PitchMath
Süper Lig · 2025Yildiz Entegre Kocaeli Stadyumu

Kocaelispor 0–2 Fenerbahçe · Süper Lig

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fenerbahçe won 0–2.

Shots
129
Shots on target
15
Expected goals
0.720.8
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fenerbahçe beat Kocaelispor 2–0. Recorded in this match (Kocaelispor – Fenerbahçe): shots 12–9, shots on target 1–5, expected goals 0.72–0.8, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Kocaelispor show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Kocaelispor's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.4 shots/match ▲ShotsKocaelispor · Fenerbahçe17.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricKocaelisporFenerbahçeBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match17.9 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against11 shots/match9.75 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Fenerbahçe have a visible away split

moderate

Fenerbahçe's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

15 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season17.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15 shots/match17.9 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Fenerbahçe's recent record differs from the season

weak

Fenerbahçe's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.25 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.6 goals/match2.25 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots9 shotsKocaelispor 12 shots, Fenerbahçe 9 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot5 shotsKocaelispor 1 shot, Fenerbahçe 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.72 xG0.8 xGKocaelispor 0.72 xG, Fenerbahçe 0.8 xG
  • Possession59%41%Kocaelispor 59%, Fenerbahçe 41%
  • Corners8 corners3 cornersKocaelispor 8 corners, Fenerbahçe 3 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls14 foulsKocaelispor 17 fouls, Fenerbahçe 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Habib Keita · Kocaelispor · 47′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Agyei · Kocaelispor · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTalisca · Fenerbahçe · 5′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNélson Semedo · Fenerbahçe · 35′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDorgeles Nene · Fenerbahçe · 64′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKerem Aktürkoğlu · Fenerbahçe · 65′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCan Keleş · Kocaelispor · 2′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTalisca · Fenerbahçe · 43′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarco Asensio · Fenerbahçe · 45′ · 0.03 xG · goalShow · Kocaelispor · 59′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCan Keleş · Kocaelispor · 14′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBruno Petković · Kocaelispor · 31′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJoseph Nonge · Kocaelispor · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCan Keleş · Kocaelispor · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBruno Petković · Kocaelispor · 57′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBruno Petković · Kocaelispor · 56′ · 0.08 xG · on targetRigoberto Rivas · Kocaelispor · 8′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedYoussef En-Nesyri · Fenerbahçe · 45′ · 0.15 xG · on targetMuharrem Cinan · Kocaelispor · 90′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedEdson Álvarez · Fenerbahçe · 45′ · 0.24 xG · on targetDorgeles Nene · Fenerbahçe · 75′ · 0.29 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Kocaelispor: 12 shots, 1 on target, 0.70 xG. Fenerbahçe: 9 shots, 5 on target, 0.82 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Marco Asensio · Fenerbahçe · 45′Dorgeles Nene · Fenerbahçe · 75′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Kocaelispor 0.70 xG · Fenerbahçe 0.82 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Kocaelispor
0Draws
1Fenerbahçe
Fenerbahçe — Kocaelispor · Süper Lig3–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Kocaelispor favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Fenerbahçe in 9 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Kocaelispor20 matchesFenerbahçe20 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored20/20▲ 2.25 goals/match
1.05 goals/matchGoals allowed20/20▲ 0.85 goals/match
0.88 xG/matchExpected goals20/20▲ 1.99 xG/match
10.4 shots/matchShots20/20▲ 17.9 shots/match
3.35 shots/matchShots on target20/20▲ 6.5 shots/match
49.3%Possession20/20● 59%
4.5 corners/matchCorners20/20● 6.2 corners/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls20/2012.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 2 Feb 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Süper Lig

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsKocaelisporFenerbahçe
CompetitionSüper LigSüper Lig 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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