Championship · 2025Ashton Gate

Bristol City 1–2 Queens Park Rangers · Championship

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Queens Park Rangers won 1–2.

Shots
118
Shots on target
12
Expected goals
1.210.48
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Queens Park Rangers beat Bristol City 2–1. Recorded in this match (Bristol City – Queens Park Rangers): shots 11–8, shots on target 1–2, expected goals 1.21–0.48, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Bristol City, Queens Park Rangers.

3.8 days ▲Rest daysBristol City · Queens Park Rangers2.79 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricBristol CityQueens Park RangersBaseline
Rest days3.8 days2.79 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Bristol City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bristol City's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.67 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots8 shotsBristol City 11 shots, Queens Park Rangers 8 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot2 shotsBristol City 1 shot, Queens Park Rangers 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.21 xG0.48 xGBristol City 1.21 xG, Queens Park Rangers 0.48 xG
  • Possession58%42%Bristol City 58%, Queens Park Rangers 42%
  • Corners4 corners1 cornerBristol City 4 corners, Queens Park Rangers 1 corner
  • Fouls9 fouls8 foulsBristol City 9 fouls, Queens Park Rangers 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Koki Saito · Queens Park Rangers · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKaramoko Dembélé · Queens Park Rangers · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedZak Vyner · Bristol City · 44′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAdam Randell · Bristol City · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRobert Atkinson · Bristol City · 75′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYu Hirakawa · Bristol City · 87′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRichard Kone · Queens Park Rangers · 71′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYu Hirakawa · Bristol City · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKoki Saito · Queens Park Rangers · 4′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRumarn Burrell · Queens Park Rangers · 48′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRichard Kone · Queens Park Rangers · 66′ · 0.04 xG · goalRoss McCrorie · Bristol City · 75′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRoss McCrorie · Bristol City · 82′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAnis Mehmeti · Bristol City · 73′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRichard Kone · Queens Park Rangers · 71′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedNeto Borges · Bristol City · 89′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedPaul Smyth · Queens Park Rangers · 84′ · 0.22 xG · goalEmil Riis Jacobsen · Bristol City · 32′ · 0.32 xG · goalScott Twine · Bristol City · 15′ · 0.51 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bristol City: 11 shots, 1 on target, 1.16 xG. Queens Park Rangers: 8 shots, 2 on target, 0.49 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Emil Riis Jacobsen · Bristol City · 32′Richard Kone · Queens Park Rangers · 66′Paul Smyth · Queens Park Rangers · 84′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bristol City 1.16 xG · Queens Park Rangers 0.49 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Bristol City
3Draws
1Queens Park Rangers
Queens Park Rangers — Bristol City · Championship1–1
Bristol City — Queens Park Rangers · Championship1–1
Bristol City — Queens Park Rangers · Championship0–1
Queens Park Rangers — Bristol City · Championship0–0
Queens Park Rangers — Bristol City · Championship0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bristol City favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Queens Park Rangers in 2 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bristol City9 matchesQueens Park Rangers9 matches
1.67 goals/match ▲Goals scored9/91.44 goals/match
1.11 goals/match ▲Goals allowed9/91.56 goals/match
1.53 xG/match ▲Expected goals9/91.08 xG/match
14.1 shots/match ▲Shots9/912.6 shots/match
3.44 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲ 3.78 shots/match
49.3% ●Possession9/947.4%
4.89 corners/match ●Corners9/94.44 corners/match
9.78 fouls/matchFouls9/910.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 Oct 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

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