Süper Lig · 2025Fri, 1 May 2026, 17:00 UTCFull timeGaziantep StadiumFull-time recap
02Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricGaziantep FKBeşiktaş
Shots17 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match5 shots/match
Expected goals1.68 xG/match1.46 xG/match
Possession36%64%
Corners8 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls5 fouls/match15 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Cengiz Ünder · Beşiktaş · 17′ · 0.01 xG · on targetCengiz Ünder · Beşiktaş · 72′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDrissa Camara · Gaziantep FK · 4′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDrissa Camara · Gaziantep FK · 18′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKacper Kozłowski · Gaziantep FK · 27′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAlexandru Maxim · Gaziantep FK · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJunior Olaitan · Beşiktaş · 41′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVictor Ntino-Emo Gidado · Gaziantep FK · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDrissa Camara · Gaziantep FK · 51′ · 0.02 xG · on targetKacper Kozłowski · Gaziantep FK · 59′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDrissa Camara · Gaziantep FK · 63′ · 0.02 xG · on targetWilfred Ndidi · Beşiktaş · 77′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDrissa Camara · Gaziantep FK · 16′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCengiz Ünder · Beşiktaş · 4′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlexandru Maxim · Gaziantep FK · 55′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJota Silva · Beşiktaş · 58′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJota Silva · Beşiktaş · 1′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedVictor Ntino-Emo Gidado · Gaziantep FK · 30′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMustafa Hekimoğlu · Beşiktaş · 9′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMustafa Hekimoğlu · Beşiktaş · 9′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDenis Drăguş · Gaziantep FK · 68′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDrissa Camara · Gaziantep FK · 16′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedTiago Djaló · Beşiktaş · 8′ · 0.15 xG · goalDenis Drăguş · Gaziantep FK · 88′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Bayo · Gaziantep FK · 75′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedJota Silva · Beşiktaş · 35′ · 0.17 xG · on targetMohamed Bayo · Gaziantep FK · 65′ · 0.35 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Bayo · Gaziantep FK · 40′ · 0.57 xG · off target or blockedKristjan Asllani · Beşiktaş · 22′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Gaziantep FK: 17 shots, 4 on target, 1.70 xG. Beşiktaş: 12 shots, 5 on target, 1.48 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Tiago Djaló · Beşiktaş · 8′Kristjan Asllani · Beşiktaş · 22′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Gaziantep FK 1.70 xG · Beşiktaş 1.48 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Beşiktaş. A second useful context is: Gaziantep FK's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Beşiktaş.

6.23 daysRest daysGaziantep FK · Beşiktaş4 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricGaziantep FKBeşiktaşBaseline
Rest days6.23 days4 days
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Gaziantep FK's recent record differs from the season

weak

Gaziantep FK's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.28 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goals/match1.28 goals/match1.26 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Beşiktaş show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Beşiktaş's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.2 shots/matchShotsGaziantep FK · Beşiktaş16.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGaziantep FKBeşiktaşBaseline
Shots13.2 shots/match16.6 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against14.3 shots/match12.1 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Gaziantep FK
1Draws
0Beşiktaş
BeşiktaşGaziantep FK · Süper Lig22

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Gaziantep FK favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Beşiktaş in 11 · 3 too close

1.28 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 32/321.75 goals/match
1.69 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 32/321.13 goals/match
1.34 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 32/321.9 xG/match
1.45 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 32/321.07 xG/match
13.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 32/3216.6 shots/match
14.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 32/3212.1 shots/match
4.5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 32/326.19 shots/match
5.25 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 32/323.63 shots/match
49.4%Possessionseason · 32/3255.4%
4.94 corners/matchCornersseason · 32/325.53 corners/match
5.16 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 32/324.63 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
13.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 32/3213.4 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
19%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 32/3231%
72%Scoring frequencyseason · 32/3284%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Gaziantep FK52.8
Beşiktaş86.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Gaziantep FK62
Beşiktaş89.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Gaziantep FK13.9
Beşiktaş69.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Gaziantep FK75
Beşiktaş91.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Gaziantep FK52.8
Beşiktaş58.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Gaziantep FK61.1
Beşiktaş86.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Gaziantep FK60.4
Beşiktaş83.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.4 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51 goals/match
1.27 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.83 xG/match
14.6 shots/matchShots5/516.2 shots/match
4.8 shots/matchShots on target5/55.8 shots/match
47.2%Possession5/558.6%
4.2 corners/matchCorners5/55.8 corners/match
Cards0/0
12 fouls/matchFouls5/512.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.6 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/100.7 goals/match
1.33 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.63 xG/match
13.1 shots/matchShots10/1016.6 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target10/105.8 shots/match
45.4%Possession10/1058%
5.3 corners/matchCorners10/106.2 corners/match
Cards0/0
13 fouls/matchFouls10/1013 fouls/match

Window

Season

32 / 32 matches
1.28 goals/matchGoals scored32/321.75 goals/match
1.69 goals/matchGoals allowed32/321.13 goals/match
1.34 xG/matchExpected goals32/321.9 xG/match
13.2 shots/matchShots32/3216.6 shots/match
4.5 shots/matchShots on target32/326.19 shots/match
49.4%Possession32/3255.4%
4.94 corners/matchCorners32/325.53 corners/match
Cards0/0
13.3 fouls/matchFouls32/3213.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

16 / 16 matches
1.31 goals/matchGoals scored16/161.69 goals/match
1.56 goals/matchGoals allowed16/161.13 goals/match
1.48 xG/matchExpected goals16/161.77 xG/match
15.7 shots/matchShots16/1614.7 shots/match
5.06 shots/matchShots on target16/165.25 shots/match
54.6%Possession16/1652.9%
6.63 corners/matchCorners16/164.75 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.4 fouls/matchFouls16/1613.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.23 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 1 May 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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