/matchFouls14/1312.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 1 Dec 2025, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Süper Lig

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSamsunsporAlanyaspor
CompetitionSüper LigSüper Lig 2025/26
Head-to-headSamsunspor — Alanyaspor
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required