PitchMath
Süper Lig · 2025Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadium

Kasımpaşa 1–0 Galatasaray · Süper Lig

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Kasımpaşa won 1–0.

Shots
512
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
0.650.55
Possession
29%71%

Full time

What the match recorded

Kasımpaşa beat Galatasaray 1–0. Recorded in this match (Kasımpaşa – Galatasaray): shots 5–12, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 0.65–0.55, possession 29%–71%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Kasımpaşa show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Kasımpaşa's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.56 shots/match ▲ShotsKasımpaşa · Galatasaray16.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricKasımpaşaGalatasarayBaseline
Shots9.56 shots/match16.4 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against12 shots/match10.1 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Galatasaray have a visible away split

moderate

Galatasaray's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12.8 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season16.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.8 shots/match16.4 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Galatasaray have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.4%PossessionKasımpaşa · Galatasaray● 62%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 17.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricKasımpaşaGalatasarayBaseline
Possession44.4%62%49.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots5 shots12 shotsKasımpaşa 5 shots, Galatasaray 12 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsKasımpaşa 3 shots, Galatasaray 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.65 xG0.55 xGKasımpaşa 0.65 xG, Galatasaray 0.55 xG
  • Possession29%71%Kasımpaşa 29%, Galatasaray 71%
  • Corners2 corners7 cornersKasımpaşa 2 corners, Galatasaray 7 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls6 foulsKasımpaşa 9 fouls, Galatasaray 6 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ahmed Kutucu · Galatasaray · 83′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNoa Lang · Galatasaray · 5′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLeroy Sané · Galatasaray · 53′ · 0.02 xG · on targetWilfried Singo · Galatasaray · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAhmed Kutucu · Galatasaray · 82′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLeroy Sané · Galatasaray · 38′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNoa Lang · Galatasaray · 53′ · 0.04 xG · on targetWilfried Singo · Galatasaray · 80′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAhmed Kutucu · Galatasaray · 86′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAdrian Benedyczak · Kasımpaşa · 88′ · 0.04 xG · on targetArda Ünyay · Galatasaray · 16′ · 0.05 xG · on targetLeroy Sané · Galatasaray · 19′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAdrian Benedyczak · Kasımpaşa · 27′ · 0.10 xG · goalİrfan Can Kahveci · Kasımpaşa · 76′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedFousseni Diabaté · Kasımpaşa · 61′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedKaan Ayhan · Galatasaray · 6′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedAdrian Benedyczak · Kasımpaşa · 60′ · 0.23 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Kasımpaşa: 5 shots, 3 on target, 0.64 xG. Galatasaray: 12 shots, 5 on target, 0.54 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Adrian Benedyczak · Kasımpaşa · 27′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Kasımpaşa 0.64 xG · Galatasaray 0.54 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Kasımpaşa
2Draws
3Galatasaray
Galatasaray — Kasımpaşa · Süper Lig3–0
Kasımpaşa — Galatasaray · Süper Lig3–3
Galatasaray — Kasımpaşa · Süper Lig3–3
Kasımpaşa — Galatasaray · Süper Lig3–4
Galatasaray — Kasımpaşa · Süper Lig2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Kasımpaşa favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Galatasaray in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Kasımpaşa34 matchesGalatasaray34 matches
0.97 goals/matchGoals scored34/34▲ 2.26 goals/match
1.44 goals/matchGoals allowed34/34▲ 0.88 goals/match
0.89 xG/matchExpected goals34/34▲ 2 xG/match
9.56 shots/matchShots34/34▲ 16.4 shots/match
2.74 shots/matchShots on target34/34▲ 5.68 shots/match
44.4%Possession34/34● 62%
4.21 corners/matchCorners34/34● 5.5 corners/match
15.5 fouls/matchFouls34/3412.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples34 / 34home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 17 May 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Süper Lig

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsKasımpaşaGalatasaray
CompetitionSüper LigSüper Lig 2025/26
Head-to-headKasımpaşa — Galatasaray
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required