Süper Lig · 2025Fri, 13 Feb 2026, 17:00 UTCFull timeRams Park StadyumuFull-time recap
51Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricGalatasarayEyüpspor
Shots21 shots/match6 shots/match
Shots on target9 shots/match3 shots/match
Expected goals2.47 xG/match0.93 xG/match
Possession62%38%
Corners12 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match13 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Jérôme Onguene · Eyüpspor · 25′ · 0.02 xG · on targetEmre Akbaba · Eyüpspor · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYáser Asprilla · Galatasaray · 63′ · 0.02 xG · on targetVictor Osimhen · Galatasaray · 67′ · 0.02 xG · on targetVictor Osimhen · Galatasaray · 86′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMateusz Łęgowski · Eyüpspor · 18′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNoa Lang · Galatasaray · 33′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMauro Icardi · Galatasaray · 31′ · 0.04 xG · on targetYáser Asprilla · Galatasaray · 50′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMauro Icardi · Galatasaray · 62′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCharles-Andre Raux Yao · Eyüpspor · 82′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedYáser Asprilla · Galatasaray · 78′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNoa Lang · Galatasaray · 54′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedWilfried Singo · Galatasaray · 60′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedVictor Osimhen · Galatasaray · 40′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedBarış Alper Yılmaz · Galatasaray · 83′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedVictor Osimhen · Galatasaray · 64′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMauro Icardi · Galatasaray · 60′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedYáser Asprilla · Galatasaray · 68′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJérôme Onguene · Galatasaray · 87′ · 0.10 xG · goalUmut Bozok · Eyüpspor · 7′ · 0.16 xG · on targetVictor Osimhen · Galatasaray · 32′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedMauro Icardi · Galatasaray · 33′ · 0.18 xG · goalMauro Icardi · Galatasaray · 48′ · 0.28 xG · goalMauro Icardi · Galatasaray · 70′ · 0.31 xG · goalYunus Akgün · Galatasaray · 2′ · 0.33 xG · goalVictor Osimhen · Galatasaray · 21′ · 0.33 xG · on targetMetehan Altunbaş · Eyüpspor · 71′ · 0.68 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Galatasaray: 22 shots, 10 on target, 2.56 xG. Eyüpspor: 6 shots, 3 on target, 0.96 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Yunus Akgün · Galatasaray · 2′Mauro Icardi · Galatasaray · 33′Mauro Icardi · Galatasaray · 48′Mauro Icardi · Galatasaray · 70′Jérôme Onguene · Galatasaray · 87′Metehan Altunbaş · Eyüpspor · 71′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Galatasaray 2.56 xG · Eyüpspor 0.96 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Eyüpspor's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Galatasaray's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Eyüpspor's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Eyüpspor's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season0.82 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match0.82 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Galatasaray show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Galatasaray's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.7 shots/matchShotsGalatasaray · Eyüpspor11.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGalatasarayEyüpsporBaseline
Shots17.7 shots/match11.2 shots/match12.7 shots/match
Shots against9.77 shots/match14.9 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Galatasaray have a visible home split

moderate

Galatasaray's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

20.8 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season17.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots20.8 shots/match17.7 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Galatasaray
0Draws
0Eyüpspor
EyüpsporGalatasaray · Süper Lig02

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Galatasaray favored in 11 of 14 directional metrics · Eyüpspor in 0 · 3 too close

2.5 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 22/220.82 goals/match
0.68 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 22/221.59 goals/match
2.12 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 22/221.12 xG/match
0.95 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 22/221.71 xG/match
17.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 22/2211.2 shots/match
9.77 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 22/2214.9 shots/match
6.14 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 22/223.73 shots/match
3.23 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 22/225.36 shots/match
62.5%Possessionseason · 22/2248.9%
5.5 corners/matchCornersseason · 22/223.77 corners/match
3.64 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 22/226.09 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
12.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 22/2211.8 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
41%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 22/2214%
91%Scoring frequencyseason · 22/2255%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Galatasaray97.2
Eyüpspor47.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Galatasaray91.7
Eyüpspor28.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Galatasaray91.7
Eyüpspor18.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Galatasaray75
Eyüpspor19.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Galatasaray25
Eyüpspor8.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Galatasaray86.1
Eyüpspor13.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Galatasaray72.2
Eyüpspor23.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
3.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.6 goals/match
0.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/52.2 goals/match
2.19 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.08 xG/match
18.2 shots/matchShots5/510 shots/match
6 shots/matchShots on target5/53.4 shots/match
64.2%Possession5/542%
7.4 corners/matchCorners5/52.4 corners/match
Cards0/0
13.8 fouls/matchFouls5/510.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
3 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.2 goals/match
0.9 goals/matchGoals allowed10/102 goals/match
2.1 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.16 xG/match
17.8 shots/matchShots10/1011 shots/match
6 shots/matchShots on target10/103.8 shots/match
63%Possession10/1046.3%
5.8 corners/matchCorners10/103.3 corners/match
Cards0/0
13.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

22 / 22 matches
2.5 goals/matchGoals scored22/220.82 goals/match
0.68 goals/matchGoals allowed22/221.59 goals/match
2.12 xG/matchExpected goals22/221.12 xG/match
17.7 shots/matchShots22/2211.2 shots/match
6.14 shots/matchShots on target22/223.73 shots/match
62.5%Possession22/2248.9%
5.5 corners/matchCorners22/223.77 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.4 fouls/matchFouls22/2211.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

12 / 11 matches
2.67 goals/matchGoals scored12/110.73 goals/match
0.83 goals/matchGoals allowed12/111.64 goals/match
2.32 xG/matchExpected goals12/111.02 xG/match
20.8 shots/matchShots12/1111 shots/match
7.08 shots/matchShots on target12/113.36 shots/match
65%Possession12/1147.2%
6.83 corners/matchCorners12/113.18 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.7 fouls/matchFouls12/1113.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.12 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.23 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 13 Feb 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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