Championship · 2025Fri, 12 Sept 2025, 19:00 UTCFull timePortman Road StadiumFull-time recap
50Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricIpswich TownSheffield United
Shots21 shots/match10 shots/match
Shots on target11 shots/match2 shots/match
Expected goals2.33 xG/match0.42 xG/match
Possession47%53%
Corners3 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match15 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Dara O'Shea · Ipswich Town · 1′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCallum O'Hare · Sheffield United · 17′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAndre Brooks · Sheffield United · 35′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSindre Walle Egeli · Ipswich Town · 78′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCallum O'Hare · Sheffield United · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMarcelino Núñez · Ipswich Town · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKasey McAteer · Ipswich Town · 20′ · 0.03 xG · on targetCallum O'Hare · Sheffield United · 47′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGustavo Hamer · Sheffield United · 85′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLouie Barry · Sheffield United · 13′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKasey McAteer · Ipswich Town · 45′ · 0.04 xG · on targetThomas Cannon · Sheffield United · 59′ · 0.04 xG · on targetGustavo Hamer · Sheffield United · 73′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSindre Walle Egeli · Ipswich Town · 82′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarcelino Núñez · Ipswich Town · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJaden Philogene-Bidace · Ipswich Town · 2′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJaden Philogene-Bidace · Ipswich Town · 68′ · 0.05 xG · goalJaden Philogene-Bidace · Ipswich Town · 12′ · 0.06 xG · on targetJaphet Tanganga · Sheffield United · 13′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDarnell Furlong · Ipswich Town · 87′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSammie Szmodics · Ipswich Town · 74′ · 0.07 xG · on targetDara O'Shea · Ipswich Town · 83′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJaphet Tanganga · Sheffield United · 6′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJaden Philogene-Bidace · Ipswich Town · 51′ · 0.08 xG · goalJens Cajuste · Ipswich Town · 55′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedGeorge Hirst · Ipswich Town · 61′ · 0.09 xG · goalKasey McAteer · Ipswich Town · 44′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJaden Philogene-Bidace · Ipswich Town · 20′ · 0.13 xG · goalSammie Szmodics · Ipswich Town · 87′ · 0.31 xG · on targetJack Clarke · Ipswich Town · 78′ · 0.46 xG · goalChuba Akpom · Ipswich Town · 11′ · 0.57 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Ipswich Town: 21 shots, 11 on target, 2.40 xG. Sheffield United: 10 shots, 2 on target, 0.38 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Jaden Philogene-Bidace · Ipswich Town · 20′Jaden Philogene-Bidace · Ipswich Town · 51′George Hirst · Ipswich Town · 61′Jaden Philogene-Bidace · Ipswich Town · 68′Jack Clarke · Ipswich Town · 78′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Ipswich Town 2.40 xG · Sheffield United 0.38 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sheffield United's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: Ipswich Town's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Sheffield United have a visible away split

weak

Sheffield United's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.67 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.67 shots/match12 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Ipswich Town show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Ipswich Town's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15 shots/matchShotsIpswich Town · Sheffield United12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricIpswich TownSheffield UnitedBaseline
Shots15 shots/match12 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against8.8 shots/match15 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Ipswich Town favored in 11 of 14 directional metrics · Sheffield United in 0 · 3 too close

1.8 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 5/50.2 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 5/52.4 goals/match
1.92 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 5/50.97 xG/match
0.97 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 5/51.45 xG/match
15 shots/matchShotsseason · 5/512 shots/match
8.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 5/515 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 5/52.4 shots/match
2.2 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 5/56.4 shots/match
57.4%Possessionseason · 5/557.2%
4.6 corners/matchCornersseason · 5/58.6 corners/match
3.4 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 5/54.4 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
11.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/512.6 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
20%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/50%
80%Scoring frequencyseason · 5/520%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Ipswich Town85.4
Sheffield United81.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Ipswich Town77.1
Sheffield United16
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Ipswich Town79.2
Sheffield United12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Ipswich Town64.6
Sheffield United14.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Ipswich Town60.4
Sheffield United72.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Ipswich Town39.6
Sheffield United97.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Ipswich Town61.5
Sheffield United54.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.2 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed5/52.4 goals/match
1.92 xG/matchExpected goals5/50.97 xG/match
15 shots/matchShots5/512 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target5/52.4 shots/match
57.4%Possession5/557.2%
4.6 corners/matchCorners5/58.6 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.8 fouls/matchFouls5/512.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

5 / 5 matches
1.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.2 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed5/52.4 goals/match
1.92 xG/matchExpected goals5/50.97 xG/match
15 shots/matchShots5/512 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target5/52.4 shots/match
57.4%Possession5/557.2%
4.6 corners/matchCorners5/58.6 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.8 fouls/matchFouls5/512.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

5 / 5 matches
1.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.2 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed5/52.4 goals/match
1.92 xG/matchExpected goals5/50.97 xG/match
15 shots/matchShots5/512 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target5/52.4 shots/match
57.4%Possession5/557.2%
4.6 corners/matchCorners5/58.6 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.8 fouls/matchFouls5/512.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 3 matches
2.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/30 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed3/32.33 goals/match
2.29 xG/matchExpected goals3/30.42 xG/match
17.7 shots/matchShots3/38.67 shots/match
5.67 shots/matchShots on target3/30.67 shots/match
55.3%Possession3/350%
4.33 corners/matchCorners3/37 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.7 fouls/matchFouls3/314 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

13.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113.3 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 12 Sept 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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