Süper Lig · 2025Sat, 25 Apr 2026, 11:30 UTCFull timeRecep Tayyip Erdogan StadiumFull-time recap
30Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricEyüpsporGaziantep FK
Shots14 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match3 shots/match
Expected goals1.45 xG/match0.72 xG/match
Possession52%48%
Corners6 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Talha Ülvan · Eyüpspor · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDrissa Camara · Gaziantep FK · 4′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDeian Sorescu · Gaziantep FK · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCalegari · Eyüpspor · 16′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDenis Radu · Eyüpspor · 39′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCalegari · Eyüpspor · 47′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKacper Kozłowski · Gaziantep FK · 49′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDrissa Camara · Gaziantep FK · 57′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDenis Drăguş · Gaziantep FK · 69′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlexandru Maxim · Gaziantep FK · 81′ · 0.03 xG · on targetKaramba Gassama · Gaziantep FK · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetUmut Bozok · Eyüpspor · 44′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Bayo · Gaziantep FK · 50′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBedirhan Özyurt · Eyüpspor · 84′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCharles-Andre Raux Yao · Eyüpspor · 55′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedTalha Ülvan · Eyüpspor · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMyenty Abena · Gaziantep FK · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedUmut Bozok · Eyüpspor · 53′ · 0.10 xG · on targetUmut Bozok · Eyüpspor · 45′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedUmut Bozok · Eyüpspor · 43′ · 0.14 xG · on targetMetehan Altunbaş · Eyüpspor · 78′ · 0.14 xG · goalCharles-Andre Raux Yao · Eyüpspor · 65′ · 0.16 xG · goalArda Kızıldağ · Gaziantep FK · 81′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Lungoyi · Gaziantep FK · 38′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedUmut Bozok · Eyüpspor · 62′ · 0.43 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Eyüpspor: 14 shots, 5 on target, 1.46 xG. Gaziantep FK: 11 shots, 3 on target, 0.73 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Umut Bozok · Eyüpspor · 62′Charles-Andre Raux Yao · Eyüpspor · 65′Metehan Altunbaş · Eyüpspor · 78′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Eyüpspor 1.46 xG · Gaziantep FK 0.73 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Eyüpspor's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Gaziantep FK's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Eyüpspor's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Eyüpspor's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season0.81 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.81 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Gaziantep FK have a visible away split

moderate

Gaziantep FK's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.6 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.6 shots/match13 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Eyüpspor
0Draws
0Gaziantep FK
Gaziantep FKEyüpspor · Süper Lig12

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Eyüpspor favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · Gaziantep FK in 7 · 5 too close

0.81 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 31/311.32 goals/match
1.42 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 31/311.68 goals/match
1.01 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 31/311.33 xG/match
1.59 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 31/311.45 xG/match
10.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 31/3113 shots/match
13.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 31/3114.3 shots/match
3.42 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 31/314.52 shots/match
4.81 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 31/315.26 shots/match
49.2%Possessionseason · 31/3149.8%
3.58 corners/matchCornersseason · 31/314.84 corners/match
5.77 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 31/315.26 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
12 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 31/3113.6 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
19%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 31/3119%
52%Scoring frequencyseason · 31/3174%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Eyüpspor47.2
Gaziantep FK58.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Eyüpspor15.7
Gaziantep FK63
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Eyüpspor31.5
Gaziantep FK13.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Eyüpspor8.3
Gaziantep FK69.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Eyüpspor2.8
Gaziantep FK69.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Eyüpspor2.8
Gaziantep FK58.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Eyüpspor11.1
Gaziantep FK62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/52 goals/match
0.76 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.23 xG/match
8.8 shots/matchShots5/513.4 shots/match
2.4 shots/matchShots on target5/54.8 shots/match
43.2%Possession5/547.2%
3.6 corners/matchCorners5/54 corners/match
Cards0/0
13 fouls/matchFouls5/513.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.2 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.7 goals/match
0.75 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.22 xG/match
8.5 shots/matchShots10/1012.1 shots/match
2.7 shots/matchShots on target10/104.9 shots/match
48.6%Possession10/1045.8%
3.2 corners/matchCorners10/104.7 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1014.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

31 / 31 matches
0.81 goals/matchGoals scored31/311.32 goals/match
1.42 goals/matchGoals allowed31/311.68 goals/match
1.01 xG/matchExpected goals31/311.33 xG/match
10.5 shots/matchShots31/3113 shots/match
3.42 shots/matchShots on target31/314.52 shots/match
49.2%Possession31/3149.8%
3.58 corners/matchCorners31/314.84 corners/match
Cards0/0
12 fouls/matchFouls31/3113.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

16 / 16 matches
0.94 goals/matchGoals scored16/161.25 goals/match
1.31 goals/matchGoals allowed16/161.81 goals/match
1.15 xG/matchExpected goals16/161.2 xG/match
11 shots/matchShots16/1610.6 shots/match
3.94 shots/matchShots on target16/163.94 shots/match
50.9%Possession16/1644.1%
3.94 corners/matchCorners16/163.25 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.3 fouls/matchFouls16/1614.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.77 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Apr 2026, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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