Süper Lig · 2025Yildiz Entegre Kocaeli Stadyumu

Kocaelispor 1–0 Gençlerbirliği · Süper Lig

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Kocaelispor won 1–0.

Shots
155
Shots on target
40
Expected goals
1.260.16
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Kocaelispor beat Gençlerbirliği 1–0. Recorded in this match (Kocaelispor – Gençlerbirliği): shots 15–5, shots on target 4–0, expected goals 1.26–0.16, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Kocaelispor have a visible home split

moderate

Kocaelispor's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.3 shots/match10.1 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Kocaelispor's recent record differs from the season

weak

Kocaelispor's last-five shots average is above their season average.

11.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match10.1 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Gençlerbirliği show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Gençlerbirliği's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.1 shots/match ▲ShotsKocaelispor · Gençlerbirliği10.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricKocaelisporGençlerbirliğiBaseline
Shots10.1 shots/match10.1 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against11.9 shots/match16.4 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots5 shotsKocaelispor 15 shots, Gençlerbirliği 5 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots0 shotsKocaelispor 4 shots, Gençlerbirliği 0 shots
  • Expected goals1.26 xG0.16 xGKocaelispor 1.26 xG, Gençlerbirliği 0.16 xG
  • Possession53%47%Kocaelispor 53%, Gençlerbirliği 47%
  • Corners6 corners1 cornerKocaelispor 6 corners, Gençlerbirliği 1 corner
  • Fouls16 fouls15 foulsKocaelispor 16 fouls, Gençlerbirliği 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Tayfur Bingöl · Kocaelispor · 5′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAhmet Oğuz · Kocaelispor · 24′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFranco Tongya · Gençlerbirliği · 42′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMetehan Mimaroğlu · Gençlerbirliği · 59′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedM'Baye Niang · Gençlerbirliği · 83′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSerdar Dursun · Kocaelispor · 47′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDarko Churlinov · Kocaelispor · 71′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHrvoje Smolčić · Kocaelispor · 34′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDilhan Demir · Gençlerbirliği · 40′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTayfur Bingöl · Kocaelispor · 69′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSerdar Dursun · Kocaelispor · 79′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMassadio Haïdara · Kocaelispor · 37′ · 0.04 xG · on targetKarol Linetty · Kocaelispor · 37′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMetehan Mimaroğlu · Gençlerbirliği · 56′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDarko Churlinov · Kocaelispor · 28′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedSerdar Dursun · Kocaelispor · 38′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedHrvoje Smolčić · Kocaelispor · 56′ · 0.10 xG · on targetSerdar Dursun · Kocaelispor · 32′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedSerdar Dursun · Kocaelispor · 24′ · 0.14 xG · goalTayfur Bingöl · Kocaelispor · 77′ · 0.49 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Kocaelispor: 15 shots, 4 on target, 1.27 xG. Gençlerbirliği: 5 shots, 0 on target, 0.14 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Serdar Dursun · Kocaelispor · 24′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Kocaelispor 1.27 xG · Gençlerbirliği 0.14 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Kocaelispor favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Gençlerbirliği in 3 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Kocaelispor14 matchesGençlerbirliği14 matches
0.86 goals/matchGoals scored14/14▲ 1 goal/match
1.07 goals/match ▲Goals allowed14/141.5 goals/match
0.88 xG/matchExpected goals14/14▲ 0.97 xG/match
10.1 shots/matchShots14/1410.1 shots/match
3.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target14/143.14 shots/match
47.7% ●Possession14/1439.9%
4.43 corners/match ●Corners14/143.86 corners/match
14.5 fouls/matchFouls14/1412.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 28 Nov 2025, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Süper Lig

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