PitchMath
Süper Lig · 2025Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium

Başakşehir FK 4–0 Kasımpaşa · Süper Lig

4–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Başakşehir FK won 4–0.

Shots
145
Shots on target
82
Expected goals
2.220.24
Possession
68%32%

Full time

What the match recorded

Başakşehir FK beat Kasımpaşa 4–0. Recorded in this match (Başakşehir FK – Kasımpaşa): shots 14–5, shots on target 8–2, expected goals 2.22–0.24, possession 68%–32%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Kasımpaşa's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Kasımpaşa's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.94 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.94 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Kasımpaşa have a visible away split

moderate

Kasımpaşa's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7.56 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season9.58 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots7.56 shots/match9.58 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Kasımpaşa show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Kasımpaşa's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.4 shots/match ▲ShotsBaşakşehir FK · Kasımpaşa9.58 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBaşakşehir FKKasımpaşaBaseline
Shots13.4 shots/match9.58 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against12.5 shots/match12.2 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots5 shotsBaşakşehir FK 14 shots, Kasımpaşa 5 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots2 shotsBaşakşehir FK 8 shots, Kasımpaşa 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.22 xG0.24 xGBaşakşehir FK 2.22 xG, Kasımpaşa 0.24 xG
  • Possession68%32%Başakşehir FK 68%, Kasımpaşa 32%
  • Corners6 corners2 cornersBaşakşehir FK 6 corners, Kasımpaşa 2 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls8 foulsBaşakşehir FK 14 fouls, Kasımpaşa 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

İrfan Can Kahveci · Kasımpaşa · 24′ · 0.01 xG · on targetCláudio Winck · Kasımpaşa · 35′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedUmut Güneş · Başakşehir FK · 18′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYusuf Sarı · Başakşehir FK · 47′ · 0.03 xG · on targetOusseynou Ba · Başakşehir FK · 45′ · 0.04 xG · on targetCláudio Winck · Kasımpaşa · 58′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKazımcan Karataş · Başakşehir FK · 77′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDavie Selke · Başakşehir FK · 69′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAmine Harit · Başakşehir FK · 13′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedOnur Ergün · Başakşehir FK · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAli Yavuz Kol · Kasımpaşa · 88′ · 0.08 xG · on targetBertuğ Yıldırım · Başakşehir FK · 50′ · 0.09 xG · on targetEldor Shomurodov · Başakşehir FK · 5′ · 0.10 xG · goalAdrian Benedyczak · Kasımpaşa · 9′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedEldor Shomurodov · Başakşehir FK · 87′ · 0.16 xG · goalBertuğ Yıldırım · Başakşehir FK · 22′ · 0.25 xG · goalEldor Shomurodov · Başakşehir FK · 71′ · 0.35 xG · off target or blockedDavie Selke · Başakşehir FK · 85′ · 0.39 xG · on targetDavie Selke · Başakşehir FK · 81′ · 0.57 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Başakşehir FK: 14 shots, 8 on target, 2.26 xG. Kasımpaşa: 5 shots, 2 on target, 0.24 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Eldor Shomurodov · Başakşehir FK · 5′Bertuğ Yıldırım · Başakşehir FK · 22′Davie Selke · Başakşehir FK · 81′Eldor Shomurodov · Başakşehir FK · 87′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Başakşehir FK 2.26 xG · Kasımpaşa 0.24 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Başakşehir FK
1Draws
0Kasımpaşa
Kasımpaşa — Başakşehir FK · Süper Lig1–3
Kasımpaşa — Başakşehir FK · Süper Lig2–3
Başakşehir FK — Kasımpaşa · Süper Lig2–2
Başakşehir FK — Kasımpaşa · Süper Lig4–1
Kasımpaşa — Başakşehir FK · Süper Lig0–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Başakşehir FK favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Kasımpaşa in 1 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Başakşehir FK31 matchesKasımpaşa31 matches
1.68 goals/match ▲Goals scored31/310.94 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed31/311.45 goals/match
1.54 xG/match ▲Expected goals31/310.86 xG/match
13.4 shots/match ▲Shots31/319.58 shots/match
4.81 shots/match ▲Shots on target31/312.65 shots/match
55.2% ●Possession31/3144.5%
5.06 corners/match ●Corners31/314.23 corners/match
13.5 fouls/matchFouls31/3115.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 24 Apr 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Süper Lig

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBaşakşehir FKKasımpaşa
CompetitionSüper LigSüper Lig 2025/26
Head-to-headBaşakşehir FK — Kasımpaşa
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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