PitchMath
Süper Lig · 2025Rams Park Stadyumu

Galatasaray 4–2 Antalyaspor · Süper Lig

4–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Galatasaray won 4–2.

Shots
238
Shots on target
92
Expected goals
4.180.38
Possession
70%30%

Full time

What the match recorded

Galatasaray beat Antalyaspor 4–2. Recorded in this match (Galatasaray – Antalyaspor): shots 23–8, shots on target 9–2, expected goals 4.18–0.38, possession 70%–30%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Antalyaspor show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Antalyaspor's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

16.5 shots/match ▲ShotsGalatasaray · Antalyaspor9.48 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGalatasarayAntalyasporBaseline
Shots16.5 shots/match9.48 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against10.3 shots/match14.2 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Antalyaspor's recent record differs from the season

weak

Antalyaspor's last-five shots average is above their season average.

11.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season9.48 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots11.6 shots/match9.48 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Galatasaray have a visible home split

moderate

Galatasaray's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

20 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season16.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots20 shots/match16.5 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots23 shots8 shotsGalatasaray 23 shots, Antalyaspor 8 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots2 shotsGalatasaray 9 shots, Antalyaspor 2 shots
  • Expected goals4.18 xG0.38 xGGalatasaray 4.18 xG, Antalyaspor 0.38 xG
  • Possession70%30%Galatasaray 70%, Antalyaspor 30%
  • Corners6 corners1 cornerGalatasaray 6 corners, Antalyaspor 1 corner
  • Fouls10 fouls15 foulsGalatasaray 10 fouls, Antalyaspor 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Samuel Ballet · Antalyaspor · 61′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDoğukan Sinik · Antalyaspor · 3′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAbdülkerim Bardakcı · Galatasaray · 40′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVictor Osimhen · Galatasaray · 43′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSander van de Streek · Antalyaspor · 48′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYunus Akgün · Galatasaray · 75′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNoa Lang · Galatasaray · 77′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSamuel Ballet · Antalyaspor · 84′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYunus Akgün · Galatasaray · 60′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYunus Akgün · Galatasaray · 9′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRoland Sallai · Galatasaray · 29′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAbdülkerim Bardakcı · Galatasaray · 56′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedErdoğan Yeşilyurt · Antalyaspor · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSoner Dikmen · Antalyaspor · 62′ · 0.05 xG · goalYunus Akgün · Galatasaray · 32′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDavinson Sánchez · Galatasaray · 88′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRoland Sallai · Galatasaray · 58′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedEren Elmalı · Galatasaray · 88′ · 0.09 xG · on targetVictor Osimhen · Galatasaray · 37′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedVictor Osimhen · Galatasaray · 17′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedRoland Sallai · Galatasaray · 31′ · 0.11 xG · on targetVictor Osimhen · Galatasaray · 35′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedVictor Osimhen · Galatasaray · 75′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedSoner Dikmen · Antalyaspor · 45′ · 0.20 xG · goalVictor Osimhen · Galatasaray · 88′ · 0.29 xG · goalVictor Osimhen · Galatasaray · 87′ · 0.34 xG · off target or blockedVictor Osimhen · Galatasaray · 45′ · 0.46 xG · on targetMario Lemina · Galatasaray · 56′ · 0.47 xG · goalKaan Ayhan · Galatasaray · 90′ · 0.61 xG · goalVictor Osimhen · Galatasaray · 66′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Galatasaray: 23 shots, 9 on target, 4.13 xG. Antalyaspor: 7 shots, 2 on target, 0.36 xG. · 1 unplaced

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

02.254.50′HT90′Mario Lemina · Galatasaray · 56′Victor Osimhen · Galatasaray · 66′Victor Osimhen · Galatasaray · 88′Kaan Ayhan · Galatasaray · 90′Soner Dikmen · Antalyaspor · 45′Soner Dikmen · Antalyaspor · 62′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Galatasaray 4.13 xG · Antalyaspor 0.36 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

5Galatasaray
0Draws
0Antalyaspor
Antalyaspor — Galatasaray · Süper Lig1–4
Galatasaray — Antalyaspor · Süper Lig4–0
Antalyaspor — Galatasaray · Süper Lig0–3
Galatasaray — Antalyaspor · Süper Lig2–1
Antalyaspor — Galatasaray · Süper Lig0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Galatasaray favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Antalyaspor in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Galatasaray33 matchesAntalyaspor33 matches
2.33 goals/match ▲Goals scored33/330.97 goals/match
0.88 goals/match ▲Goals allowed33/331.67 goals/match
2.04 xG/match ▲Expected goals33/330.79 xG/match
16.5 shots/match ▲Shots33/339.48 shots/match
5.7 shots/match ▲Shots on target33/333.45 shots/match
61.7% ●Possession33/3345.1%
5.45 corners/match ●Corners33/334.15 corners/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls33/3312.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 9 May 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Süper Lig

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGalatasarayAntalyaspor
CompetitionSüper LigSüper Lig 2025/26
Head-to-headGalatasaray — Antalyaspor
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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